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2016 NFL Mock Draft — Xavier Cromartie’s Three Round Mock (3.0)

Xavier Cromartie
Air Date:
February 22, 2016

At College Football Metrics, we want to outperform all other scouting services in correctly evaluating where teams should take prospects in the NFL Draft. But we also want to lead the way in predicting what teams will actually do with their draft picks. In 2015, we made our debut in The Huddle Report’s exclusive, expert-only NFL Draft contests. CFM took 5th place (out of 113) in the mock draft competition and 4th place (out of 56) in the top 100 board competition. In 2016, we want double crowns!

CFM has partnered with Xavier Cromartie (Twitter @xaviercromartie) to produce mock drafts and top 100 prospect boards based on his latest intel, research, and analysis. Xavier was the final grand prize winner of ESPN’s NFL Draft 1st Round Forecast game, and he is the undefeated Play The Draft Champion Emeritus.

Draft scenarios change as new information comes in during draft season, and so we will run updates here as often as Xavier makes adjustments to his mocks and boards.

Round 1

  1. Tennessee Titans: LT Laremy Tunsil (Mississippi)  Last = 1

The Titans will circulate fake trade-down rumors until they have to make this pick.


  1. Cleveland Browns: QB Carson Wentz (North Dakota State)  Last = 2

The big question here is whether he pronounces his name like “vents” (German).


  1. San Diego Chargers: CB Jalen Ramsey (Florida State) (+)  Last = 5

You can debate Bosa or Buckner here, but Staley should not go this high.


  1. Dallas Cowboys: DE Joey Bosa (Ohio State) ()  Last = 3

Randy Gregory isn’t working out so well.


  1. Jacksonville Jaguars: LB Myles Jack (UCLA) ()  Last = 4

I expect their entire draft to be defenders.


  1. Baltimore Ravens: DE DeForest Buckner (Oregon)  Last = 6

Hargreaves or Floyd may fill bigger needs, but they are ‘top 10′ types. Buckner is a ‘top 5.’


  1. San Francisco 49ers: QB Jared Goff (Cal)  Last = 7

I will never stop mentioning that professional draft experts thought that Blaine Gabbert would be better than Cameron Newton.


  1. Miami Dolphins: CB Vernon Hargreaves (Florida) (+)  Last = 9

This spot seems like their best opportunity to get a CB.


  1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: OT Ronnie Staley (Notre Dame) (+)  Last = 13

We all know that CB or DE would be ideal. The Bucs are like the Ravens; they follow their board and look for trade-down opportunities. Can you really talk yourself into Leonard Floyd as a SLB here? Maybe the Rams will trade up for Lynch.


  1. New York Giants: RB Ezekiel Elliott (Ohio State)  Last = 10

They need everything on defense, but a consistent running game helps solve that problem.


  1. Chicago Bears: OLB Leonard Floyd (Georgia) (+)  Last = 18

The Combine will be big for him, like it was for Vic Beasley.


  1. New Orleans Saints: LB Jaylon Smith (Notre Dame) ()  Last = 8

The knee injury allows the Saints to get the pick of their dreams.


  1. Philadelphia Eagles: DT A’Shawn Robinson (Alabama) ()  Last = 12

With Chip Kelly out, the Eagles get back to making picks that the fans hate.


  1. Oakland Raiders: LB Reggie Ragland (Alabama)  Last = 14

I would make a ‘rags-to-riches’ pun, but going from Alabama to Oakland seems like the opposite.


  1. Los Angeles Rams: QB Paxton Lynch (Memphis)  Last = 15

They might have to think about jumping ahead of PHI for Lynch. Otherwise you’re thinking about Connor Cook.


  1. Detroit Lions: OT Jack Conklin (Michigan State) (+)  Last = 19

It’s not hard to imagine a trade down attempt for someone like Vernon Butler.


  1. Atlanta Falcons: LB Darron Lee (Ohio State) (+)  Last = 23

Lee is getting a lot of scouting love and could be gone by this point.


  1. Indianapolis Colts: OT Taylor Decker (Ohio State) (+)  Last = 20

I am giving in to taking a right tackle because he’s the best player on the board.


  1. Buffalo Bills: DT Robert Nkemdiche (Mississippi State) (+)  Last = 24

This guy is the definition of a ‘wild card.’ My initial thought on him was another Randy Gregory.


  1. New York Jets: DE Noah Spence (Eastern Kentucky) ()  Last = 11

He could easily be a top 10 pick. For now, I have him knocked down a tier.


