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Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

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Fantasy Football Metrics

College Football Metrics

Brought to you by  - Total Football Advisors, LLC

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2018 Week 11 Dynasty-Fantasy Analysis: Broncos v. Chargers

November 22, 2018 2:56 PM
November 22, 2018 6:20 PM

*Pre-editor post (forgive any typos)

The Chargers led this game all the way for three quarters, and then the teams traded leads in the 4th quarter with Denver, down 22-20, driving deep with seconds remaining – the Broncos kicked a game winner at the buzzer to pull the upset.

The Broncos save the season, for real…now, 4-6 and after this week with Pittsburgh, Denver has four winnable games in-a-row (CIN-SF-CLE-OAK). Knockoff PIT this week, and the Broncos have a real shot at the playoffs. We project them falling short somewhere(s) and finishing 7-9.

The Chargers fall to 7-3, but with KC losing to LAR…they stay a game behind the Chiefs trying to stay in the division title hunt. We don’t think they can pull it off. We project LAC to finish 10-6/11-5 and be the #1 wild card.

Fantasy Player Notes…

-- Phillip Lindsay (11-79-2, 4-27-0/5) had another great game…this was a perfect usage of him. 10+ carries and 5+ targets. Lindsay is a very good receiver…very good. He should see a chunk of his touches there but that’s only been true for 2 games this season, so far.

Lindsay had an untouched 41-yard run right up the middle, which he seems to have every week. Ride it while you can. I’ve never seen run blocking for an RB like the Broncos interior for Lindsay this season.

…if I say that any more this year it means I’m trying to fit my story/narrative to explain reality, and it probably means Lindsay is a lot better than I thought he’d be and he’s the reason/catalyst – not the O-Line as much.

-- 3rd & 7, seconds remaining, no timeouts, midfield, Denver needing a minor miracle…Courtland Sutton (3-78-0/6) makes a great catch on a slant and takes off for 30+ yards, racing past defenders and setting up the make-able game-winning FG.

Sutton makes plays that takes your breath away…but there’s not much FF action going on. Always near-miss TDs and underwhelming 5-7 targets from a weak QB. He’s just a high upside WR3 until Case Keenum figures this out (which may never happen).

-- The Jeff Heuerman (4-20-0/5) follow up from his 10-83-1/11 the prior game was OK. It’s three games in a row with 5 or more targets…five of his last 7 as well. He’s in the TE1/top 12 discussion…because of the sad state of TE affairs.

-- Is Antonio Gates (5-80-1/7) back in the TE1 discussion, now…after this effort?

Well, Gates has had 0-2 catches in a game for six straight games prior and in eight of his first 9 games, so I’m going to guess = No. I’d need to see this happen again Week 12 to start to take seriously.

-- Jatavis Brown (8 tackles, 1 PD) once again led LAC in tackles, since becoming the starter…10.0 tackles per game as the starter last 3 games.

-- The Denver defense is tightening up. The last four games: crushed Arizona (10pts), made KC struggle some, held Houston to 19, and held LAC to 22 in the win here. Weeks 14 and they get SF and OAK.

Pair SEA and DEN DSTs together and you’d have…

Week 13 SEA v. SF

Week 14 DEN v. SF

Week 15 SEA v. SF

Week 16 DEN v. OAK

-- Fantasy Playoff Notes from these two teams…

SF-CLE-OAK in Weeks 14-16 should be solid for Courtland Sutton and great for Phillip Lindsay.

LAC has CIN-KC-BAL in Weeks 14-16. The @KC in December/cold is probably not good for Allen-Rivers. We’ll see. The Ravens defense coming to LA isn’t going to be great for their offensive weapons either.

Snap Counts of Interest:

32 = Lindsay

13 = Freeman

11 = Booker

56 = Jatavis (100%)


About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>