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2018 NFL Mock Draft (four analysts making picks as THEY would make them) #21-24

Date:
April 14, 2018

The unfiltered transcripts of a mock draft and chat between four draft analysts -- rotating picks, putting themselves in the place of the GM for that team, making the picks THEY would make when it was their turn with explanations on why...and subsequent comments from the analysts.

We'll be displaying four picks per day over the next 8 days for a complete one round mock and a lot of words/commentary.

Enjoy!

1. XC = Xavier Cromartie...America's foremost mock draft authority, national award winner/record setter in draft accuracy on Huddle.com

2. END = Ender...budding mock draft analyst

3. MC = Myles Crowe...Draft analysts and RB prospect expert

4. RC = R.C. Fischer...College Football Metrics and Fantasy Football Metrics' own...

Fantasy author/analyst Jason Katz will moderate the proceedings

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1.01 Cleveland Browns: QB Baker Mayfield

1.02 New York Giants: EDGE Bradley Chubb

1.03 New York Jets: QB Josh Allen

1.04 Cleveland Browns: CB Denzel Ward

1.05 Denver Broncos: QB Sam Darnold

1.06 Indianapolis Colts: RB Saquon Barkley

1.07 Tampa Bay Buccaneers: S Derwin James

1.08 Chicago Bears: G Will Hernandez

1.09 San Francisco 49ers: G Quenton Nelson

1.10 Oakland Raiders: LB Tremaine Edmunds

1.11 Miami Dolphins: EDGE Marcus Davenport

1.12 Buffalo Bills: OT Mike McGlinchey

1.13 Washington Redskins: DL Vita Vea

1.14 Green Bay Packers: WR Courtland Sutton

1.15 Arizona Cardinals: DL Taven Bryan

1.16 Baltimore Ravens: C James Daniels

1.17 Los Angeles Chargers: LB Roquan Smith

1.18 Seattle Seahawks: CB Jaire Alexander

1.19 Dallas Cowboys: CB Minkah Fitzpatrick

1.20 Detroit Lions: EDGE Harold Landry

 

1.21 Cincinnati Bengals: CB Josh Jackson

XC: We're going to take the best player rather than reach for biggest need. With this pick the Bengals can dump Dre Kirkpatrick and go forward with Darqueze Dennard, William Jackson, and Josh Jackson at CB. Josh Jackson is following a similar draft path to Tre'Davious White last year (slid a little but was elite as a rookie). Jackson's Combine bored the plebs who want to see 4.3, even though his SPARQ was 76th percentile. He shuts down every route.

 

1.01 Cleveland Browns: QB Baker Mayfield

1.02 New York Giants: EDGE Bradley Chubb

1.03 New York Jets: QB Josh Allen

1.04 Cleveland Browns: CB Denzel Ward

1.05 Denver Broncos: QB Sam Darnold

1.06 Indianapolis Colts: RB Saquon Barkley

1.07 Tampa Bay Buccaneers: S Derwin James

1.08 Chicago Bears: G Will Hernandez

1.09 San Francisco 49ers: G Quenton Nelson

1.10 Oakland Raiders: LB Tremaine Edmunds

1.11 Miami Dolphins: EDGE Marcus Davenport

1.12 Buffalo Bills: OT Mike McGlinchey

1.13 Washington Redskins: DL Vita Vea

1.14 Green Bay Packers: WR Courtland Sutton

1.15 Arizona Cardinals: DL Taven Bryan

1.16 Baltimore Ravens: C James Daniels

1.17 Los Angeles Chargers: LB Roquan Smith

1.18 Seattle Seahawks: CB Jaire Alexander

1.19 Dallas Cowboys: CB Minkah Fitzpatrick

1.20 Detroit Lions: EDGE Harold Landry

1.21 Cincinnati Bengals: CB Josh Jackson

 

END: I absolutely love this corner class. Ward, J. Jackson, Alexander, Hughes, D. Jackson, Oliver...and that’s just the name guys. It’s pick your flavor of talented cornerbacks this year.  

