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2018 Week 8 Dynasty-Fantasy Analysis: Broncos v. Chiefs

Date:
November 2, 2018 12:20 PM
November 2, 2018 1:20 PM

*Pre-editor post (forgive any typos)

This game ended within a score…30-23 KC, but it wasn’t that close. KC led 30-14 going into the 4th quarter and just kinda meandered their way to a victory with Denver trying to scramble something together late. Denver played a solid enough game…it’s just KC may be the best team in the NFL right now (and all year).

KC is 7-1, should be 8-0, will likely finish 15-1/14-2. I bet they are the #1 seed despite losing to the Pats earlier this season.

Denver falls to 3-5. They face a ‘must win’ Week 9 hosting HOU to stay in the playoff discussion. We’re projecting them 7-9/8-8, but there is a path to 9 wins and a wild card discussion, but they have to win this week, then beat the Steelers in Denver Week 12. I don’t think Vance Joseph can do it, but all is not lost yet because 9 wins is what’s needed for the AFC wild card. They have two games with LAC ahead…if they take LAC down twice they could leap away from LAC into the wild card at the end.

Fantasy Player Notes…

-- Tyreek Hill’s (3-70-0/4) injury…

He came out about midway into the 4th quarter, as a precaution, and the game was pretty well in hand. I think the injury has been overblown. He was practicing in full Wednesday. If he had a real issue, they would have sat him out all week.

I think Demarcus Robinson (1-1-0/1) would be the big beneficiary if Hill was out, FYI. He played 20 snaps in this game. Chris Conley 30. Conley is an outside WR known for his blocking. Robinson can work more as a Tyreek-a-like.

-- Sammy Watkins (8-107-2/9) had a big game. I don’t understand why he doesn’t have big games every week considering all the heat on Tyreek and Kelce.

I think I’m overlooking Watkins, somewhat because I don’t like him as a WR talent…but I should know better. He’s solid in a GREAT spot. A darn near perfect spot to shine.

In Week 4, he got hurt early and left the game for good…no catches on 1 target. Ignore that game, and here’s Watkins’ numbers per game this season: 4.9 rec. (6.9 targets), 64.7 yards, 0.43 TDs…9.0 FF PPG/13.9 PPR PPG – a solid WR2 rolling with St. Patrick.

I’ve been saying to team Kelce with MYreek (Mahomes+Tyreek) for fantasy goodness…maybe Sammy Watkins should be a strong consideration there as well. The Holy Quad.

Watkins has all his TDs in game Hill didn’t score. Watkins has two 100+ yard games in games Hill was underwhelming in output. I’m just saying. I should’ve thought of this sooner…but my Watkins bias.

-- Now, a WR that I do love…Courtland Sutton (3-78-0/4).

Finally, Demaryius Thomas is gone, so Sutton can move higher. But before you get too giddy…it’s not like Thomas was great. He’s been WR2.5-3.0 junk for two+ years now. It’s not like 10 targets/7 catches/10 TDs a year were just abandoned for Sutton to pick up.

I think Sutton gets a bump to WR2 from WR3, instantly…but may be stuck there/WR2 until a new QB arrives.  Sutton has high-end WR1 talent, but QB issues holding him back some. He might be popping WR1.5 in a few weeks in good matchups.

DaeSean Hamilton is the bigger winner, as he goes from bench to starter…as soon as he’s back from MCL sprain Week 11. Hamilton is also a fantastic talent, but is also restricted by Keenum. He’ll be a PPR WR3 hopeful later this season.

-- Case Keenum (23-34 for 262 yards, 2 TDs/1 INT) has 7 TDs/4 INTs his last 4 games and two 320+yard efforts.

I note this to mention…Keenum’s FF playoff schedule Weeks 13-16 is (Starting with Week 13):

#32 ranked pass defense at Cincy

#21 San Fran

#26 Cleveland

#22 Oakland

Week 12 (Mahomes/Goff BYE) he hosts #24 pass-D Pittsburgh.

Keenum might be a great #2 QB for the Mahomes/Goff holders worried about Week 12 and not loving their current #2 QB…Keenum as a wild card emergency playoff plan in case your ace starter gets hurt.  

Good schedule for Sutton-Sanders as well.

-- A little more Dorian O’Daniel (4 tackles, 1 TFL) every week…and I LOVE IT! Big move for him in our Dynasty Stash IDP rankings this week.

I’m drooling watching him play middle linebacker…up to 28 snaps this week!

-- People are onto the KC DST now, more so this week because of ‘vs. CLE’…but then next week hosting ARI. They’ll be dropped for Week 11 hosting LAR and Week 12 BYE.

Week 13 at OAK is great and Weeks 14-15 vs. BAL and LAC at home might be good enough. Week 16 at SEA is a wild card DST play.

I like KC as a sneaky DST to run with, but not my top favorite. However… With NFL scoring going crazy, and no real 85 Bears defenses out there. The play ahead may not be the closest things to great defenses – Bears, Rams, Jags, Ravens…but, rather, good enough defenses with a dominant offense – a defense always in the lead and playing for sacks and picks and not caring about giving up 28+ points? Every defense seems to give up 21+ each week and takes them into that no points zone for DST scoring…so, a -1 or -3 for points allowed isn’t that huge a deal…where sacks, pick sixes, and return scores are more the order of the day to make up for it?

Snap Counts of Interest:

55 = Watkins

48 = Hill

30 = Conley

20 = D Robinson

41 = Lindsay

32 = Booker

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

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