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2022 Schedule Analysis: DSTs to Fear Working With…Right Off the Bat…

Published:
May 19, 2022 10:23 AM
May 19, 2022 10:22 AM
Updated:
May 19, 2022 10:23 AM

2022 Schedule Analysis: DSTs to Fear Working With…Right Off the Bat…

 

This is the opposite of our report from yesterday…where we looked at Weeks 1-6 for fast-start, great schedule opportunity DSTs to consider/chase for FF 2022. This report we’re looking at DSTs to avoid in head-to-head leagues because of a too tough starting schedule.

First, we have to determine what teams/offenses we should fear/avoid for our DSTs. My list is…

All the NFL teams with obvious, elite QBs: BUF-CIN-DEN-GB-KC-LAC-TB. No brainer list.

LAR/Stafford let’s add them too/close enough.

DAL/Dak…OK, include them. Not a great matchup for a DST.

Also, I want to add offenses without elite QBs, but really good QBs and/or are just always tough offenses due to coaching and solid+ QB play…

Tennessee = When they have Derrick Henry, they are a top tier offense.

Minnesota = Gonna be a breakout potential with Mike Zimmer’s stupid offense gone. Kirk Cousins is very underappreciated, but I think he’s up for a big-time season with the coaching change.

San Francisco = Kyle Shanahan always finds a way.

Nearly half the league’s offense can claim…’not a favorable matchup’. That’s the current NFL for ya. I just listed 14 teams/offenses to avoid. Now, let’s see what DSTs are saddled with these ‘avoids’ too heavily to start the FF 2022 head-to-head season…

 

We begin with a search of DSTs facing any of these 14 offenses in both Week 1 and 2…and we find that two DSTs that are higher ranked DSTs you would consider taking do have the bad daily double…Buffalo and Dallas DST. I hate slow FF starts…it messes with everyone’s minds. (0-2) starts make you make moves you wouldn’t do if you were (1-1) or (2-0). I don’t want to take on any negatives that I don’t have to for my Week’s 1-2 cause. With so many other options our there at DST…no DST is THAT good in 2022 that you want to take one that has immediate headwinds.

Buffalo DST faces Stafford/Derrick Henry off the bat.

Dallas DST has it worse…Brady-Burrow off the bat. With this start, I cannot in good faith start the season with the Dallas DST…or Buffalo DST for that matter. It’s not worth it. Neither DST is THAT good to wanna make it work.

 

Weeks 1-3, are there any DSTs have three bad matchups in-a-row? No…oddly. I thought for sure there would be. Just more DSTs with two of the first 3 weeks with bad matchups…most notably TB and GB join the list.

I’m a GB DST fan, but Cousins-Fields-Brady…it’s a tough start.

 

–Weeks 1-4, are there any DSTs with three bad matchups the first 4 weeks? Two DSTs…and one of them is a DST that people like (in general)…Tampa Bay. The Bucs DST goes Dak-Winston-Rodgers-Mahomes off the bat…I have zero interest in even messing with that schedule start. Las Vegas DST is the other DST with three of the first 4 weeks with bad matchups, but no one really cares about them.

 

–Weeks 1-5? Las Vegas DST has four, but no one wants them anyway. A few DSTs joined the ‘three club’ with TBDallas, the Rams, and Indy of note.

 

–Weeks 1-6? Las Vegas still with the four, and then more DSTs with three added to the list.

 

–Weeks 1-7? KC and Indy have four bad DST matchups the first 7 weeks, along with two DSTs no one is really considering: Las Vegas and Atlanta.

 

There’s not one DST standout (bad) that has a shock 4-5-6 in-a-row season start with bad matchups, but there are a few notables with too many bad matchups for my liking off the bat in the first 3-4 weeks – again, considering there are no MUST HAVE elite defenses/DSTs…I’m not gonna force into a Buffalo or Tampa Bay…I’m not going to just blindly grab them late in a redraft, as solid as their defenses are -- because I don’t want to roll through their early schedule.

I will find a solid start (i.e. schedule), capable/talented enough (not dreadful) defensive unit/DST and run it off the bat…and then adjust as soon as I see better opportunities in-season as we go. I’m not/never just going to run with one defense blindly all season, not in this era – that’s the sign of empty/poor FF mismanagement. If there were an obvious elite DST, with a decent or nice schedule…sure, I’d try and jump on it. But they don’t exist in the new era…too many mediocre defenses, too many good offenses.

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