1.22 Buffalo Bills 

We’re taking our quarterback here but which one? Rosen is smart and has flawless mechanics. Rudolph is solid all-around. Lamar Jackson has elite athleticism and a plus arm. I may get killed for this, but I’m taking Lamar Jackson. His mechanics could use a little cleaning up and he could stand to put on some weight, but he’s a good leader, he can go through progressions, his accuracy is underrated, he doesn’t turn the ball over, he’s arguably the fastest, most dangerous runner since Vick, and he’s a better overall fit for the new NFL. Offenses are finally starting to catch up to college schemes and adapt to their players skills. Deshaun Watson didn’t have any business in the NFL last year. The old NFL. He works ok with the new age. Jackson is better. I don’t believe Lamar will be available here in the real draft, but I’m happy to snatch him up here. 

 

RC: if Josh Jackson pays off Combining with Will Jackson — the Bengals are one of the hot sleeper teams and DSTs for 2018. It’s within reach — the Bengals as AFC North shock winners which possibly gets Mike Tomlin fired. 

 

XC: I would have gone with Mason Rudolph even though his 52 MPH arm is a concern. I think he's the 3rd best QB after Mayfield and Darnold. Rosen is off my board regardless of talent. Lamar Jackson has a 49 MPH arm and 13 Wonderlic, and so I have to say no. Deshaun Watson has a noodle arm too, but at least he managed a 20 on the Wonderlic, as did Michael Vick. That's normal intelligence. Jackson is a brainlet. I also think he's inaccurate and at risk for physically breaking down.

 

1.01 Cleveland Browns: QB Baker Mayfield

1.02 New York Giants: EDGE Bradley Chubb

1.03 New York Jets: QB Josh Allen

1.04 Cleveland Browns: CB Denzel Ward

1.05 Denver Broncos: QB Sam Darnold

1.06 Indianapolis Colts: RB Saquon Barkley

1.07 Tampa Bay Buccaneers: S Derwin James

1.08 Chicago Bears: G Will Hernandez

1.09 San Francisco 49ers: G Quenton Nelson

1.10 Oakland Raiders: LB Tremaine Edmunds

1.11 Miami Dolphins: EDGE Marcus Davenport

1.12 Buffalo Bills: OT Mike McGlinchey

1.13 Washington Redskins: DL Vita Vea

1.14 Green Bay Packers: WR Courtland Sutton

1.15 Arizona Cardinals: DL Taven Bryan

1.16 Baltimore Ravens: C James Daniels

1.17 Los Angeles Chargers: LB Roquan Smith

1.18 Seattle Seahawks: CB Jaire Alexander

1.19 Dallas Cowboys: CB Minkah Fitzpatrick

1.20 Detroit Lions: EDGE Harold Landry

1.21 Cincinnati Bengals: CB Josh Jackson

1.22 Buffalo Bills: QB Lamar Jackson

 

MC: 1.23 Rams.  QUICK, name the Rams' starters at OLB.........   Bzzt, times up!  The less-new LA team has the look of an elite defense, minus 1 positional group after the departures of Robert Quinn and Connor Barwin [probably to free agency]....... soooo Lorenzo Carter it is. Yeah yeah, I'm over-drafting my guy here, but pickins' are slim at 34OLB and it's my draft, so zip it.  Besides, by the time late April arrives, it likely won't be a "reach".  

It's amusing that Vander Esch receives so much attention, yet it's been quiet on the Lorenzo Carter front, whom I'd put ahead of LVE myself. Heck, I'd boldly like to hear arguments why Lorenzo shouldn't belong in discussion with Tremaine Edmunds...... and I'm just going by the tape here, not even introducing the subject of Carter's eye-popping combine numbers- 6'5 250 with 34" arms, 10+ hands, running a 4.46 forty, 10'10" broad, and 36" vert.  I think Carter is such a good linebacker that it may have actually hindered his draft stock.  Had he been afforded more time rushing quarterbacks, perhaps he'd be viewed as a top 15 pick right now.  The underlying ability appears there to develop into a solid pass rusher, and in the meantime he's still an outstanding 2-down backer who can play the strong side (be it left or right b/c he's versatile like that) while the weakside guy handles more of the rush duties.  Who knows, with Donald and Suh generating pressure up the middle, maybe a fast athletic guy like Carter picks up a handful of clean-up sacks.  I wouldn't be surprised if he became one of the better players of this draft a few years from now.  

