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2018 NFL Mock Draft (four analysts making picks as THEY would make them) #17-20

Date:
April 13, 2018

The unfiltered transcripts of a mock draft and chat between four draft analysts -- rotating picks, putting themselves in the place of the GM for that team, making the picks THEY would make when it was their turn with explanations on why...and subsequent comments from the analysts.

We'll be displaying four picks per day over the next 8 days for a complete one round mock and a lot of words/commentary.

Enjoy!

1. XC = Xavier Cromartie...America's foremost mock draft authority, national award winner/record setter in draft accuracy on Huddle.com

2. END = Ender...budding mock draft analyst

3. MC = Myles Crowe...Draft analysts and RB prospect expert

4. RC = R.C. Fischer...College Football Metrics and Fantasy Football Metrics' own...

Fantasy author/analyst Jason Katz will moderate the proceedings

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1.01 Cleveland Browns: QB Baker Mayfield

1.02 New York Giants: EDGE Bradley Chubb

1.03 New York Jets: QB Josh Allen

1.04 Cleveland Browns: CB Denzel Ward

1.05 Denver Broncos: QB Sam Darnold

1.06 Indianapolis Colts: RB Saquon Barkley

1.07 Tampa Bay Buccaneers: S Derwin James

1.08 Chicago Bears: G Will Hernandez

1.09 San Francisco 49ers: G Quenton Nelson

1.10 Oakland Raiders: LB Tremaine Edmunds

1.11 Miami Dolphins: EDGE Marcus Davenport

1.12 Buffalo Bills: OT Mike McGlinchey

1.13 Washington Redskins: DL Vita Vea

1.14 Green Bay Packers: WR Courtland Sutton

1.15 Arizona Cardinals: DL Taven Bryan

1.16 Baltimore Ravens: C James Daniels

 

1.17 Los Angeles Chargers: LB Roquan Smith

XC: There are some good CBs out there, but the Chargers are absolutely stacked at the position already. QB is an option but the Chargers should make a Super Bowl push until Rivers is done. Filling in the few holes on defense would make this unit a nightmare. Most have Smith as a top-10 pick. He's not Ray Lewis just because they're the same size. Lavonte David is also a pretty optimistic comp. If he is "just" Deion Jones, he's still really good. Elite in coverage.

 

1.01 Cleveland Browns: QB Baker Mayfield

1.02 New York Giants: EDGE Bradley Chubb

1.03 New York Jets: QB Josh Allen

1.04 Cleveland Browns: CB Denzel Ward

1.05 Denver Broncos: QB Sam Darnold

1.06 Indianapolis Colts: RB Saquon Barkley

1.07 Tampa Bay Buccaneers: S Derwin James

1.08 Chicago Bears: G Will Hernandez

1.09 San Francisco 49ers: G Quenton Nelson

1.10 Oakland Raiders: LB Tremaine Edmunds

1.11 Miami Dolphins: EDGE Marcus Davenport

1.12 Buffalo Bills: OT Mike McGlinchey

1.13 Washington Redskins: DL Vita Vea

1.14 Green Bay Packers: WR Courtland Sutton

1.15 Arizona Cardinals: DL Taven Bryan

1.16 Baltimore Ravens: C James Daniels

1.17 Los Angeles Chargers: LB Roquan Smith

 

END: 1.18 Seattle Seahawks- CB Jaire Alexander  

If I was the Seahawks I would trade this pick. I would trade down and keep trading down. But I have to pick for this mock so...I have holes all over my roster, there’s no offensive linemen left, no receivers. The only thing that makes sense to me is corner. I like several of them actually. The corner group is how everyone perceives the QBs. All equal but with different strengths and weaknesses. Josh Jackson has great size and ball skills, Davis good size and coverage ability but a bit slow, Donte Jackson is small with off field issues, Mike Hughes is a bit small, but my pick Alexander has arguably the fewest weaknesses. He’s excellent in coverage, an incredibly pure athlete, he’s strong and fast, good ball skills. Only issue is the injuries which seem coincidental. I think he could ultimately end up better than Ward because he matches up better with larger receivers who can go up over top of Ward. 

 

1.01 Cleveland Browns: QB Baker Mayfield

1.02 New York Giants: EDGE Bradley Chubb

1.03 New York Jets: QB Josh Allen

1.04 Cleveland Browns: CB Denzel Ward

1.05 Denver Broncos: QB Sam Darnold

1.06 Indianapolis Colts: RB Saquon Barkley

1.07 Tampa Bay Buccaneers: S Derwin James

1.08 Chicago Bears: G Will Hernandez

1.09 San Francisco 49ers: G Quenton Nelson

1.10 Oakland Raiders: LB Tremaine Edmunds

1.11 Miami Dolphins: EDGE Marcus Davenport

1.12 Buffalo Bills: OT Mike McGlinchey

1.13 Washington Redskins: DL Vita Vea

1.14 Green Bay Packers: WR Courtland Sutton

1.15 Arizona Cardinals: DL Taven Bryan

1.16 Baltimore Ravens: C James Daniels

1.17 Los Angeles Chargers: LB Roquan Smith

1.18 Seattle Seahawks- CB Jaire Alexander 

 

 

