2016 OLB Prospect Grades (FINAL)

Notes from version 2.0...

 -- Not much change with the exception of Myles Jack dropping down to #2. The medical issues have gone from a whisper to full chatter. Jatavis Brown has several 'star' indicators/metrics. 

 -- Aaron Karlen, Wisconsin-Stevens is a new addition...and he's a pretty interesting, nimble athlete. 

 -- Anthony Longino posted 21.0 TFLs last season -- 5th best in all the NCAA. 

 

Notes after version 1.0....

 -- Myles Jack, at his best, could be the single most talented prospect in the 2016 NFL Draft class. However, he has 'scouting things' to worry about – he’s coming off a knee injury, and he isn’t always working on every play.

On the other hand, Jatavis Brown is also incredibly gifted, a little smaller (may move to safety), but gives max effort, and shows better instincts on the field.

I could argue for either Jack or Brown, but the draft price tag is vastly different.

-- Travis Feeney is a really interesting OLB prospect. Athletic, and very good in pass coverage, and can bring it some as a pass rusher off the edge. He’s decent against the run too. He should become an NFL starter somewhere.

 -- We’re not as high on Kamalei Correa as national analysts. He’s definitely a solid prospect, but as a first rounder -- I’m not sure. He is an above-average athlete, but not a ‘great’ one. We don’t see him being a hugely successful edge rusher in the NFL, and he’s a little stiff as a traditional linebacker. He’s hard to fit into a comfortable spot in the NFL. 4-3 OLB might be his place.

 -- Deion Jones is good, but looks/works more like a large safety than small OLB.

 

The prospect we’re most likely wrong about: Nick Vigil, Utah State

Our computer models say he is solid, NFL-worthy, but he may be so much more…especially as an OLB in coverage in the passing game. He has some numbers that would indicate he has an interesting upside.

I would say Darron Lee, because he’s has the excellent speed/feet for coverage too. I just thought the tape and output on Lee indicated he’s a possible motivation problem – that he’s not giving his all into football.

 

The prospect below a 6.0 rating that could become a star: Cory James, Colorado State

Arguable, the most gifted, fluid athlete on this list. However, his performance was so-so in college, at a mid-major conference. He moves like none other among the OLB prospects. He could move to safety…but I’ve seen him rush off the edge with great success at just 229-pounds.

*A score of 8.00+ is where we see a stronger correlation of LBs going on to become NFL good/great/elite. A score of 10.00+ is more rarefied air in our system and indicates a greater probability of becoming an NFL elite LB.

All of the LB ratings are based on a 0–10 scale, but a player can score negative, or above a 10.0 in certain instances.

Tackle-Strength Metrics = A combination of several physical and performance measurements. An attempt to classify the LB prospect’s ability to stop the run, as well as a gauge of how physical the player, and the likelihood of higher tackle counts in the NFL. All based on profiles of LBs historically.

Speed-Agility Metrics = A combination of several speed, agility, and size measurements...as well as game performance data to profile an LB for speed/agility based on LBs historically. A unique measuring system to look for LBs that profile for quickness, pass-coverage ability, and general ability to cover more ground.

Pass Rush Metrics = A combination of the physical measurements, but also proven on-field ability to get to the QB/backfield in college.

 

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R.C. Fischer
R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. Learn More >>
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2016 OLB Prospect Grades (FINAL)

Date:
April 24, 2016

Notes from version 2.0...

 -- Not much change with the exception of Myles Jack dropping down to #2. The medical issues have gone from a whisper to full chatter. Jatavis Brown has several 'star' indicators/metrics. 

 -- Aaron Karlen, Wisconsin-Stevens is a new addition...and he's a pretty interesting, nimble athlete. 

 -- Anthony Longino posted 21.0 TFLs last season -- 5th best in all the NCAA. 

 

Notes after version 1.0....

 -- Myles Jack, at his best, could be the single most talented prospect in the 2016 NFL Draft class. However, he has 'scouting things' to worry about – he’s coming off a knee injury, and he isn’t always working on every play.

