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2020 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft, Five Rounds with Commentary (from the 1.04 Spot)

Air Date:
July 18, 2020

For a 12 day stretch/series, I’m going to do a five round Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft from each of the #1-12 spots and publish them one each day with some basic commentary – just to show the direction I’ve been seeing/advising on 2020 Dynasty Rookie Drafts.

Of course, my primary goal in the 2020 DRD is to trade my 1st-round pick for a king’s ransom or just a better existing player or packaging up the later 1st-round pick (#3 or 4-12) + player that I want to deal away in exchange for a bigger player I’m desiring. Be that as it may…with this exercise I’m just going to go through and make my picks as if I have to and I’ll explain why.

Many/most of the mock DRDs will look similar after round #1, I assume, but we’ll see. I’ll be using FantasyPros’s mock draft tool and thus working with their ‘expert rankings’ + system for mocks.

My plan in each pick scenario is basically…

1st-round plan = best available (if you’re forcing me to pick), but I’m not really interested in the prospects (for now/2020 valuation) after the 1.02 pick (so, disliking 1.03/1.04 on)…after CEH and Jon Taylor go, I could care less about this 2020 DRD, in as far as making picks.  

I’ll be making picks mostly on a ‘best available’ basis, and I’ll explain why/what I did what I did when I make the pick.

2nd-round plan = Bryan Edwards is my main target, but he’ll be gone after #17-20 in most DRDs. I will likely/potentially pick Edwards late 1st-round in many instances if I fear/know I won’t get him 2nd-round…depends on what is left at the later 1st-round spots.

I’m also eyeing Zack Moss and Josh Kelley as options after Edwards, especially where I own Devin Singletary (as I do, a lot). Chase Claypool is my fallback 2nd-round pick (whom I love, but don’t like his value vs. trading out of the 2nd-round…I can go get Claypool in October or Jan. 2021).

3rd-round plan = I really despise the draft from here on in, but not so much if Moss or Kelley, or Chase Claypool falls to me (as is happening more and more with Claypool). I am looking at flyers like Justin Herbert, Lynn Bowden, or mostly Devin Duvernay (whom I love but HATE this landing spot). I could go Jalen Hurts as well…he’s the one guy from here on if he HAS to start…he’s a ‘1’ at his position (QB1).

4th-round plan = More flyers…my favorites are Jalen Hurts, or I might go Joe Reed as a WR prospect who might convert to RB, and his RB physical profile is sweet.

5th-round plan = Joe Reed is great. I could also take a flyer on RBs like Mike Warren, James Robinson, and Raymond Calais. Robinson is growing on me especially where I have Leonard Fournette investment.

6th-round plan = Usually, always available is TE Colby Parkinson…unless you play in a league with other FFM/CFMers.

With that base plan, let’s let ‘er rip and go through 12 mock DRDs in 12 days…

 


2020 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft, Five Rounds with Commentary (from the 1.04 Spot)

 

1st-Round (pick 1.04)

Typical #1-2 picks here and then it was CeeDee Lamb at 1.03. The 1.03 starts the randomness that rolls all the way through the next 5+ picks of the 1st-round. It’s why I want out of the 1st-round after 1.02. But we’re making picks with a purpose here, so I have to play the board the way they gave it to me.

I don’t think CeeDee Lamb is special…and if he is really good, he’s still in a weak spot for fantasy in Dallas because of Amari-Gallup. THEY can have all the Lamb-Jeudy-Ruggs-Jefferson they want…none of them are special in my book. I’ll happily take J.K. Dobbins and hope that Mark Ingram stumbles.

 

1.1 C. Edwards-Helaire

1.2 Jonathan Taylor

1.3 CeeDee Lamb

1.4 J.K. Dobbins

1.5 Jerry Jeudy

1.6 Cam Akers

1.7 D'Andre Swift

1.8 Justin Jefferson

1.9 M. Pittman

1.10 Ke'Shawn Vaughn

1.11 Tee Higgins

1.12 Jalen Reagor

 

 

2nd-Round (pick 2.04)

As has been the case with my 2nd-rounds…all day Bryan Edwards.

An aside: I was asked about a pick #16/2.04 recently…Edwards OR Hayden Hurst, for those who can take existing players in a DRD. Hmmm…very interesting.

We all want the sexy rookie, but if you have a loaded WR group as it is, and a title contending team, and need TE depth protection – Hurst is not a crazy selection here. It’s more prudent for 2020.

Why I want to trade out of this draft after 1.02…you can buy these rookies next year for some level of discount, some deep discounts/you won’t care about them anymore, after the rookie newness wears off. I can get Edwards reasonably a week after this DRD in reality, or in October maybe, or in January 2021…at a reasonable price perhaps. We get all excited about these rookies in the current year and then half as excited by them a year later.

