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2019 Dynasty/Fantasy Football Analysis: Week 1 – Bills 17, Jets 16

Date:
September 12, 2019 8:47 AM
September 12, 2019 8:44 AM

2019 Dynasty/Fantasy Football Analysis: Week 1 – Bills 17, Jets 16

 

It was a battle of, arguably, the worst QBs in the league…Sam Darnold v. Josh Allen! *Checks notes – Both of there guys were 1st-round picks and everyone loves them…and told you they were awesome.*

I don’t want to leave Jameis Winston out of ‘the worst QB in the league’ discussion either *Checks notes – he was EVERYONE’S sure thing franchise QB, and the #1 pick overall in the draft.*

Boy, the NFL people are so much smarter about things than us regular people. Don’t you dare question them.

This game was 16-0 Jets at one point (3rd Q) before Devin Singletary took over and Josh Allen decided to stop turning the ball over every drive (‘only’ 4 turnovers for Allen here). A dramatic, come from behind, one-point win…a game that my judge’s scorecard says should’ve been like 30+ to 3 Bills. This was a joke masquerading as a ‘close game’.

 

Fantasy Player Notes…

 

 -- These two QBs…

Josh Allen’s (24-37 for 254 yards, 1 TD/2 INTs, 10-28-1) new FFM nickname is…’Russian Roulette.’ Double-R for short. Every time he drops back to throw you wince in anticipation that the interception right into the defender’s hands, right into double-triple coverage is coming…going to blow your figurative brains out (if you’re a Bills fan). When he actually completes a pass TO his receiver, it’s like the click/snap of the trigger but no explosion…you just let out a big sigh of relief. But, then… Oh, no… He’s pulling back the trigger again…

When Allen is on 1st-2nd-down with no pressure and a short-medium wide-open throw, he’s glorious. At least, I can say that.

Sam Darnold…

Ahhh, I got nothing. This guy...I cannot believe the ENTIRE football community is conned by this guy. All in due time I will be proven correct.

 

 -- The real story of this game… I’m ignorant.

Why did anyone tell me Devin Singletary (4-70-0, 5-28-0/6) started this game? I thought Frank Gore (11-20-0) did? I thought that was the reason why Singletary had no stats in the 1st-half, basically.

Seriously, I didn’t know from the live watch. Singletary started this game. There’s an explanation for the no touches early…the Bills passed the ball the first eight plays/the entire drive (capped by an Allen pick). Singletary was in and lined up five-wide a lot. In fact, he was in on every one of those 8 plays.

He was also in on every play of the 2nd drive (one play long, as Allen pick).

He was also in every play of the 3rd drive.

He was in for 48 snaps to Gore’s 19. We didn’t see a handoff from the Bills until about a minute left in the 1st-quarter…a Gore run to nowhere. The Bills may have run the ball 3-4-5 times in the 1st-half? It was a cool game plan, but pesky Double-R was always there to throw a pick (twice, but should’ve had 3-4 picked) or fumble the ball away (twice).

Singletary got four carries in this game, three of them on one series,and they literally turned the game around. His yardage on the four carries…23-12-15-20. Who wants to see more of that? Who cares about 17.5 yards per carry anyway?

Sam Darnold did not complete a pass of over 20 yards because he is a scared, noodle-armed backup QB talent…but Devin Singletary currently stands at 50% of his career NFL carries are for 20 or more yards.

Singletary is the Aaron Jones, Kerryon Johnson, Dalvin Cook, etc., RB you’re looking for…right in front of your face. Except Singletary is good at running the football. His coach is all-in on him like those other guys. He catches passes better than all of the RBs I just mentioned. He’s the guy…what more do you want? *Current expert ranking for Week 2…#29 RB on FantasyPros*

Singletary is going to be a 12-18+ carry, 5+ target a game guy in game consistently. He’s a rock solid RB2 with RB1 hopes. We were so far ahead of everyone on this. Justin Jackson doesn’t pan out…you replace him easily off waivers (in 12-team/16-17 man rosters or less). Singletary…you got a rock-solid starter for bargain basement redraft prices. That’s what I do!

 

 -- Le’Veon Bell (17-60-0, 6-32-1/9)…you see that stat line? That’s what Singletary is going to be doing most weeks. Same opportunity…good RB, good hands, bad QBs/offense. One is beloved. One is ignored, still. If you didn’t cash in on this with us before, you gotta stop and do it now.

 

 -- I’m not a John Brown (7-123-1/10) guy. Never have been. He’s OK. He’s just erratic in results and plays with the most erratic QB this side of Jameis. No, thanks.

 

 -- I’m not a fan of Jamison Crowder (14-99-0/17). I get that the numbers work for PPR and Darnold has a noodle-arm, so this dink-dunk show works well – but I saw this last year. Defenses will take it away now that they know. It happened to hot-start, center of the early 2018 pass game Quincy Enunwa (1-0-0/3) last year.

 

 -- C.J. Mosley (5 tackles, 1 INT TD, 1 FR) got injured in this game and is questionable for Week 2. If he’s out, and Blake Cashman (2 tackles) starts…Cashman may force his way into the lineup for good after that…but probably not since Adam Gase is defensively challenged. 



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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

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