MC: 1.19 Dallas.  The slide stops here for Minkah Fitzpatrick.  I really want to give Dallas a receiver or TE but I don't like anyone this high.  The Cowboys could really use a versatile body on the backend to improve the league's 7th worst coverage defense (by passer rating), 5th most TDs, and 5th highest completion%.  Minkah's versatility allows greater flexibility for a defense that sorely needs it.  Byron Jones can now spend more time at corner if needed, and with Sean Lee not getting any younger and Jaylon Smith still not fully recovered, Minkah would be a welcome addition to the LB unit in sub package passing situations.  There's a chance that Minkah may be one of the products of Bama's system who proves to be a better college player than pro, especially with how good that coaching staff can be at hiding weaknesses and placing players into the most advantageous positions to succeed, but at this point in the draft it's a risk worth taking.  

 

XC: Fitzpatrick shouldn't have slid. I don't know if I'd call him "top 4" like some people but he probably belongs in the top 10. I don't think I'd trust Jaire Alexander outside of nickel, but he has a nice skill set.

 

Katz: I would be quite pleased if the Cowboys got Minkah. I know there's no shot it happens as I can't imagine him falling outside the top 10, but he's definitely the type of player that could make an immediate contribution.

 

END: I’m hearing Minkah actually could fall into the teens. Several teams don’t think he’s a good enough athlete to go that high. Plus QBs are a thing. 

 

MC: I was very tempted to give you Da'Ron Payne, Katz.  I'm a trenches guy and so I imagined a 3-man rotation of Irving, Payne, and Collins   making for a really impressive unit grouped with Dallas's young ends.  

 

Katz: I am all for the Cowboys actively improving the defense, especially the pass rush. Whenever this secondary needs a big stop, it never gets it. So acquiring players that don't let the QB even throw the ball seems wise. I wish this team had a true shutdown corner. It's just so unfair that they never get to draft in a spot where there's an obvious shutdown corner available... oh wait...

 

END: To this day I still can’t believe they passed on Ramsey

 

MC: @END, I think what you said about Fitz is plausible.  To me, I have to ask myself, was he moved around a bunch b/c he was a quick learner and good at a lot of things but not great at one? I didn't find him to be an elite athlete on film. Felt he was just a bit too tight to be a top 15 selection, which is why I passed on him at Zona's pick. The cornerback in him isn't as sticky 'in-phase' as you would hope and falls short of Tyrann Mathieu's from my eyes........ and I'm not sure there's enough film of him in centerfield responsibility to accurately grasp what his fullest potential there looks like.    I liked UF's Marcus Maye better. 

 

1.01 Cleveland Browns: QB Baker Mayfield

1.02 New York Giants: EDGE Bradley Chubb

1.03 New York Jets: QB Josh Allen

1.04 Cleveland Browns: CB Denzel Ward

1.05 Denver Broncos: QB Sam Darnold

1.06 Indianapolis Colts: RB Saquon Barkley

1.07 Tampa Bay Buccaneers: S Derwin James

1.08 Chicago Bears: G Will Hernandez

1.09 San Francisco 49ers: G Quenton Nelson

1.10 Oakland Raiders: LB Tremaine Edmunds

1.11 Miami Dolphins: EDGE Marcus Davenport

1.12 Buffalo Bills: OT Mike McGlinchey

1.13 Washington Redskins: DL Vita Vea

1.14 Green Bay Packers: WR Courtland Sutton

1.15 Arizona Cardinals: DL Taven Bryan

1.16 Baltimore Ravens: C James Daniels

1.17 Los Angeles Chargers: LB Roquan Smith

1.18 Seattle Seahawks- CB Jaire Alexander 

1.19 Dallas Cowboys – CB Minkah Fitzpatrick

 

RC: #20 Detroit Lions select OLB Harold Landry 

I think this is what the Lions will do for real either at #20, moving back in the first or somewhere in the second. I'm gambling on his high-end athleticism to be able to payoff as an EDGE, or more likely an outside linebacker. 

4.64, 1.59 10-yard, 24 bench reps, 6.88 three-cone. I thought he was a far superior technician as a pass rusher than Bradley Chubb, but I get Chubb has the size/athleticism thing going on -- Landry is a tick faster, same strength, far more agile than Chubb but about 15+ pounds smaller and 2'. That's why I think OLB more than EDGE, but I got either option or a possible move inside but I think I want him rushing the passer and dropping into coverage as needed. 

 

XC: There shouldn't be any doubt that Landry will have to play LB. These little run-around rush guys always put on a show at the Combine but they never make it at the NFL level unless they're obvious top-10 type picks. It's a dead meme at this point. They play 40-50% of the snaps and are typically below average players. He's another one of them.

 

RC: Slower and/or poor open field tackling otherwise pass rush only guys who can't play out in space or cover play 50% of the snaps. I think Landry does not go EDGE on pass rush only and goes more pure OLB, and goes three-downs, which is the main reason I would take him higher. I could live with his speed-agility on the EDGE only 50% of the snaps -- but I think I get a three-down, higher end worker in all phases here. 

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics, and a football projections analyst and writer for Fantasy Football Metrics. 

Learn more about RC and the College Football Metrics system >>