  1. Washington Pigskins: DT Jarran Reed (Alabama)  Last = 21

Some people don’t want to believe that he’s a first rounder, but I’m pretty sure he is.


  1. Houston Texans: RB Derrick Henry (Alabama) (+)  Last = 31

I moved him up while others are dropping him to round 2. I expect an impressive Combine.


  1. Minnesota Vikings: WR Laquon Treadwell (Mississippi State) ()  Last = 17

The most anticipated slow 40 time ever? Over/under 4.60.


  1. Cincinnati Bengals: CB Kendall Fuller (Virginia Tech) (+)  Last = 30

Kendall Fuller is a round 1 CB, and Mackensie Alexander is not.


  1. Pittsburgh Steelers: CB Eli Apple (Ohio State)  Last = 25

Eli Apple is an upgrade on the bag of rotten apples currently starting at CB for PIT.


  1. Seattle Seahawks: DT Adolphus Washington (Ohio State)  Last = 26

The Seahawks would like to solicit his interior pass rushing services.


  1. Green Bay Packers: DT Andrew Billings (Baylor) Last =  27

The media love Billings because he has Hulk strength, but he’s limited enough to be only a late-1/early-2.


  1. Kansas City Chiefs: DT Sheldon Rankins (Louisville)  Last = 28

Rankins is a legit 1 and could be gone by this point.


  1. Arizona Cardinals: OLB Kyler Fackrell (Utah State)  Last = 29

The Cardinals should have their choice of Fackrell, Correa, and maybe Kevin Dodd if you think he can play 3-4.


  1. Carolina Panthers: DE Emmanuel Ogbah (Oklahoma State) (+)  Last = 34

Ogbah and Shaq Lawson are the most overrated guys in amateur mocks.


  1. Denver Broncos: DT Vernon Butler (Louisiana Tech) ()  Last = 16

Everyone likes his potential, not what he is currently. 


Round 2

  1. Cleveland Browns: WR Will Fuller (Notre Dame) (+) 46
  2. Tennessee Titans: WR Braxton Miller (Ohio State) (–) 32
  3. Dallas Cowboys: CB Xavien Howard (Baylor) (+) 75
  4. San Diego Chargers: OT Jason Spriggs (Indiana) 35
  5. Baltimore Ravens: OLB Kamalei Correa (Boise State) (+) 59
  6. San Francisco 49ers: WR Corey Coleman (Baylor) 37
  7. Jacksonville Jaguars: S Darian Thompson (Boise State) (+) 44
  8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: DE Kevin Dodd (Clemson) 39
  9. New York Giants: DE Shaq Lawson (Clemson) (–) 38
  10. Chicago Bears: LB Kentrell Brothers (Missouri) (+) 68
  11. Miami Dolphins: G Cody Whitehair (Kansas State) (–) 36
  12. Los Angeles Rams (via PHI): C Nick Martin (Notre Dame) 43
  13. Oakland Raiders: S Keanu Neal (Florida) (+) 53
  14. Los Angeles Rams: WR Michael Thomas (Ohio State) 45
  15. Detroit Lions: DT Maliek Collins (Nebraska) (+) 80
  16. New Orleans Saints: DT Kenny Clark (UCLA) (+) 58
  17. Indianapolis Colts: DT Austin Johnson (Pennsylvania State) 48
  18. Buffalo Bills: LB Su’a Cravens (Southern California) (–) 47
  19. Atlanta Falcons: DE Shilique Calhoun (Michigan State) 50
  20. New York Jets: LB Joshua Perry (Ohio State) (+) 84
  21. Houston Texans: QB Christian Hackenberg (Pennsylvania State) (-) 22
  22. Washington Pigskins: C Ryan Kelly (Alabama) (+) 81
  23. Minnesota Vikings: OT Germain Ifedi (Texas A&M) (+) 79
  24. Cincinnati Bengals: S Vonn Bell (Ohio State) (+) 62
  25. Seattle Seahawks: S Deiondre Hall (Northern Iowa) (+) 61
  26. Green Bay Packers: TE Hunter Henry (Arkansas) (–) 52
  27. Pittsburgh Steelers: S Karl Joseph (West Virginia) (+) 89
  28. Kansas City Chiefs: CB Mackensie Alexander (Clemson) (–) 33
  29. New England Patriots: WR Josh Doctson (Texas Christian) (–) 54
  30. Arizona Cardinals: CB James Bradberry (Samford) (+) 69
  31. Carolina Panthers: OT Le’Raven Clark (Texas Tech) (–) 56
  32. Denver Broncos: QB Dak Prescott (Mississippi State) (+) NR


