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2018 Week 5 Dynasty-Fantasy Analysis: Giants v. Panthers

Date:
October 10, 2018 12:08 PM
October 10, 2018 12:34 PM

*Pre-editor post (forgive any typos)

When Carolina jumped out to a 17-3 lead, I thought this game was in the bag – the superior Panthers taking down pitiful Eli Manning. The next thing you know Odell Beckham’s throwing TD passes, Eli was actually connecting on a deep ball bomb…and late in the game the Giants took the lead 31-30.

The Panthers rushed around late to try to get into game-winning FG position, but they fell a little short of their hopes…having to line up for a NFL record-tying 63-yard long-shot FG. You know what happened…Graham Ganonailed it at the buzzer (with room to spare).

The Giants fall to 1-4…and my 1-9/0-10 bad start fears are still on track for NYG. Looks more like 3-7 after 10 games, on their way to, maybe, 7-9. With a better QB, the Giants could win the division this year, but Eli makes them more of a contender for last in the NFC East more than first. Had they won this game…they were in the division title hunt for sure in a weak division, but this loss was a killer.

Carolina jumps to 3-1…one of the best teams in the NFC, but not with the top of the top teams. Just below the top. Tough schedule ahead…a 9-10 win season is still projected, but not much higher than that due to the schedule.

Fantasy Player Notes…

-- We gotta talk about the debut of Curtis Samuel (2-37-1/4). He came into the game early, got a bubble screen, made a sweet catch on a misfire, ran past several tacklers, broke a few tackles, got smacked by two guys near the goal line, he bounced off that, jumped over a mess and found the end zone. It was brilliant on so many levels.

He saw 3 more targets the rest of the game.

That’s the problem with any Carolina receiver…there’s usually not enough activity in yards/TDs/catches for any one of them to consistently matter. Samuel is the best/most talented WR they have, and he might emerge in a bit, but that might mean 5-6-7 targets a game at-best – WR2/3 work at-best.

-- Same problem for the athletically gifted D.J. Moore (4-49-0/4, 1-18-0/4). I will say this for Moore…this was his best game by far. The most comfortable he’s looked this season.

The problem, like with so many teams, is this – one of the first plays of the game, Moore took a double reverse pitch and came around looking to go outside, but it was blocked up. So, instead, he turned it upfield like a running back…broke a tackle, smashed into Landon Collins after that and sent Collins flat to the ground while Moore continued to run. A sure-fire -5-yard play for most WRs running it…turned brilliant 18-yard run. Moore has skills like an RB and showed it here.

…he never took a carry the rest of the game.

What else can I say about how success allergic NFL coaches are?

Credit to Carolina, they are starting to get Moore involved on bubble screens, etc., to let his gift shine (just get the ball in his hands easy, not complicated routes)…but it’s Norv Turner at O-C…so, never enough work for the playmakers.

-- Saquon Barkley (15-48-0, 4-81-2/4) had a 68-yard TD run back in Week 1, a kind of broken play…outside of that Barkley has 70 carries for 239 yards this season – a paltry 3.4 yards per carry. He’s just not a very good runner of the ball. Athletic as hell, but not a technician at his position.

He works for fantasy…all the touches, and eventually he just needs to spring one of them. An OBJ TD pass trick play saved an otherwise dull performance from Barkley here.

-- Odell Beckham (8-131-1/14) is averaging a career best 7.8 catches per game…to go along with 92.4 yards per game this season. Just 1 TD, so far…but Pat Shurmur is doing the Steelers brand of ball in NY – get the ball to the stars. OBJ is a top 3 fantasy PPR WR in this offense.

If NYG had any pop at QB they could win the division this year…they still might because it’s so weak.

-- The NYG-DST? They really have played well this season…but a tough schedule is masking it. They might be useful as a streamer ahead when Olivier Vernon returns any week now.

Janoris Jenkins (4 tackles, 2 PDs) is playing terrific in the secondary.

-- Rookie WR from Bethune Cookman, Jawill Davis (2-27-0/4) played in place of Cody Latimer (injured). No real impact or wow events.

6’0”/191…4.38 40-time, 1.50 10-yard, 39” vertical, but a 7.52 three-cone with 4.56 shuttle. Good speed, solid hands, poor agility.

Snap Counts of Interest:

51 = Funchess

46 = Torrey Sm

30 = Jarius Wright

29 = DJ Moore

13 = Byrd

12 = Samuel

IDPs…

48 = Eric Reid

32 = Lorenzo Carter

18 = Efe Obada


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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

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