RB News Alert: Must Read ASAP…
I didn’t want to put the name of this player in the title yet, so outsiders couldn’t see the name and do a search and start putting two-and-two together before you’ve had a chance to have a head start to do anything with this info before it’s picked up by the ‘headline’ aggregators and made into Roto-blurbs…
Ross Jacobs came across this information yesterday, but I was looking to get additional info on the whole situation.
-- Rashad Penny is into camp at 237 pounds, and that seems high…but a good ‘high’…a ‘wow’ high. Because Pete Carroll is delighted by what he sees.
From an SI article (full article attached below):
But while such remarks have become cliché over the years, there are instances where players speak the truth and don't dip into the land of hyperbole. Coming off a breakthrough finish to the 2021 season with a new contract in tow, Seahawks running back Rashaad Penny seems to have finally figured everything out, reporting for camp at a lean 237 pounds on Tuesday and wowing coach Pete Carroll in the process.
“Rashaad is in great shape," Carroll told reporters after Wednesday's first practice. "Just cut, sharp, fast, and excited because he had such a great offseason. He looked terrific, he couldn’t wait to get out here and just run. He really wanted to show us that he could go, and he looked just like he did when we finished out at the end, so it was really fun to see.”
When Penny first broke into the league as a first-round pick out of San Diego State, his weight hovered near 240 pounds. But it wasn't necessarily good weight and after battling through soft tissue injuries in a disappointing rookie season, he sought out help from a nutritionist and aimed to take better care of his body.
Much will be made of the ‘237’ number in the news any hour now, but he played 230+ last year during his magical run…it’s really not ‘new’ news but it’s not something everyone knew/talked about either. Today/now we’re in the heating-up-for-the-new-season football news cycle of looking for any interesting news items to react to from camp. This will be a big deal for 24-48 hours and have some legs from there pushing Penny’s value up a bit.
Just a side note: This is a ‘big boy’ size that NFL teams covet, and this is big/good news, in a sense. I (and all of us), for FF purposes, covet these bigger backs (as much as I don’t like the under 210-pound crowd for durability’s sake). Kenneth Walker was 209 pounds at the Combine.
-- What’s more important in all this Penny-news…
All this talk about Penny as the clear #1 RB is real. We hear it and we hear about 50+ other RBs who had a day ‘with the 1s’ in practice and we’re not sure if it’s a temporary practice thing because the real #1 back is taking a break or if it’s ‘a sign’ -- but everyone I talk to and the local news beat reports…all signs point to Penny being ‘that guy’, the strong lead for Seattle to start 2022 season.
Penny is still just 26.5 years old, even though it seems like he’s been in the league for a decade…and he hasn’t played as much ball due to injuries, so he’s not overworked/worn down. Most of his injuries have been hamstring related but he tore his ACL in late 2019 season, wasn’t right in 2020 season, and broke out in 2021 -- as is the pattern with RB ACLs...flimsy year of return, then much-much better year two after the ACL surgery.
-- Penny’s ADP is still #27-30+ among RBs in most places right now but was already starting to climb…but even if he becomes a #20-25 RB it’s still a bargain -- an RB1 talent and touch count in an RB2-3 valuation.
If you can make a Fantasy trade, if you have the desire, I’d be looking at Penny as an RB2-2.5 valuation to acquire…but someone who could be an RB1 this season, as he ended last season as the (arguable) best back in the NFL. An RB1 hope despite the crappy surroundings.
If Seattle lays out a big deal for Jimmy Garoppolo, everyone’s fortunes change a tick higher. I don’t think that’s where JG will go, but it’s not a zero-chance.
Long-term, if Penny has a bang-up 2022…he’ll be a super-hot free agent for Seattle or elsewhere, to be a #1 back somewhere.
-- I just finished a Draft Guide update of the projections Thursday night, and Dynasty and Best Ball update ready for a final audit/Friday morning release -- before all this Penny info came flooding to the forefront. We (FFM) were already much higher than the world on Penny, rankings and valuation-wise but he will shoot up again next update…possibly starting to flirt with cracking the RB1 group. We’ll see.
Kenneth Walker will exist…and he will get some touches as the season goes.
The Seattle offense with no stable QB will/could be some kind of issue on Penny’s TD production projections.
However, I think Penny is entering a possible phase where he is the Derrick Henry, the old Ezekiel Elliott, the Joe Mixon 2021, where he is just the lead punch on offense with a heavy volume -- and in this case he produces by overcoming his current (weak) QB situation by sheer force of his size/running ability and touch count.
-- When this ‘237 pounds’ news hits, a prospective trade partner will pucker up a bit and fear trading him/want more in exchange…but it still may be a bargain, and they may see the news as a good bluff of inflation on Penny’s value because they secretly think Kenneth Walker will be the Week 1 guy in the end -- people love rookies. Most of them spent the last three months thinking Desmond Ridder was for sure gonna be the Falcons starter Week 1…and Arthur Smith has just announced Marcus Mariota as their starter (as we were confident in all along).
Penny discussing all these things at a press conference/media questions yesterday (starts halfway in, at the good parts): https://youtu.be/CMLoBLBHYAo?t=243
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