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2018 Week 8 Dynasty-Fantasy Analysis: Packers v. Rams

Date:
October 31, 2018 9:14 PM
October 31, 2018 11:17 PM

*Pre-editor post (forgive any typos)

I kinda forgot the Packers jumped out to a 10-0 lead in this game. The Packers had the Rams on their heels and then did what most all poorly coaches teams do…started playing conservative to sit on the lead, even though they were playing the most explosive offense in the NFL…and even though they have greatest QB in the history of football. Mike McCarthy has ruined the Packers for so many years it’s a shame to all the players who’ve played for him; it’s a shame to Rodgers.

The Rams calmly took the game back over into the 4th quarter, but then Packers did what they always do…constantly playing from behind and Rodgers scrambling them back into the game. You know a main reason why Aaron Rodgers is so notorious for come from behind wins late? Because they’re always losing. Why aren’t the Packers always dominating and laughing on the sidelines late in games…why is it always teams, with the lead, playing not to give Rodgers the ball with any more than 0:30 left to operate?

Rams 29-27 with 2:05 left in the game. Rams kicking off the Green Bay. Essentially, the Packers were going to win the game with that much time. Except, Ty Montgomery defied the coach’s orders, returned the kick and fumbled it away – game over.

The Rams have played the same game over and over for weeks it seems – let opponents stay too close but because they are so good they hit the gas pedal when they need to, but it’s close late and a bad bounce could ruin their perfect season…but the breaks ALWAYS seem to go to the Rams. LA is lucky they aren’t 5-2 and worrying about oncoming Seattle…they’re lucky they beat Seattle earlier this year.

The Rams are great but they’re not the best team in football. They’re too blasé, too wrapped up in Todd Gurley to really be dominant. They’ve won three of their last 4 games by 2, 3, and 2. They’re going to get beat soon. They aren’t showing me the killer instinct. They are beautiful to watch and great…but they are going to get-got at some point. We project a 13-3/14-2 finish and home seed will go the winner of this week’s LAR at NO game.

The Packers are 3-3-1 and the schedule, on top of Mike McCarthy’s issues, is going to do them in. 8-7-1 is their current projected finish.

Fantasy Player Notes…

-- With all the offensive talent in this game, I want to start by pointing out a defensive player…

Packers rookie CB Jaire Alexander (7 tackles, 5 PDs) played a brilliant game, was the game MVP, and kept the Packers in this game. He played Brandin Cooks (3-74-0/8) beautifully. If not for Alexander’s coverage, Cooks would have had 100+ yards easy in this game…possibly 200+ yards. Alexander broke up several deep shots to Cooks.

The Packers have a defense under Mike Pettine, one of the best coaches in all of football. The Pack also has the most talented QB of our lifetime. How are they 3-3-1? Mike McCarthy…and a crappy GM.

-- The Packers had Geronimo Allison (1-14-0/1) and Randall Cobb (4-40-0/5) step back into the lineup after missing weeks with injury. I thought they’d jump right back in where they left off…and Allison was hot for fantasy.

Well…

Allison didn’t start, and the wildly overrated Marquez Valdes-Scantling (2-45-1/5) played more snaps than Allison (31-30). Cobb only played 24 snaps. The best non-Adams WR they have, Equanimeous St. Brown (2-31-0/2) only played 6 snaps…when he could be used to as a major weapon teams would be hard-pressed to contain, but he’s kept idle too much.

I have no idea what’s going on with the Packers’ WRs. I downgrade them all until I see what they do this week. I have no idea if Cobb-Allison are rotational or were on a ‘pitch count’ for whatever reason coming back from injury.

What you want to do to help Aaron Rodgers is constantly rotate WRs, so he can’t get in sync with them. Makes sense.

-- Just like the Packers’ RB usage makes no sense all season. Aaron Jones (12-86-1, 2-0-0/2) finally had a good game, so now he’s the belle of the ball. Next week, he’ll probably have 5-7 carries and not matter.

I don’t trust Aaron Jones…don’t like him as a talent and don’t trust how he’s used. He’s useful in a good spot if he can get the touches.

-- Josh Reynolds (3-42-2/5) looked the best I’ve seen him in two years. Good for him. He’s a really talented WR. He’ll disappear, mostly, when Cooper Kupp returns this week. It’s not Reynolds’ time yet.

-- The Rams-DST is the #2 PPR DST in fantasy YTD. Their lofty numbers are in trouble.

The last six games they’ve allowed opponents 23 or more points in four games. They’ve given up 30+ points twice in that span. Brees-Wilson-Mahomes-BYE-Stafford-Trubisky-Wentz ahead the next 7 weeks. They are somewhat unusable ahead, but people are going to ride the name.

The Rams don’t have that good a defense to be a firm play through all this. Marcus Peters is terrible. Aqib Talib is still out. It’s a rough secondary right now…but a great front seven.

Snap Counts of Interest:

62 = Higbee

17 = Everett

40 = Adams

31 = Valdes-Scantling

30 = Allison

24 = Cobb

06 = St. Brown

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

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