-- This is a very sad collection of physically bigger wide receiver prospects. It really is. It should push Josh Doctson’s intrinsic draft value even higher. It’s very likely that outside of Doctson -- the rest of this group will be average or flame out/busts.
-- I love Robby Anderson, but we recognize he has scouting/next level translation red flags. He’s very thin-framed. He’s also a fantastic wide receiver.
-- I don’t get the love for Laquon Treadwell or Michael Thomas at all. They are NFL-worthy prospects, but in no way are first-rounders…or NFL high-impact guys.
-- Keyarris Garrett has the body, but he’s a stiff in various ways.
-- Paul McRoberts is a sleeper to watch among the lowly graded.
-- I could see Cody Core being better than our grades.
The prospect we’re probably wrong about: Mitch Mathews, BYU
He may be more quality for the NFL than we are giving him credit for. His speed-agility for his size, and his catching ability and radius – he might be a shocking NFL success, quickly.
The prospect graded under 6.0 who could become a star in the NFL: Tyler Boyd, Pitt
He has unbelievable hands, and looks terrific on tape at times…but his size and athleticism/measurables are troubling. He might be in that Jaelen Strong vibe of prospect…nice college size/athlete, but not so hot for the NFL…more mediocre. With boyd, he might can shift into a different role as a possession WR, a sweet #3 WR for a team.
We graded also graded Boyd as a ‘smaller’ WR prospect, and he scored much better there – he is not a franchise-changing #1 WR prospect. He’s a nice #2/#3 WR in an ensemble.
*A score of 7.0+ is where we start to take a Big-WR prospect more seriously. A score of 8.50+ is where we see a stronger correlation of Big-WR going on to become NFL good/great/elite. A score of 10.00+ is more rarefied air in our system, and indicates a greater probability of becoming an elite NFL Big-WR.
All of the WR ratings are based on a 0-10 scale, but a player can score negative, or above a 10.0 in certain instances.
Overall WR score = A combination of several on-field performance measures, including refinement for strength of opponents faced. Mixed with all the physical measurement metrics, rated historically in our database.
"Power-Strength" = A combination of unique metrics surrounding physical-size profiling, bench press strength, etc. High scorers here project to be more physical, better blockers, and less injury-prone.
"Speed-Agility" = A combination of unique metrics surrounding speed, agility, physical size, mixed with some on-field performance metrics. High scorers here project to have a better YAC, and show characteristics to be used as deep threats/create separation.
"Hands" = A combination of unique metrics surrounding on-field performance in college, considering the strength of opponents played. Furthermore, this data considers some physical profiling for hand-size, etc. High scorers here have a better track record of college statistical performance, and overall projects the combination of performance and physical data for the next-level.
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