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Using just the guys invited/attending the Senior Bowl. Just based on my quick pre-Senior Bowl scouting of tape and looking over their college performance numbers along with what I saw this week of Senior Bowl practices.
Going in reverse order for the top 12, and starting with #13-15 ‘honorable mentions’…
15) RB Darrel Williams, LSU
14) WR Braxton Berrios, Miami, Fla
13) WR James Washington, Oklahoma State
The Top 12…
12) QB Luke Falk, Washington State – I love his NFL potential but not in as much love with his fantasy potential. In the right spot, with a great coach, over time…Falk could be Brady-like, but the odds are he’ll be paired with an old-school coach and Falk will be a limited-stat game manager for a few years before really breaking out.
11) WR Jaleel Scott, New Mexico State – My bet on the best of the ‘big’ WR prospects here (6’4.7”/216). Size, flashed NFL WR skills…if he tests hot at the Combine, he’s going to pick up momentum because of the size and total package he presents. If he runs a 4.50 +/- 40-time…he’s going to be in demand.
10) RB Jaylen Samuels, NC State – looks like a legit NFL prospect as a power runner but has the X-factor that he was used as a TE and an H-back because he’s a nice receiver out of the backfield. He could be classified as a TE, maybe, and be a jack of all trades – as a ‘TE’ he’d be a radical valuation for fantasy…seeing some targets and carries like an RB/FB but playing TE.
9) WR Justin Watson, Penn – Has the Chris Hogan, Cooper Kupp vibe. Does everything properly – good routes, good hands, good athlete…he checks every box. He’s stable and could be a QB’s best friend one day if he falls into the right situation.
8) WR DaeSean Hamilton, Penn State -- Displayed star-level ability to get open at the Senior Bowl…like stunning ability to move east-west and cut away from defenders. A possible high-end producer at WR for a wide-open offense. Up and down, mostly ‘meh’ numbers at Penn State foy years is the hesitation – if he’s this good-looking, technically…why the ‘meh’ college career? Looking forward to a deeper study and the Combine results here.
7) QB Mason Rudolph, Oklahoma State – Arguably the best QB prospect in the 2018 NFL Draft class. I’d like to put him ahead of Baker Mayfield, but Mayfield is also really good…and I suspect Mayfield will have more draft stock/is taken higher with instant expectations whereas Rudolph might be taken 2 nd-round and sits behind Brady/Big Ben, etc., and doesn’t matter for fantasy for years. That risk drops him below Mayfield.
6) QB Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma
Mayfield will have draft status, more penchant for running for FF points, and is a talented QB who will be expected to start right away…so he gets the nod ahead of Rudolph.
5) RB Kalen Ballage, Arizona – Looked like the best RB at the Senior Bowl, to me. Especially interesting considering his 6’2”/222 frame. He is an ace receiver out of the backfield…a possible convert to WR if needed. Plus, he’s a power runner. He may be better for fantasy than for the NFL.
4) DE Marcus Davenport, UTSA – He’s the ‘it’ pass rush prospect of 2018. He should go to a team running a 4-3 and he’ll be classified as a DE. He’s a 10+ sack a season threat once he gets comfortable in the NFL.
3) RB Rashaad Penny, San Diego State – Has the perfect size for an NFL RB (5’11”/224). He’s got size to run with power but has enough pop to reel off big runs. He’s decent enough in the passing game, but a little shaky with his hands. His ‘status’ is bigger than his reality. I’d draft him and look to trade him in the fake world.
2) WR J’Mon Moore, Missouri – If there was one WR prospect I saw and believed could be an NFL star…it was J’Mon. People are going crazy for DaeSean Hamilton’s shimmy and shake ability to get open…Moore is as good or better and gives you more size at 6’2.5”/210. I loved his tape pre-Senior Bwol and loved what he was doing at the Senior Bowl. I want to see more and see his Combine numbers, but he’s a guy I’m focused on as potentially the ‘best in class’ (but it’s too early to make that call).
1) TE Dallas Goedert, South Dakota State – Not the best player at the Senior Bowl, but considering the position he plays and the lack of other talent at TE…the supply and demand works in his favor. He had to leave the week with injury so we didn’t get to see anything from him. However, his work at the FCS level is something to behold. An amazing highlight reel…that if it is ‘real’ for the NFL, he’ll start and be a fantasy impact TE right away in the right offense/situation.
He might have so-so speed-agility at the NFL Combine and fall from my grace, but for now I put him #1.