2019 Dynasty/Fantasy Football Analysis: Week 10 – Bears 20, Lions 13
The Bears were playing at home in an absolute must-win situation to save the season/stop the bleeding…and they got to play a dome team going outside in so-so weather that had to make a last second switch at QB to a journeyman backup. The perfect scenario for a Bears ‘get right’ game.
The Lions took the opening possession and waltzed right down the field to the goal line area but had to settle for a field goal. That’s the Bears 2019 – a terrible team, a poorly coached team that cannot even take advantage of a great situation. The opposition has no fear of them…and Jeff Driskel worked right down the field off the bat.
It was soon 6-0 Lions with the Bears unable to do anything on offense, per usual. Then the Bears caught some breaks on 4th & 1 gambles for 1st-downs and penalties to get them down the field and then Mitch Trubisky got hot and started dropping TD dimes and the Bears seized control, 20-6, with 9+ minutes left. Easy win in tow, right?
The Lions then move the ball down the field and hit on a Kenny Golladay bomb TD to close the gap to 20-13 with 6+ minutes remaining. The Bears did their all-David Montgomery runs to nowhere effort and were three-and-outed twice in 6+ minutes giving the Lions two chances/drives to go tie/win the game…and with 0:07 left, the Lions had one play from 25-yards away to try to win it and couldn’t get it. A somewhat lucky win for the Bears. Considering all the advantages, it feels like a loss honestly.
Chicago is now 4-5 and thinks they have some playoff life, and they could if they beat the Rams this week. They would then be 5-5 with NYG and @DET the next two weeks, but I don’t think this team can win three-in-a-row against anybody it’s so poorly coached – like a worse version of the Dallas Cowboys. We see the Bears with 6-7 wins in the end.
Detroit has a case for being 0-9 or 9-0 at this point this season…instead, they are 3-5-1 and fading away. We see 6-9-1 as their finish.
Fantasy Player Notes…
-- Just judging by this game, you couldn’t tell who was the better QB…Mitch Trubisky (16-23 for 173 yards, 3 TDs/0 INTs) or Jeff Driskel (27-45 for 269 yards, 1 TD/1 INT, 5-37-0). That’s not slamming Mitch…it’s a compliment to a QB (Driskel) that I’ve liked/respected for a few years now.
I just want to note this because -- be careful taking the Lions too lightly if Driskel has to play every week ahead AND do not fear Kenny Golladay (3-57-1/9) dropping off – in fact, ‘buy low’. Driskel is better than QBs like Darnold, Winston, Dan Dimes, Finley…and more on par with Ryan Fitz or Trubisky at this stage, and a better FF option than all them in a favorable matchup because he’s a great runner. Driskel also smartly went to Golladay any chance he had.
Be careful betting Dallas too heavy this week because of a ‘Driskel factor’.
-- Who will be the Lions’ RB in Week 11?
Ty Johnson (5-16-0) left early with a concussion. He’s questionable for this week. I’ve not seen the Lions elevate any RBs off the practice squad, etc., so far this week…so there’s a chance Ty will play – if he does, he’s the main carry starter.
J.D. McKissic (10-36-0, 6-19-0/7) would be the main carry starter with Paul Perkins sprinkled in if Ty is out. JDM would be a satellite/split role RB like Austin Ekeler this week if Ty is back.
-- Trey Burton is hurt and playing poorly regardless, Ben Braunecker (1-18-1/1) caught a TD pass this week…so, is this a developing situation?
Who wants the 50% snap playing TE off the Bears for FF numbers? J.P. Holtz (0-0-0/0) is the more interesting Bears backup TE…and not that interesting.
-- The Bears lost starting ILB Danny Trevathan (3 tackles) to a season-ending injury, so lesser-talent Nick Kwiatkowski (10 tackles, 1 sack, 1 PD) takes over it appears. He’s a try-hard tackler who might be solid for IDP but hurts the Bears-DST overall.
Snap Counts of Interest:
34 = Montgomery
29 = Cohen
20 = Trey Burton
19 = J.P. Holtz
12 = Braunecker
57 = McKissic
15 = Perkins
12 = Ty Johnson