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2018 Week 6 Dynasty-Fantasy Analysis: Bills v. Texans

Date:
October 18, 2018 8:18 PM
October 18, 2018 9:43 PM

*Pre-editor post (forgive any typos)

This game was 10-0 at the half, Houston. The Texans didn’t look good, but the Bills looked like their normal selves…awful -- defense playing well…offense is the worst in football, and that’s an insult to the Cardinals who thought they had the worst offense in football. Basically, whichever team I watched last between them is the worst offense in football.

Houston in control…and then the next thing you know, the Texans go on a turnover-fest and it’s 13-10 Bills in the 4th quarter. Also, Josh Allen gets hurt and that helps Buffalo because Nathan Peterman comes in and changes the game from Allen’s awfulness to Peterman making a play or two.

The good times with Peterman last just a few minutes because 13-13 with less than 2 minutes left, Peterman serves up a stare down throw for the easiest pick six in the history of football. 20-13 Houston. One more pick from Peterman ends the Bills’ last hopes.

Buffalo could lose out but will probably steal a win or two along the way and get to 3-4 wins.

Houston could make a huge statement by winning at Jacksonville, winning four in-a-row, and rising to the top of the AFC South. Or, as I would assume they’ll do – they’ll get crushed by ‘angry’ Jacksonville and go about their 8-8 to the finish ways, hoping 8-8 is in the division hunt, and it might be. We have them losing to Jacksonville this week and then finishing 7-9/8-8.

Fantasy Player Notes…

-- Let’s talk Week 7 starter for Buffalo, Derek Anderson

The last three seasons…2 TDs/5 INTs.

Anderson, in games with 14 or more throws in the last decade…24 TDs and 33 INTs (32 games).

This is the coveted starter for the Bills in Week 7? Yeah, I like the Colts defense this week…

-- Lamar Miller (15-6-0, 2-25-0/3) gets the least bit healthy…right back into the starting lineup this game, and another disappointing offensive performance. Despite Alfred Blue (7-26-0, 2-17-0/3) really having a nice spot start the week prior.

Why are you holding onto D’Onta Foreman like you got something? He’s weeks away from even being ‘ready’, then it would take a few weeks to get up to speed. Then, he wouldn’t even be playing 40% of the snaps if Miller is injured.

You got a real long shot with Foreman in 2018…or, ever. You don’t bounce back from the Achilles tear with no deleterious effect typically.

-- Tre’Davious White (2 tackles, 1 TFL) is becoming a no-fly-zone CB. DeAndre Hopkins (5-62-1/6) was held in check…got a somewhat lucky timing pass TD to salvage his FF day.

CB Phillip Gaines was impressive working against Will Fuller (2-33-0/3) and Keke Coutee (3-33-0/5) as well.

Houston faces an even tougher Jacksonville CB group this week. Coutee working the slot has the best chance Week 7 (a la Cole Beasley Week 6) for fantasy numbers.

-- Ryan Griffin (0-0-0/5) had like 2-3 end zone looks but he was either covered or a bad throw (forced by pressure). Griffin had 9 targets in Week 5 and 5 targets here. He’s getting more look but not doing much with them.

-- LeSean McCoy (16-73-0, 3-21-0/5) has not rushed for over 90 yards in a game this season, nor in his last 8 games. He has 3 rushing TDs in his last 13 games. There’s only so much he can do here. If Buffalo wins one of their next two games, they might keep McCoy and try for an ill-advised playoff run.

If Buffalo loses their next two and falls to 2-6…LeSean McCoy is headed to Philly, I believe. He may be headed there regardless.

Chris Ivory, I guess, would be a deep sleeper pickup ahead of that event. I’d guess one of Smallwood-Clement-Adams would go in return, so I wouldn’t bet on Ivory.

-- Texans LB Zach Cunningham (13 tackles) is on fire…8.3 tackles per game this season. 11.5 tackles per game the past two weeks.

-- EVERYONE is cackling about the Buffalo Bills defense, and with good cause…7 sacks in this game, forced 3 turnovers. They have a good group…it’s not to be taken lightly, but the problem is their offense is so bad it never helps the defense AT ALL.

Holding Houston and Tennessee to 13 and 12 points is not necessarily pure confirmation of a rise up for the Bills…but it might be. Remember, they were getting whacked earlier in the season. The Bills-DST could be useful against the Colts because Andrew Luck is not shy about turning the ball over.

Snap Counts of Interest:

61 = Hopkins

52 = Fuller

45 = Coutee

41 = Miller

25 = Blue

47 = McCoy

16 = Ivory

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

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