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2018 Week 5 Dynasty-Fantasy Analysis: Cardinals v. 49ers

Date:
October 10, 2018 10:47 PM
October 11, 2018 8:34 AM

*Pre-editor post (forgive any typos)

The Computer said the underdog Cardinals were going to win this game outright…and they did. So, we’re geniuses. I watched the game live and I recalled the Cardinals controlling the game and eventually winning by 10…but I remember thinking the score was not indicative of how much the Cards beat up the 49ers.

I re-watched this game, studied it and I realized – I saw what I wanted to see Sunday/thought what I wanted to think Monday. The Cardinals didn’t control this game! They were lucky…tipped passes for picks, defensive score late or they probably would have lost. Biggest takeaway – Arizona Cardinals suck to high heaven and are the worst team in the NFL…worse than the Buffalo Bills. Better players, absolutely bottom of the barrel coaching…like Dallas Cowboys coaching staff bad.

O-C Mike McCoy is an abomination to NFL coaching. How this guy gets a job every year is absolutely ridiculous. Steve Wilks is to blame because he picked McCoy, and sticks by him and isn’t changing anything. You have to be a special kind of stupid to go through an NFL game and have 3 targets to David Johnson. Nobody is that dumb…except most NFL coaches.

I’m not complaining about it for the fantasy-side of things, I mean – how can you be so blind to your own team, the weapons you possess for NFL purposes? You have ONE JOB! ‘Make’ offense!! Again, I say – you think the Chicago Bears/Matt Nagy learned something about their team in Week 4. I would almost guarantee they’ll underwhelm and struggle in Week 6 running the same offenses they did Weeks 1-2-3 and to start Week 4.

Arizona is on their way to 3-4 wins at best this season.

The 49ers have a worse team but are better coached. They’re headed to 2-4 wins with their schedule. Week 8 at Arizona might be a ‘for the #1 pick in the draft’ type of game. The Rams may win the NFC West by 10+ games.

Fantasy Player Notes…

-- David Johnson (18-55-2, 2-16-0/3) doesn’t slip in for a very late, short TD run and this is a pretty flimsy fantasy game for him. Expect at lot more until Mike McCoy is fired.

90% of the plays involving Johnson are him slamming between the guards against a 10-11 man box. It is utterly ridiculous…the defense knows it’s coming. Every so often they set him up outside and he makes you hold your breath as it looks like he’s about to house one…and they’ll go back to slamming him empty up the middle.

This is the Jeff Fisher offense that made Todd Gurley an RB3-4 in 2016. Unless something changes…DJ is an RB2 at best this year. RB1 hopes if something changes but RB2 if nothing does.

Sad, but true. It’s been the same nonsense for 5 weeks now. It will be 6 weeks Sunday.

-- Christian Kirk (3-85-1/4) started the game, first play, with a 75-yard TD. A great play.

He had 2 catches for 10 yards the rest of the game.

Until Mike McCoy is fired, Kirk is a WR3/flex with upside. He’s waiting to become a star, but this offense won’t allow it a la the Rams 2016/Jeff Fisher and the Bears 2017/John Fox.

-- Larry Fitzgerald (2-35-0/3) probably regrets coming back/not just retiring for this utter catastrophe. He draws two of the best CBs in the league the next two weeks (Rhodes-Harris). You might as well drop him/trade him and get it over with.

-- Matt Breida (8-56-0, 1-5-1/1) would have probably run for 200+ yards in this game if he didn’t get hurt/leave early.

Breida is likely out Week 6, leaving Alfred Morris (18-61-0) in the driver’s seat with a little Raheem Mostert sprinkled in.

Kyle Juszczyk (1-12-0, 6-75-/7) had a nice PPR game. People think he’s a clever sleeper this week…I guess if you’re desperate in PPR, but there’s never any consistency of usage with KJ.

I wonder if the 49ers might use WR Richie James (1-7-0/1) as a quasi-RB for this week. He runs the ball well for a WR. I bet he makes a big play out of nowhere this week. Put James on the deep-sleeper pickup list. He’s Keke Coutee, only better, for the 49ers…and, maybe, they’re about to tap into it?

-- Trent Taylor (7-61-0/7) has his Julian Edelman game…a bunch of dinks and dumps against a prevent late. I don’t see anything real developing yet.

-- The 49ers bypassed Mitchell Trubisky in the 2017 NFL Draft to take DT/DE Solomon Thomas (1 tackle), and Thomas has been a ghost this season so far. What a disappointment.

-- Budda Baker (16 tackles, 1 sack, 1 PD) is back to tackling everything in sight. No matter the coach of the scheme, he just makes plays all the time. He gets to the ball so well. Could be the top DB in IDP this season.

Snap Counts of Interest…

68 = Juszczyk

44 = Morris

13 = Mostert

13 = Breida

62 = Garcon

57 = Bolden

50 = Taylor

42 = Bourne

24 = Richie James

IDPs…

71 = Mayowa

36 = Solomon Thomas

04 = Deone Bucannon

02 = Jamar Taylor

01 = Exum


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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

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