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At College Football Metrics, we want to outperform all other scouting services in correctly evaluating where teams should take prospects in the NFL Draft. But we also want to lead the way in predicting what teams will actually do with their draft picks. In 2015, we made our debut in The Huddle Report’s exclusive, expert-only NFL Draft contests. CFM took 5th place (out of 113) in the mock draft competition and 4th place (out of 56) in the top 100 board competition. In 2016, we want double crowns!
CFM has partnered with Xavier Cromartie (Twitter @xaviercromartie) to produce mock drafts and top 100 prospect boards based on his latest intel, research, and analysis. Xavier was the final grand prize winner of ESPN’s NFL Draft 1st Round Forecast game, and he is the undefeated Play The Draft Champion Emeritus.
Draft scenarios change as new information comes in during draft season, and so we will run updates here as often as Xavier makes adjustments to his mocks and boards.
New position labels:
9T = 9-technique = 3-4 OLB
7T = 7-technique = 4-3 DE
5T = 5-technique = 3-4 DE
3T = 3-technique = 4-3 DE
1T = 1-technique = 4-3 NT
0T = 0-technique = 3-4 NT
$LB = Moneybacker = the Deone Bucannon position
Here’s a quick update of the first-round, after another team sacrificed their future for a quarterback prospect…
Round 1 (team/player/school/ + or – from last report/pick # last report)
Needs: QB, FS, C, WR, CB
I talked to my quantum mechanics guy and he said it’s Goff.
Needs: CB, G, RB, 7T, QB
We knew the Eagles wanted to rid themselves of anything related to Chip.
Needs: 5T, LT, FS, C, TE
There could be a trade down to 7 for Buckner. At 3, it may be Ramsey or Bosa instead.
Needs: 7T, 3T, CB, RB, WR
I am thinking that someone snipes Ramsey at 3 and they go with Bosa over Elliott.
Needs: MLB, SS, 7T, C, CB
I think his knee is fine.
Needs: 5T, 9T, G, CB, MLB
That’s so Ravens.
Needs: QB, CB, WR, MLB, G
Last of the ‘Big 5′ non-QBs.
Needs: QB, WR, FS, 9T, MLB
If they trade down again, they still might land Stanley. There is still a lot of talk about trading Joe Thomas.
Needs: CB, 7T, FS, RT, WR
This pick is based on the possibility of trading down and/or taking the BPA.
Needs: LT, CB, MLB, FS, WR
Sounds like Floyd or Hargreaves.
Needs: LT, CB, 5T, 9T, RB
People call Reed just a run-stuffer, but the Bears run defense has been bad for 3 years.
Needs: 7T, 3T, WR, CB, G
They could trade down for a pass rusher.
Needs: CB, RB, G, WLB, 7T
I don’t know if they get him here or via trade up, but I think they want to make it happen.
Needs: 3T, 5T, WLB, SS, RB
Suddenly people have a problem with his size.
Needs: RT, SS, FS, CB, WR
Very easy to see this pick happening either here or in the 7-9 range.
Needs: LT, 3T, 7T, SS, C
I think the Lions love him and so do plenty of other teams.
Needs: WLB, TE, SS, WR, 7T
D-line is still an option.
Needs: 9T, RT, 1T, MLB, S
Getting the sense that they’re desperate for a pass rusher.
Needs: WLB, 7T, RT, WR, QB
I assume they go defense early and QB in the mid-rounds.
Needs: 9T, QB, RT, MLB, TE
I don’t know if they get him here or make a crazy trade up. But they seem desperate.
Needs: CB, MLB, 1T, C, WR
Could trade down.
Needs: WR, TE, SS, 0T, G
Most people agree on Fuller or Coleman here.
Needs: WR, 3T, CB, C, WLB
Possible trade up.
Needs: WR, 1T, CB, SS, 7T
Coleman seems likely to be a 1st rounder, but it’s hard to figure where if it’s not here.
Needs: SS, CB, 9T, LT, 1T
It’s a good fit.
Needs: LT, RT, 3T, CB, G
His arms are long, so, yeah, Seahawks.
Needs: LT, MLB, 1T, TE, 9T
Swing tackle now and future starter.
Needs: CB, 9T, QB, 5T, WR
Still not ready to change the pick here.
Needs: SS, C, 9T, CB, MLB
There’s always a safe interior lineman near the end of round 1.
Needs: CB, SS, LT, RB, 7T
This pick is suddenly very likely to be a CB, if it weren’t already.
Needs: QB, 5T, G, WLB, TE
I’m thinking d-line here and QB a little later.
Dropped out: 5T Chris Jones (21), OT Jason Spriggs (27), 7T Kevin Dodd (31)