Round 3

  1. Tennessee Titans: CB Artie Burns (Miami) (–) 42
  2. Cleveland Browns: LB Jordan Jenkins (Georgia) (–) 51
  3. San Diego Chargers: DE Jihad Ward (Illinois) (+) NR
  4. Dallas Cowboys: QB Connor Cook (Michigan State) (+) 77
  5. San Francisco 49ers: CB Harlan Miller (Southeastern Louisiana) (+) 100
  6. Jacksonville Jaguars: DE Jonathan Bullard (Florida) (–) 60
  7. Baltimore Ravens: WR Tyler Boyd (Pittsburgh) (–) 65
  8. New York Giants: DT Hassan Ridgeway (Texas) 71
  9. Chicago Bears: CB William Jackson (Houston) (–) 41
  10. Miami Dolphins: RB Alex Collins (Arkansas) (+) NR
  11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: CB Zack Sanchez (Oklahoma) (+) 78
  12. Oakland Raiders: DE Carl Nassib (Penn State) (–) 40
  13. Los Angeles Rams: G Denver Kirkland (Arkansas) (+) NR
  14. Philadelphia Eagles: G Vadal Alexander (Louisiana State) (+) 90
  15. New Orleans Saints: TE Nick Vannett (Ohio State) (+) 96
  16. Philadelphia Eagles (via DET): QB Jeff Driskel (Louisiana Tech) (+) NR
  17. Buffalo Bills: OT Shon Coleman (Auburn) (–) 72
  18. Atlanta Falcons: WR Pharoh Cooper (South Carolina) (–) 67
  19. Indianapolis Colts: RB Devontae Booker (Utah) (–) 64
  20. New York Jets: RB Kenneth Dixon (Louisiana Tech) (–) 73
  21. Washington Pigskins: LB Deion Jones (Louisiana State) (–) 82
  22. Houston Texans: S Jeremy Cash (Duke) (–) 74
  23. Minnesota Vikings: S Miles Killebrew (Southern Utah) (–) 55
  24. Cincinnati Bengals: WR Leonte Carroo (Rutgers) 87
  25. Green Bay Packers: LB Beniquez Brown (Mississippi State) 88
  26. Pittsburgh Steelers: TE Austin Hooper (Stanford) (+) 97
  27. Seattle Seahawks: G Connor McGovern (Missouri) (+) NR
  28. Kansas City Chiefs: WR Sterling Shepard (Oklahoma) (–) 57
  29. New England Patriots: G Joshua Garnett (Stanford) (+) 95
  30. Arizona Cardinals: QB Cardale Jones (Ohio State) (–) 49
  31. Carolina Panthers: S Jayron Kearse (Clemson) (–) 66
  32. Denver Broncos: RB CJ Prosise (Notre Dame) (+) NR
  33. Compensatory: RB Paul Perkins (UCLA) (–) 85
  34. Compensatory: DT Chris Jones (Mississippi State) (–) 63
  35. Compensatory: DT Sheldon Day (Notre Dame) (+) 99
  36. Compensatory: DE Shawn Oakman (Baylor) (–) 94
  37. Compensatory: WR De’Runnya Wilson (Mississippi State) (-) 92

Dropped out: CB Will Redmond (70), K Roberto Aguayo (76), G Sebastian Tretola (83), S Jalen Mills (86), OT Willie Beavers (91), DE Bronson Kafusi (93), C Jack Allen (98)



