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Dynasty-Fantasy Football Analysis – 2017 Preseason Wk 2: Vikings v. Seahawks

September 8, 2017 12:52 AM
August 20, 2017 10:27 AM

A lot of wonderful performances by young players to discuss in this game, in small doses, for those who stayed with this game into the second half…but the big news – Seattle loses starting LT George Fant for the season. That’s a big blow. If Doug Baldwinor Jimmy Graham were lost for the year it would be a nonstop discussion, but the starting left tackle gone…yawwwnnn.

This hurts Seattle’s title chances in 2017, an already shaky O-Line loses a key piece. It’s a downgrade to the run game…if you can figure out what Seattle is doing with their run game for fantasy purposes (just stay away). It may be a fantasy upgrade for Russell Wilson (13-18 for 206, 2 TD/0 INT), as the running game may be taken away more and Wilson forced to pass more…and scurry from trouble for a few ground yards/points.

It also may mean Jimmy Graham has to stay in to block more!?!

As for this game…Minnesota’s offense continues to look sickly and Seattle continues to look exciting…which means Darrell Bevell will dial it all back in the regular season to try to ground and pound with Eddie Lacy instead of just letting the young talent be talented. He’ll try to pound it, but as what usually happens with Lacy-based offenses – disappointment, which might lead to more passing/Wilson. Maybe…hopefully.

Game notes…

— I mean the following statement with every touch of the keyboard – Dalvin Cook (7-40-0, 1-10-0/3) would be like the 3rd-5th most interesting RB on Seattle’s roster. That doesn’t mean he won’t be forced so many touches down his gullet that he won’t be fantasy viable, I’m just stating the talent-fact…it’s why Minnesota is headed off a cliff investing so much draft stock and energy into something so valueless. On a team falling apart at that the seams, Minnesota puts all its energy into an expensive free agent RB and drafting one highly in 2017…that’s all you need to know when they go 5-11 and fire Mike Zimmer and the GM next offseason.

Latavius Murray is set to debut next week and Dalvin Cook owners may be in a panic when that happens – not because Murray is the end-all, but because a split role of some sort is coming…a split role on a very bad offense with a terrible O-Line.

— Let’s talk about the more interesting RBs in this game…the ones on the Seattle side…

Eddie Lacy (6-20-0) started for nicked up Thomas Rawls (shocker) and C.J. Prosise was also out for the same reason (shocker). There represents your 1-2-3 guys in some order splitting touches for the Seahawks Week 1. Why anyone wants to invest heavy in Rawls to emerge for fantasy, I don’t get…with so many other FF RB options out there.

Making it worse is rookie Chris Carson (6-27-0, 1-17-0/1) looks as good/better than any of them…and certainly as good/better than Dalvin Cook (picked five rounds ahead of him). Seattle will keep Carson, forcing them to roster four RBs…and hamstringing the 53-man that’s in need of more OLs. Lacy is too costly and embarrassing to dump even though he’s the 4th most valuable of this foursome…so because of this massive free agent mistake, Seattle hurts themselves strategically for the 53-man.

For the second straight game in a row, I’ll make the same comment on the Seattle preseason backfield – Mike Davis (6-37-0, 1-22-1/1) looked like the best RB of all of them…and also superior to Dalvin Cook in every facet. Davis came into the game and caught a screen pass and just blazed past/through tacklers for a 22-yard score. Later, he reeled off a sweet 38-yard run. He looks in the best shape I’ve seen him and I liked him a lot coming out of South Carolina years ago as a draft pick for the 49ers. Nice job John Lynch for cutting this guy and trading up the godawful Joe Williams.

Davis cannot be kept on the 53-man, and this will be (arguably) the best RB available in September cut downs. Keep an eye on where Davis lands – he could be the Chargers or Bills #2 RB in a snap of a finger. If Chargers…set your phasers to stun because I will lose my mind calling for an overthrow of the Melvin Gordon government – that’s how good Mike Davis is/can be.

What will happen: Mike Davis will whistle through to the Seattle practice squad, unclaimed off waivers because GMs don’t watch the preseason and don’t know what they are looking at if they do (except Belichick and McClay). The perfect marriage – Davis goes to Dallas for 4-6 weeks!!!

— ‘Stock down’ Adam Thielen (0-0-0/0), who I love. I’m not sure Sam Bradford realized Thielen was on the team in this game. You might cleverly say, if you watched, “But he had Sherman covering him.” That’s true…until Stefon Diggs (4-65-0/5), who saw every target with Bradford (it seemed), then lined up on Sherman — and Bradford threw it right to him on the worst idea/most covered pass play in the history of football.

Go hotter on Diggs for PPR, and downgrade Thielen some…sadly. Thielen is fine but Diggs really is where the safe money is at for 6-8 catches per game…and 40 yards and no TDs.

— Things are getting serious with 2nd year Seattle WR Kasen Williams (2-28-1/4). He ran with the starters (many guys hurt). Early on in the game, the announcers were mentioning how great Williams was last week (and he was) with four leaping, highlight-reel catches. On cue, Wilson alley-oop to Williams for another highlight-reel, leaping catch TD. I don’t know how he wouldn’t make the team at this point. Goodbye, Jermaine Kearse.

The problem is Seattle has WR talent all over. Rookie David Moore (0-0-0/1) looks promising. Tanner McEvoy (1-19-0/1) is a freak of nature, size-skill-wise.

The Seattle depth means further stock down for Tyler Lockett…or any non-Baldwin option.

This isn’t even to mention J.D. McKissic (1-6-0/1) has ‘A’ grade hands and is waiting to be an impact starter for any NFL team paying attention…but Seattle might have to keep him because he works special teams so well. I wish he got cut and landed better somewhere else.

Seattle is loaded with talent…and yet will try to bang Lacy every play and Wilson will only throw to Baldwin 80% of the time.

The WR who won’t make this team – LSU track star Cyril Grayson. He has three official targets in two games and may have three official drops.

— Minnesota fans, you have young hope too. It will be buried in 2017 and unearthed in 2018-2019, but it’s something to look forward to…

TE Bucky Hodges (2-54-1/2) looked AMAZING…on his two targets in the 4ht-quarter As I said all 2017 NFL Draft season – he’s better than Evan Engram, and he’s certainly better than Gerald Everett…he was arguably the best tight end prospect in the entire draft, one of our top-rated players at any position for the draft…but doesn’t get taken until the 6th-round…by a team with the worst offensive mindset/worst passing game in the league. I was cooling on Bucky in dynasty rookie drafts because I thought he might never see targets…in the preseason. Well, he did and was ‘a boss’.

Not as sexy, but more dominant (not in that way) a DT we graded very well for the 2017 NFL Draft — Jaleel Johnson (5 tackles, 2 TFLs). He came into the game 2nd-half and was a force in the 4th quarter just blowing his blocker back and wrangling ballcarriers for TFLs.

Johnson and Hodges are starter talents, right now, if they had ‘draft status’ to promote them – they don’t so they don’t matter and they’ll be buried by the coaching staff, I assure you.

7th-round rookie IDP DE Ifeadi Odenigbo (6 tackles, 1 sack) also had a nice showing in the 4th-quarter.

— Seattle rookie CB Shaq Griffin (4 tackles, 2 PDs) is getting a push…likely to start opening day, and he was getting picked on. He’s a tough player…and likely to be thrown at all day. He may be a hot IDP start for a few weeks until/if DeShawn Shead ever returns from injury.

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>