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Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

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2015 NFL Mock Draft Update: Version 4.02

Xavier Cromartie
Air Date:
March 1, 2015

Xavier Cromartie’s three-round Mock Draft update from his 4.0 version post-Combine (a couple of 2nd-round moves)


Background info: Xavier Cromartie interview

A new season of “Play The Draft” has begun(link) FFM ‘Play The Draft’ 2015—Enter the contest link   (link) FFM ‘Play The Draft’ 2015 prize package

Mock Draft 4.01

  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: QB Jameis Winston

In mock 1.0, I said that Winston would shock the mainstream by putting up a 25-30 Wonderlic… At the Combine, his football IQ was being compared to Peyton Manning’s. Looks like the media’s ‘immature thug’ story was a bit one-sided.


  1. *TRADE* Philadelphia Eagles: QB Marcus Mariota

“The heart wants what it wants.” Imagine having a girlfriend who is great at all the relationship stuff, but is only a 5/10 in the looks department. That’s Foles to Chip Kelly. When you think you have a chance with a girl whom you think is a 10/10 physically (Mariota), you don’t think logically. You’re overwhelmed emotionally.


  1. Jacksonville Jaguars: DT Leonard Williams

Jacksonville doesn’t mind taking the perceived best defender in the draft.


  1. Oakland Raiders: WR Kevin White (+)

Credit to Daniel Jeremiah for predicting that White had Julio Jones speed.


  1. Washington Pigskins: OLB Dante Fowler (+)Fowler appears unlikely to escape the top 5, with potential to go as high as 2.


  1. New York Jets: WR Amari Cooper (-)

Cooper’s stock didn’t drop, but Kevin White surged ahead of him.


  1. Chicago Bears: NT Danny Shelton

Shelton remains the consensus pick at 7. Momentum may be slowly turning downward.


  1. Atlanta Falcons: OLB Vic Beasley (+)Beasley is the closest thing in this draft to Von Miller. He destroyed the Combine in every way possible.


  1. New York Giants: DE/OLB Randy Gregory (-)Gregory failed to make himself the clear-cut top pass rusher at the Combine.


  1. St. Louis Rams: G Brandon Scherff

Even with a projection to guard, most scouts put Scherff as one of the top talents in the draft.


  1. Minnesota Vikings: WR DeVante Parker

Parker did about as well as expected and remains a good bet to reunite with Bridgewater.


  1. Cleveland Browns: RT Ereck Flowers (+)

Flowers is expected to be a run-mauling right tackle.


  1. New Orleans Saints: OLB Alvin Dupree(+)

Dupree had a sensational Combine and is now discussed in the group of Gregory/Fowler/Beasley.


  1. Miami Dolphins: G La’el Collins

Collins needs to move to guard, but the Dolphins have a major need at that position.


  1. San Francisco 49ers: DE Arik Armstead

Armstead’s disappointing 40 time has been attributed to poor running form. Good vertical and his measurables did end up similar to Calais Campbell.


  1. Houston Texans: CB Trae Waynes (+)

He locked up the top CB spot with a 4.32.


  1. San Diego Chargers: LT DJ Humphries (+)

I was hot for Humphries before he got the Daniel Jeremiah push recently. He is the top left tackle in the draft.


  1. Kansas City Chiefs: LB Eric Kendricks (+)

A great Combine put Kendricks ahead of the other ILB prospects.


  1. Cleveland Browns: QB Brett Hundley (+)

A draft-day shocker… but what else do you do when your only QB is Johnny Rehab?


  1. *TRADE* Tennessee Titans: S Landon Collins

Collins should ultimately follow the same draft pattern as Clinton-Dix last season.


  1. Cincinnati Bengals: DT Malcom Brown

Brown is solidly in the 15-20 realm.


  1. Pittsburgh Steelers: OLB Shane Ray (-)

Count me among the Shane Ray haters.


  1. Detroit Lions: RB Todd Gurley

Melvin Gordon went from ‘special’ to ‘not Jamaal Charles’ at the Combine, putting Gurley back on top at RB.


  1. Arizona Cardinals: OLB Eli Harold

Pass rushers are clearly the strength of this class. Harold matched high expectations in the measurables.


  1. Carolina Panthers: LT Andrus Peat (-)

Peat is a left tackle, but he’s a project. Run blocker.


  1. Baltimore Ravens: OLB Danielle Hunter (+)

Another pass rusher who had a tremendous Combine. 


  1. Dallas Cowboys: CB Jalen Collins(+)

The erstwhile Quinten Rollins buzz has shifted over to Collins. Ran an acceptable 4.4.


  1. Denver Broncos: DE Eddie Goldman

Wade Phillips has a little bit of an unorthodox 3-4 scheme that would suit the metrics and abilities of Goldman.


