At College Football Metrics, we want to outperform all other scouting services in correctly evaluating where teams should take prospects in the NFL Draft. But we also want to lead the way in predicting what teams will actually do with their draft picks. In 2015, we made our debut in The Huddle Report’s exclusive, expert-only NFL Draft contests. CFM took 5th place (out of 113) in the mock draft competition and 4th place (out of 56) in the top 100 board competition. In 2016, we want double crowns!
CFM has partnered with Xavier Cromartie (Twitter @xaviercromartie) to produce mock drafts and top 100 prospect boards based on his latest intel, research, and analysis. Xavier was the final grand prize winner of ESPN’s NFL Draft 1st Round Forecast game, and he is the undefeated Play The Draft Champion Emeritus.
Draft scenarios change as new information comes in during draft season, and so we will run updates here as often as Xavier makes adjustments to his mocks and boards.
I’m not sure who would move up for this pick, unless a team is desperate for Wentz. The only real alternative to Tunsil is Ramsey. Bosa is not an option here.
QB is the only possibility. Wentz is the consensus top QB now.
DE is the most valuable position after QB. Take the most valuable talent over the biggest positional need.
Jack fills two needs: a guy who transforms a defense and a goal-line RB.
Safeties don’t usually go this early, but Ramsey is a guaranteed top 9 pick. The Jags need a safety more than any other team, and he’s a good scheme fit.
The Ravens take the best talent available. Buckner has top 5 potential.
It sounds like Chip Kelly and Colin Kaepernick are not the dream team we thought they were.
Like with Gurley last year, should the threat of missing the first month of his rookie season knock Smith down much? He’s elite.
The Bucs would love Ramsey instead. They need a CB badly.
The classic 4-3 DEs are not worth taking at this spot or even in this round. Despite the lower value of RBs, teams like low-risk picks.
Most evaluators have Spence as a top-10 talent. Will the Bears be “ecstatic” to fill their pass rushing need with him?
The Saints should just take the best defensive player, whoever it is.
I think they want to hedge a bit on QB. Get Bradford back to start but also get a guy in round 2 or 3 who could become a starter.
Ragland is a top 15-20 guy on most boards. The Raiders will look for secondary help in rounds 2-3.
Not much doubt here. They need to land a QB.
Butler was already getting first-round whispers before the Senior Bowl. The secret is out now.
Here comes a rant. Treadwell’s average value in PlayTheDraft is pick 7 or 8. There are mock drafts sending him to SD, DAL, or BAL. Any mock drafter who puts Treadwell in the top 10 has no credibility. I understand that some media big boards have Treadwell ridiculously high, but it’s not going to happen in real life. I barely want to put him in round 1. This pick is a reach for need. He’s a late 1 at best. He could be in round 2 after the Combine if he’s as slow as expected.
Defense seems like more of an issue than RT. They need LBs and CBs. Floyd’s an easy choice here.
The Bills may have more interest in d-linemen. It’s hard not to put Conklin here though. Top-20 right tackle for a team in need of a right tackle.
I’m sure they’d love to get Spence or Floyd if possible. Their OTs were terrible last year.
They have literally nothing at NT right now. He’ll stuff the run in the middle.
Let’s just accept that it’s going to happen. It doesn’t matter that Hack is inaccurate and has round 2-3 grades. The Texans are going to draft nothing but offense, and they need a QB around whom to build. Without Wentz, Goff, or Lynch available here, I doubt that they gamble that Hack is still available in round 2.
Lee would take Chad Greenway’s spot at WLB.
Talented guy falling because of character issues? Bengals.
CB is such an obvious need. I can’t imagine anything else here.
I haven’t heard a negative comment about Washington other than the word “solicitation.”
LB is a need, but they won’t reach. They don’t have a nose tackle currently.
As expected, Rankins solidified himself as a late-1 prospect at the Senior Bowl.
Pass rusher has been a need for a while. He’s a riser.
They need youth on the other side of Josh Norman, assuming they can get him signed.
I still love everything about this idea. Hide the weakness on offense by pounding the big one-cut back all day.
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