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2018 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft (Five Experts Picking with Commentary) *#2.06-2.08

Air Date:
April 3, 2018

Five experts mock drafting the rookie draft, pre-NFL Draft…so it’s a bit flying-blind on their landing spots, but we wanted to show you what some experts were thinking at this stage of the draft studies.

We’ll release a few picks each day as they are made, and the commentary is organized to be published. The draft is going on, a slow draft, as I type. After each round we'll publish the whole thing as one post and then all of them as a post in the end, but for now pieces at a time.

*Informal chats via email, so forgive typos or grammar.

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Welcome to the first annual FFMetrics expert rookie mock draft. The participants and draft order is as follows: 

1.1 Jason Katz (Katz)

1.2 Myles Crowe (MC)

1.3 Ender (END)

1.4 Xavier Cromartie (XC)

1.5 RC Fischer (RC)

And keeping that order for 25 picks.

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This Post: Picks #2.06-2.08

RC: FYI Dallas Goedert 6.87 three cone today. No 40-time. 

 

END: That’s what I wanted to see from Goedert. Now he just needs a good landing spot. 

 

1.01 RB Saquon Barkley

1.02 RB Rashaad Penny

1.03 WR Courtland Sutton

1.04 QB Lamar Jackson

1.05 RB Royce Freeman

1.06 RB Derrius Guice

1.07 RB Ronald Jones

1.08 RB Sony Michel

1.09 WR DJ Moore

1.10 RB Josh Adams

1.11 RB Nick Chubb

1.12 WR DJ Chark

2.01 TE Dallas Goedert

2.02 QB Baker Mayfield

2.03 RB Jaylen Samuels

2.04 WR Calvin Ridley

2.05 RB Kalen Ballage

 

END: With 2.06 I’ll take Christian Kirk. He’s not the most athletic. He’s not the heaviest production guy. But what he does is work hard and make plays. Kirk is versatile enough to be used all over the field and is even capable of taking a few handoffs now and then. Really reminds me of Randall Cobb coming out. We’ve seen Cobb produce in the right spot and so can Kirk. What if the Saints take him late in the 1st? Another prime candidate to flip at the right time because of name recognition. 

 

MC: No 40 time for Goedert but he did blaze a 4.06 shuttle.  We typically don't see greater than a 0.5 second difference between 40 and shuttle, so if that time is REAL, then he more than likely is in the 4.6's, low 4.7 at worst if he doesn't possess good long speed.  I mean, 4.06 would've qualified as 3rd best among WR at the combine, and 9th best regardless of position. 

 

 

XC: 2.06 WR Christian Kirk: Kirk is a good WR. Average pick 1.08 in normal dynasty drafts, and he probably belongs up there. He shouldn't have fallen this far. I get that he's short and not a great athlete. I like the Stefon Diggs comp more than Randall Cobb. After Moore and Sutton, Kirk is a strong candidate for #3 WR in this class. He should be a solid WR2 for fantasy. He's a guy to keep, not to flip.

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1.01 RB Saquon Barkley

1.02 RB Rashaad Penny

1.03 WR Courtland Sutton

1.04 QB Lamar Jackson

1.05 RB Royce Freeman

1.06 RB Derrius Guice

1.07 RB Ronald Jones

1.08 RB Sony Michel

1.09 WR DJ Moore

1.10 RB Josh Adams

1.11 RB Nick Chubb

1.12 WR DJ Chark

2.01 TE Dallas Goedert

2.02 QB Baker Mayfield

2.03 RB Jaylen Samuels

2.04 WR Calvin Ridley

2.05 RB Kalen Ballage

2.06 WR Christian Kirk

 

 

XC: 2.07 WR Michael Gallup. Time to take "my guy." Gallup is what people want Calvin Ridley to be. He's just an average athlete, but he knows how to play WR. Good production the last two seasons. He was 3rd in receptions and 5th in yards in 2017. He succeeds on a variety of routes. The most interesting comparison is Justin Blackmon (without the drug problems). Only known injury was an ankle issue way back in 2015. Should be a very solid player for many years.

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1.01 RB Saquon Barkley

1.02 RB Rashaad Penny

1.03 WR Courtland Sutton

1.04 QB Lamar Jackson

1.05 RB Royce Freeman

1.06 RB Derrius Guice

1.07 RB Ronald Jones

1.08 RB Sony Michel

1.09 WR DJ Moore

1.10 RB Josh Adams

1.11 RB Nick Chubb

1.12 WR DJ Chark

2.01 TE Dallas Goedert

2.02 QB Baker Mayfield

2.03 RB Jaylen Samuels

2.04 WR Calvin Ridley

2.05 RB Kalen Ballage

2.06 WR Christian Kirk

2.07 WR Michael Gallup

 

Katz: RC. You're on the clock!

 

RC: We're running out of names that get me excited as a drafter...and, for me, I'm looking/leaning more towards trying to hit homeruns here. I'm going to take a player sight unseen...no measurables in yet and I haven't studied deeper, but the things I do see and the preview tape I watched...I'm secretly wondering if he's not the 2nd or 3rd best WR in this draft. 2.08 WR Anthony Miller, Memphis

 

RC: Bonus coverage... Hey, MC...master of unknown RBs...what's your analysis on Boston Scott, La Tech?

 

XC: You can't just say Anthony Miller is the 2nd best WR in the class and then change the subject.

 

RC: Yeah, I probably need to explain more. His Pro Day isn't until 4/3/2018. So, I don't know if he's fast enough/quick enough to warrant a lot of love. My first preview of tape I saw some great moments and then some no-so-hot ones, but I need to spend a chunk of the day studying him to get a better feeling. His receiving numbers are kinda ridiculous -- nine 140+ yard games in his last 17 games. He might be a lesser Christian Kirk, but might surprise on 4/3/18...or make me throw away this pick in the trash. One of the top production guys among any WR in this draft by numbers and 'marketshare'...I'm just gambling he might have measurables to go with it. 

Pure gamble here, buying somewhat sight unseen just looking at the production numbers in my models...and the guys next on my list I think I'll get with my next two picks. 

What's your early take?

 

XC: Miller does have production and a bunch of TDs. He'll likely stay on my top 100 board, but he's typically considered the 8th-10th WR. He should run 4.5. He's turning 24, which is always a negative. He has been banged up (shoulder and foot). Sterling Shepard comp. He could play outside but is more likely a slot. Except he didn't really run NFL types of routes. They either throw it to him right away without even running a route, or he goes deep and somehow always catches it. Solid player.

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics, and a football projections analyst and writer for Fantasy Football Metrics. 

Learn more about RC and the College Football Metrics system >>
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