Brought to you by - Total Football Advisors, LLC
Predictions on the 2018 Supplemental NFL Draft…
Trying to predict the 2018 NFL Supplemental Draft on Tuesday, June 11 -- I think there is for sure one player (Sam Beal) going to get drafted and 60-40 that another one gets selected (Brandon Bryant). The other three prospects will be signed after the draft.
My predictions of where each guy lands this week, whether drafted or becoming an unsigned free agent…
*We have free view scouting reports of varying lengths on each of the five prospects on our home page.
-- Undersized LB prospect Bright Ugwoegbu is probably the worst single prospect (on-field) of this group. He will definitely not be drafted.
I suspect he will get a tryout with Seattle, as they were one of the six teams who attended his Pro Day. It also tips the cap to closer by Oregon State to maintain relationships.
-- Slow and ‘troubled’ Virginia Tech CB prospect Adonis Alexander should not be drafted either. He’s got the worst ‘rap sheet’/red flags of the group off the field and a terrible Pro Day and tape to boot. Alexander is going to attract a team with some DB desperation, a poor scouting department…and likely as a UDFA. Any team that would actually draft him should immediately fire their GM. There’s a 10-20% chance he gets taken/claimed in the last round.
26 teams showed up as his Pro Day, so there was interest. The media is pushing him. It’s hard to pinpoint him to one team. Looking for ‘desperate’ and ‘terrible at personnel’, I would look at the Colts and Jets as landing spots, both teams met with Alexander after his Pro Day. I’d lean ‘Jets’ in the last round because of their fear that given a choice as a UDFA, he’d go anywhere but the Jets.
-- I’m really intrigued by Grand Valley State RB prospect Marty Carter, the D2 Offensive Player of the Year in 2016. He’s a player. He’s Chase Edmonds (Cardinals draft pick) if Edmunds were an even better RB talent and had more character red flags/concerns.
Grand Valley State is in Michigan, so the Lions would easier access to more insight on Carter, but the Lions depth chart is filled with too many RBs as it is.
I’m going to predict a smart tape scouting team wants him as a UDFA – so, I think that team will be the Dallas Cowboys but put the Buffalo Bills on the list as well as a possible landing spot. The Rams might be in play as well.
-- I would never waste a draft pick on an average safety prospect but I know what’s going to happen with Mississippi State’s Brandon Bryant – he’s going to get drafted. He had a so-so Pro Day, measurables-wise (a ton of physical prowess hype going in that never panned out when measured). He plays a position that is the lowest value in the NFL these days. He has a pretty sloppy off-field record (academically ineligible, had a DUI in the past). However, all of that will be swept under the rug because there are highlight reels of Bryant making some big hits…and that’s the equivalent of the siren call of ‘big arm’ among QB prospects for NFL coaches, and no one caring whether the QB is any good at playing the position or not…just ‘big arm’.
Bryant has a chance to be drafted by a team with a head coach who is the ‘fake tough guy’ type and thinks measurables and economy of position are things ‘nerds’ talk about. So, I would put the Jacksonville Jaguars and Washington Redskins atop the hunt for Bryant. I’ll lean Washington because personnel VP Doug Williams is such a lazy, sloppy evaluator who I could see falling for such things.
I’ll say Washington claims him in one of the last three rounds of the supplemental draft, and it will be ridiculous…
-- CB Sam Beal is the prize of the 2018 Supplemental Draft. A raw, talented cover corner with length, nice feet and instincts. He is a top 50 type prospect if he were in the actual NFL Draft. Some team will select him in the second round of this supplemental draft is my, and many people’s prediction.
I would assume two things: (1) Beal goes top a team picking #10-15, a higher priority (higher pick) in the draft. (2) It will more likely be a team that is desperate right now…a coach or GM on the hot seat, one who may not be around to care about losing a 2019 pick if they don’t win right now.
I like the Jets and Colts to be the odds-on favorites to make this pick, but the Browns might trump them. Long shot teams to make this pick because they probably think their 2nd-round pick will be later in 2019/not as painful to yield – the Bears or 49ers.
The 2018 Supplemental Draft takes place on July 11th. So, mark your calendars and try to sleep the night before if you can, I’m sure the excitement will be too much for you to bear…
We'll break it all down soon after the draft is completed and the non-draftees get signed.
College Football Metrics Subscriptions are still available for your Dynasty Rookie Draft planning. Over 300+ rookies (including IDPs) are ranked and valued, and updated weekly with commentary right up to opening day. Preview scouting reports on 2019 prospects, our annual summer series, begins soon. College Football Metrics.