  1. Indianapolis Colts: RB Melvin Gordon (-)

Gordon is still unlikely to fall out of the first round despite bland measurables. 


  1. Green Bay Packers: NT Jordan Phillips (+)

Nose tackles aren’t easy to find, and they need some beef on the d-line.


  1. Seattle Seahawks: WR Breshad Perriman (-)

It’s fair to say that a WR with size is a position of need in Seattle.


  1. New England Patriots: DT Carl Davis (+)

Some have Davis solidly in the first round, others think he’s lazy.

Round 2

  1. Tennessee: CB Byron Jones (+)
  2. Tampa Bay: LB Bernardrick McKinney (+)
  3. Oakland: RT TJ Clemmings
  4. Jacksonville: DE Owamagbe Odighizuwa (+)
  5. New York Jets: CB Marcus Peters 
  6. Washington: CB Kevin Johnson (-)
  7. Chicago: DE Preston Smith (+)
  8. New York Giants: LT Jake Fisher (+)
  9. Saint Louis: ILB Denzel Perryman (-)
  10. Atlanta: C Cameron Erving (+)
  11. Cleveland: WR Jaelen Strong (-)
  12. New Orleans: CB Ronald Darby (-)
  13. Minnesota: OLB Shaq Thompson (-)
  14. San Francisco: WR Dorial Green-Beckham (-)
  15. Miami: WR Phillip Dorsett (-)
  16. San Diego: CB PJ Williams (-)
  17. Kansas City: LT Cedric Ogbuehi (+)
  18. Buffalo: TE Maxx Williams (-)
  19. Houston: RT Ty Sambrailo (-)
  20. Philadelphia: CB/S Eric Rowe (+)
  21. Cincinnati: DE Mario Edwards (+)
  22. Detroit: G AJ Cann (+)
  23. Arizona: RB David Johnson (+)
  24. Pittsburgh: CB Alex Carter (-)
  25. Carolina: WR Devin Smith (-)
  26. Baltimore: RT Donovan Smith (+) 
  27. Denver: CB/S Quinten Rollins (-)
  28. Dallas: DE Markus Golden (+)
  29. Indianapolis: WR Nelson Agholor 
  30. Green Bay: ILB Stephone Anthony (+)
  31. Seattle: DT Michael Bennett (-)
  32. New England: G Jeremiah Poutasi (+)

**Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics IDP Dynasty (three-year) projections now exist on the Fantasy Football Management technology“The Machine.” See “The Machine” here (link): The Machine via FFM


Round 3

  1. Tampa Bay: G Tre Jackson (+)
  2. Tennessee: OLB Lorenzo Mauldin (-)
  3. Jacksonville: RT Daryl Williams (+)
  4. Oakland: RB Jay Ajayi (-) 
  5. Washington: S Ibraheim Campbell
  6. New York Jets: RB Ameer Abdullah (+)
  7. Chicago: FS Gerod Holliman 
  8. Saint Louis: WR Sammie Coates (-)
  9. Atlanta: RB TJ Yeldon (+)
  10. New York Giants: S Jaquiski Tartt (+)
  11. New Orleans: NT Ellis McCarthy (+)
  12. Minnesota: G Laken Tomlinson (-)
  13. Cleveland: TE Clive Walford (-)
  14. Miami: OLB Paul Dawson (-)
  15. San Francisco: G Ali Marpet (+)
  16. Kansas City: WR Justin Hardy (+)
  17. Buffalo: DE Nate Orchard
  18. Houston: NT Joey Mbu (+)
  19. San Diego: RB Duke Johnson (-)
  20. Philadelphia: CB Charles Gaines (+)
  21. Cincinnati: WR Rashad Greene
  22. Arizona: CB D’Joun Smith (-)
  23. Pittsburgh: DE Henry Anderson (+)
  24. Detroit: DT Grady Jarrett (+)
  25. Carolina: DE Trey Flowers (-)
  26. Baltimore: WR Devin Funchess (-)
  27. Dallas: RB Tevin Coleman (-)
  28. Denver: G Josue Matias (-)
  29. Indianapolis: C Hroniss Grasu 
  30. Green Bay: CB Senquez Golson (-)
  31. Seattle: CB Steven Nelson (-)
  32. New England: S James Sample (+)
  33. Compensatory: WR Chris Conley (+) 
  34. Compensatory: WR Darren Waller (+)
  35. Compensatory: DT Xavier Cooper (-)
  36. Compensatory: QB Jake Waters

Dropped out: S Chris Hackett (65), WR Jamison Crowder (78), CB Ifo Ekpre-Olomu (80), CB Jacoby Glenn (84), CB Kevin White (86), RB David Cobb (87), S Cody Prewitt (90), S Derron Smith (96), DT Marcus Hardison (97)

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics, and a football projections analyst and writer for Fantasy Football Metrics. 

Learn more about RC and the College Football Metrics system >>