 

MC: Wow, I would've never imagined that if you combined Lamar's velocity + Wonderlic that it would equal Josh Allen's MPH alone.  Things that make you go hmmm. 

The Patriots got pick 23 in the Brandin Cooks trade.

 

MC:  dammit I totally forgot about that.  Too many bourbons tonight paired with looking at an outdated draft page.  Even off the football field the Patriots are making my life heck.  Give me a bit here... possibly by morning..... or I should just give them a punter and be done with it.  

 

MC: 1.23 Patriots. This might be one of the biggest need-based picks of the 1st round, but we are talking about Tom Brady's blindside bodyguard here...... so I'm going with what will probably become this year's lazy pick for every mock until draft day...... Kolton Miller....... who, incidentally, looks a lot like the guy they just lost.    Kolton has some stuff that needs cleaning up but he's the best true tackle left on the board, and as much as I'd like to see Brady pancaked on a weekly basis, I'm sure the Patriots don't.  There's a college left tackle I regard higher, but he may be better suited for guard in the pros, and I prefer not taking a chance here when left tackle is the dire need. 

 

1.01 Cleveland Browns: QB Baker Mayfield

1.02 New York Giants: EDGE Bradley Chubb

1.03 New York Jets: QB Josh Allen

1.04 Cleveland Browns: CB Denzel Ward

1.05 Denver Broncos: QB Sam Darnold

1.06 Indianapolis Colts: RB Saquon Barkley

1.07 Tampa Bay Buccaneers: S Derwin James

1.08 Chicago Bears: G Will Hernandez

1.09 San Francisco 49ers: G Quenton Nelson

1.10 Oakland Raiders: LB Tremaine Edmunds

1.11 Miami Dolphins: EDGE Marcus Davenport

1.12 Buffalo Bills: OT Mike McGlinchey

1.13 Washington Redskins: DL Vita Vea

1.14 Green Bay Packers: WR Courtland Sutton

1.15 Arizona Cardinals: DL Taven Bryan

1.16 Baltimore Ravens: C James Daniels

1.17 Los Angeles Chargers: LB Roquan Smith

1.18 Seattle Seahawks: CB Jaire Alexander

1.19 Dallas Cowboys: CB Minkah Fitzpatrick

1.20 Detroit Lions: EDGE Harold Landry

1.21 Cincinnati Bengals: CB Josh Jackson

1.22 Buffalo Bills: QB Lamar Jackson

1.23 New England Patriots: OT Kolton Miller

 

RC: 1.24 Panthers select DB Mike Hughes

I’ll bite here. A little smaller than I like in a CB but these days cover/mirror ability and potential slot usage are trumping ‘big corner’. 

I like the tape I’ve seen so far. Nice Combine numbers. Killer return numbers. 

I’m getting some kind DB (CB, slot, FS) and returnman to use on a team in desperate need of DBs. 

 

END: The Wonderlic is somewhat outdated and can be prepared for regardless. Jackson’s Mom has botched the whole process, and it’s making him look bad. The reality is probably not that dire. His arm looks plenty strong on tape, so not sure what’s up with his mph’s. Hoping he learns to throw with his lower body instead of arming it. You can learn that.  

Too bad the Rams weren’t picking there. I love Carter too and had him slotted to the Rams in one of my older mocks. Not sure why the NFL doesn’t like him. Reminds me of when Justin Houston came out of Georgia, put up elite numbers on the stat sheet, elite athleticism at the combine...and goes 3rd round. Insane.  

RC, the mock draft I’m about to put out actually has Hughes to the Panthers. Solid pick. 

 

XC: I don't get the appeal of Mike Hughes so early except that he can return kicks (which could become obsolete soon). Little guy who doesn't run well. Basically played only one year. It would be ok if he were truly great but he was just solid against AAC competition. Seems like a guy who typically goes round 2-3. I like Donte Jackson more than Hughes. Jackson is small but I'd never expect him to do anything other than the slot. He'll shut down everything in that role. If he had size he'd be considered an elite CB.

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics, and a football projections analyst and writer for Fantasy Football Metrics. 

Learn more about RC and the College Football Metrics system >>