 Arizona Cardinals

29. OLB Kyler Fackrell (Utah State)

61. CB James Bradberry (Samford)

93. QB Cardale Jones (Ohio State)

Atlanta Falcons

17. LB Darron Lee (Ohio State)

50. DE Shilique Calhoun (Michigan State)

81. WR Pharoh Cooper (South Carolina)

Baltimore Ravens

6. DE DeForest Buckner (Oregon)

36. OLB Kamalei Correa (Boise State)

70. WR Tyler Boyd (Pittsburgh)

Buffalo Bills

19. DT Robert Nkemdiche (Mississippi State)

49. LB Su’a Cravens (Southern California)

80. OT Shon Coleman (Auburn)

Carolina Panthers

30. DE Emmanuel Ogbah (Oklahoma State)

62. OT Le’Raven Clark (Texas Tech)

94. S Jayron Kearse (Clemson)

Chicago Bears

11. OLB Leonard Floyd (Georgia)

41. LB Kentrell Brothers (Missouri)

72. CB William Jackson (Houston)

Cincinnati Bengals

24. CB Kendall Fuller (Virginia Tech)

55. S Vonn Bell (Ohio State)

87. WR Leonte Carroo (Rutgers)

Cleveland Browns

2. QB Carson Wentz (North Dakota State)

32. WR Will Fuller (Notre Dame)

65. LB Jordan Jenkins (Georgia)

Dallas Cowboys

4. DE Joey Bosa (Ohio State)

34. CB Xavien Howard (Baylor)

67. QB Connor Cook (Michigan State)

Denver Broncos

31. DT Vernon Butler (Louisiana Tech)

63. QB Dak Prescott (Mississippi State)

95. RB CJ Prosise (Notre Dame)

Detroit Lions

16. OT Jack Conklin (Michigan State)

46. DT Maliek Collins (Nebraska)

Green Bay Packers

27. DT Andrew Billings (Baylor)

57. TE Hunter Henry (Arkansas)

88. LB Beniquez Brown (Mississippi State)

Houston Texans

22. RB Derrick Henry (Alabama)

52. QB Christian Hackenberg (Penn State)

85. S Jeremy Cash (Duke)

Indianapolis Colts

18. OT Taylor Decker (Ohio State)

48. DT Austin Johnson (Penn State)

82. RB Devontae Booker (Utah)

Jacksonville Jaguars

5. LB Myles Jack (UCLA)

38. S Darian Thompson (Boise State)

69. DE Jonathan Bullard (Florida)

Kansas City Chiefs

28. DT Sheldon Rankins (Louisville)

59. CB Mackensie Alexander (Clemson)

91. WR Sterling Shepard (Oklahoma)

Los Angeles Rams

15. QB Paxton Lynch (Memphis)

43. C Nick Martin (Notre Dame)

45. WR Michael Thomas (Ohio State)

76. G Denver Kirkland (Arkansas)

Miami Dolphins

8. CB Vernon Hargreaves (Florida)

42. G Cody Whitehair (Kansas State)

73. RB Alex Collins (Arkansas)

Minnesota Vikings

23. WR Laquon Treadwell (Mississippi State)

54. OT Germain Ifedi (Texas A&M)

86. S Miles Killebrew (Southern Utah)

New England Patriots

60. WR Josh Doctson (Texas Christian)

92. G Joshua Garnett (Stanford)

New Orleans Saints

12. LB Jaylon Smith (Notre Dame)

47. DT Kenny Clark (UCLA)

78. TE Nick Vannett (Ohio State)

New York Giants

10. RB Ezekiel Elliott (Ohio State)

40. DE Shaq Lawson (Clemson)

71. DT Hassan Ridgeway (Texas)

New York Jets

20. DE Noah Spence (Eastern Kentucky)

51. LB Joshua Perry (Ohio State)

83. RB Kenneth Dixon (Louisiana Tech)

Oakland Raiders

14. LB Reggie Ragland (Alabama)

44. S Keanu Neal (Florida)

75. DE Carl Nassib (Penn State)

Philadelphia Eagles

13. DT A’Shawn Robinson (Alabama)

77. G Vadal Alexander (Louisiana State)

79. QB Jeff Driskel (Louisiana Tech)

Pittsburgh Steelers

25. CB Eli Apple (Ohio State)

58. S Karl Joseph (West Virginia)

89. TE Austin Hooper (Stanford)

San Diego Chargers

3. CB Jalen Ramsey (Florida State)

35. OT Jason Spriggs (Indiana)

66. DE Jihad Ward (Illinois)

San Francisco 49ers

7. QB Jared Goff (Cal)

37. WR Corey Coleman (Baylor)

68. CB Harlan Miller (Southeastern Louisiana)

Seattle Seahawks

26. DT Adolphus Washington (Ohio State)

56. S Deiondre Hall (Northern Iowa)

90. G Connor McGovern (Missouri)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

9. OT Ronnie Staley (Notre Dame)

39. DE Kevin Dodd (Clemson)

74. CB Zack Sanchez (Oklahoma)

Tennessee Titans

1. LT Laremy Tunsil (Mississippi)

33. WR Braxton Miller (Ohio State)

64. CB Artie Burns (Miami)

Washington Pigskins

21. DT Jarran Reed (Alabama)

53. C Ryan Kelly (Alabama)

84. LB Deion Jones (Louisiana State)

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics, and a football projections analyst and writer for Fantasy Football Metrics. 

Learn more about RC and the College Football Metrics system >>