 

2.1 Henry Ruggs III

2.2 Joe Burrow

2.3 Denzel Mims

2.4 Bryan Edwards

2.5 Tua Tagovailoa

2.6 Brandon Aiyuk

2.7 L. Shenault

2.8 Antonio Gibson

2.9 Justin Herbert

2.10 A.J. Dillon

2.11 A. McFarland

2.12 Zack Moss

 

 

3rd-Round (pick 3.04)

I tend to take Claypool-Duvernay in the 3rd-round but we’re getting to the point where they are not there as much…but , also, here I have Joshua Kelley, who I think will be the split starter with Austin Ekeler in short order. So, because RBs are more valuable in a coin toss pick situation…I take Kelley over Duvernay here.

 

3.1 Darrynton Evans

3.2 Chase Claypool

3.3 KJ Hamler

3.4 Joshua Kelley

3.5 Cole Kmet

3.6 Van Jefferson

3.7 A. Gandy-Golden

3.8 Devin Duvernay

3.9 Jordan Love

3.10 Tyler Johnson

3.11 Lynn Bowden Jr.

3.12 Adam Trautman

 

 

4th-Round (pick 4.04)

Dang! Someone took my Jalen Hurts pick ahead of me…and that’s going to happen more and more as I pick from further back. It’s OK. He’s just a smart bet in this range, but not the end-all-be-all. If you have Wentz…he’s a little more important in deep roster leagues.

I’m not in love with many of the typical options here, so I will gamble on a boom-bust pick in Joe Reed. Reed has a chance to make it as a WR, he’s pretty good, but also might make it as an RB…his Combine numbers would say he’s a top 3-5 RB body in this draft. He’s potentially a better Deebo Samuel on a less imaginative offense. I’ll roll the dice on the upside and options.

 

4.1 Eno Benjamin

4.2 Jalen Hurts

4.3 Lamical Perine

4.4 Joe Reed

4.5 Devin Asiasi

4.6 D. Peoples-Jones

4.7 DeeJay Dallas

4.8 Jason Huntley

4.9 Albert Okwuegbunam

4.10 Quintez Cephus

4.11 Gabriel Davis

4.12 Dalton Keene

 

 

5th-Round (pick 5.04)

As always, we end with Colby Parkinson because FFM/CFM is the only one taking him (this high) with interest these days.

 

5.1 Collin Johnson

5.2 Brycen Hopkins

5.3 Darnell Mooney

5.4 Colby Parkinson

5.5 Thaddeus Moss

5.6 Hunter Bryant

5.7 K.J. Hill

5.8 John Hightower

5.9 Jacob Eason

5.10 Isaiah Coulter

5.11 Josiah Deguara

5.12 Harrison Bryant

 

------------------------------------

 

TOTAL DRAFT:

 

1.1 C. Edwards-Helaire

1.2 Jonathan Taylor

1.3 CeeDee Lamb

1.4 J.K. Dobbins

1.5 Jerry Jeudy

1.6 Cam Akers

1.7 D'Andre Swift

1.8 Justin Jefferson

1.9 M. Pittman

1.10 Ke'Shawn Vaughn

1.11 Tee Higgins

1.12 Jalen Reagor

-------------------------

2.1 Henry Ruggs III

2.2 Joe Burrow

2.3 Denzel Mims

2.4 Bryan Edwards

2.5 Tua Tagovailoa

2.6 Brandon Aiyuk

2.7 L. Shenault

2.8 Antonio Gibson

2.9 Justin Herbert

2.10 A.J. Dillon

2.11 A. McFarland

2.12 Zack Moss

-------------------------

3.1 Darrynton Evans

3.2 Chase Claypool

3.3 KJ Hamler

3.4 Joshua Kelley

3.5 Cole Kmet

3.6 Van Jefferson

3.7 A. Gandy-Golden

3.8 Devin Duvernay

3.9 Jordan Love

3.10 Tyler Johnson

3.11 Lynn Bowden Jr.

3.12 Adam Trautman

-------------------------

4.1 Eno Benjamin

4.2 Jalen Hurts

4.3 Lamical Perine

4.4 Joe Reed

4.5 Devin Asiasi

4.6 D. Peoples-Jones

4.7 DeeJay Dallas

4.8 Jason Huntley

4.9 Albert Okwuegbunam

4.10 Quintez Cephus

4.11 Gabriel Davis

4.12 Dalton Keene

-------------------------

5.1 Collin Johnson

5.2 Brycen Hopkins

5.3 Darnell Mooney

5.4 Colby Parkinson

5.5 Thaddeus Moss

5.6 Hunter Bryant

5.7 K.J. Hill

5.8 John Hightower

5.9 Jacob Eason

5.10 Isaiah Coulter

5.11 Josiah Deguara

5.12 Harrison Bryant

Table:

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics, and a football projections analyst and writer for Fantasy Football Metrics. 

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