On the other hand, Jatavis Brown is also incredibly gifted, a little smaller (may move to safety), but gives max effort, and shows better instincts on the field.

I could argue for either Jack or Brown, but the draft price tag is vastly different.

-- Travis Feeney is a really interesting OLB prospect. Athletic, and very good in pass coverage, and can bring it some as a pass rusher off the edge. He’s decent against the run too. He should become an NFL starter somewhere.

 -- We’re not as high on Kamalei Correa as national analysts. He’s definitely a solid prospect, but as a first rounder -- I’m not sure. He is an above-average athlete, but not a ‘great’ one. We don’t see him being a hugely successful edge rusher in the NFL, and he’s a little stiff as a traditional linebacker. He’s hard to fit into a comfortable spot in the NFL. 4-3 OLB might be his place.

 -- Deion Jones is good, but looks/works more like a large safety than small OLB.

 

The prospect we’re most likely wrong about: Nick Vigil, Utah State

Our computer models say he is solid, NFL-worthy, but he may be so much more…especially as an OLB in coverage in the passing game. He has some numbers that would indicate he has an interesting upside.

I would say Darron Lee, because he’s has the excellent speed/feet for coverage too. I just thought the tape and output on Lee indicated he’s a possible motivation problem – that he’s not giving his all into football.

 

The prospect below a 6.0 rating that could become a star: Cory James, Colorado State

Arguable, the most gifted, fluid athlete on this list. However, his performance was so-so in college, at a mid-major conference. He moves like none other among the OLB prospects. He could move to safety…but I’ve seen him rush off the edge with great success at just 229-pounds.

View FULL table in a separate browser >>>

Notes from version 2.0...

 -- Not much change with the exception of Myles Jack dropping down to #2. The medical issues have gone from a whisper to full chatter. Jatavis Brown has several 'star' indicators/metrics. 

 -- Aaron Karlen, Wisconsin-Stevens is a new addition...and he's a pretty interesting, nimble athlete. 

 -- Anthony Longino posted 21.0 TFLs last season -- 5th best in all the NCAA. 

 

Notes after version 1.0....

 -- Myles Jack, at his best, could be the single most talented prospect in the 2016 NFL Draft class. However, he has 'scouting things' to worry about – he’s coming off a knee injury, and he isn’t always working on every play.

On the other hand, Jatavis Brown is also incredibly gifted, a little smaller (may move to safety), but gives max effort, and shows better instincts on the field.

I could argue for either Jack or Brown, but the draft price tag is vastly different.

-- Travis Feeney is a really interesting OLB prospect. Athletic, and very good in pass coverage, and can bring it some as a pass rusher off the edge. He’s decent against the run too. He should become an NFL starter somewhere.

 -- We’re not as high on Kamalei Correa as national analysts. He’s definitely a solid prospect, but as a first rounder -- I’m not sure. He is an above-average athlete, but not a ‘great’ one. We don’t see him being a hugely successful edge rusher in the NFL, and he’s a little stiff as a traditional linebacker. He’s hard to fit into a comfortable spot in the NFL. 4-3 OLB might be his place.

 -- Deion Jones is good, but looks/works more like a large safety than small OLB.

 

The prospect we’re most likely wrong about: Nick Vigil, Utah State

Our computer models say he is solid, NFL-worthy, but he may be so much more…especially as an OLB in coverage in the passing game. He has some numbers that would indicate he has an interesting upside.

I would say Darron Lee, because he’s has the excellent speed/feet for coverage too. I just thought the tape and output on Lee indicated he’s a possible motivation problem – that he’s not giving his all into football.

 

The prospect below a 6.0 rating that could become a star: Cory James, Colorado State

Arguable, the most gifted, fluid athlete on this list. However, his performance was so-so in college, at a mid-major conference. He moves like none other among the OLB prospects. He could move to safety…but I’ve seen him rush off the edge with great success at just 229-pounds.

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is an NFL Draft analyst for College Football Metrics, and a football projections analyst and writer for Fantasy Football Metrics. 

Learn more about RC and the College Football Metrics system >>