2019 Dynasty/Fantasy Football Analysis: Week 10 – Titans 35, Chiefs 32
32-27 Chiefs with 1:27 left. Kansas City lines up to kick a field goal to go up by 8 points with a 1+ minute left and Tennessee with no timeouts.
The snapper snaps the ball without the holder calling for it, and the holder has to scramble after the grounded ball and thus the kick is aborted…and the holder picks it up and just throws it away…so, intentional grounding added for -10 more yards to the KC chaos. Suddenly, the 8 point lead opportunity goes back to being up 5 points but giving Tennessee the ball in solid field position, of which the Titans go right down the field in four plays and they score a TD (+ a 2-pointer) to take a three-point lead 35-32.
KC goes right down the field to get into field goal range, and lines up for a game-tying boot…blocked by Tennessee, ball game. NOW, everyone starts to wonder about the Chiefs…and whether they are overrated. It took a botched field goal snap and then a blocked field goal in the span of a minute-and-a-half to force people to question how good the Chiefs are in general in 2019. Handle the field goal situations late, there’s not a peep about KC’s issues.
Still, outside of KC, no one questions the Andy Reid failure in all of this…because, of course not. It’s the defenses fault. The Chiefs are 8-7 in their last 15 games when the great Mahomes is playing the full game…but it’s not Andy Reid’s fault. Nothing to question there. You cannot question Reid…or his ‘tree’, Matt Nagy or Doug Pederson. I’m not sure how this Andy Reid tree thing became ‘a thing’, but it is.
I’m not ready to dismiss KC’s potential because of this weird outcome. The NFL is hard…a game of inches, and maddening…like fantasy football. KC is now 6-4, but really has had a chance to be 10-0 right now (or 5-4/4-6). The Chiefs have been missing several O-Lineman and have been missing several top pass rushers and their top corner for weeks -- and lost Tyreek for weeks and Mahomes as well. They’re one of the most brutalized by injury teams in the NFL in 2019 and are 6-4 and if they can get everyone back healthy, just like many of our FF-teams, they will be a force to be reckoned with.
I could see KC losing to LAC this week, because their O-Line is so banged up…and even more chaos ensues. A loss this week would make KC 6-5 heading into a BYE then facing a possible 7-4 Oakland team in Week 13 for the division title control. Can you imagine? KC needs to win this week ‘bad’…as does LAC, who could get back into the race with a win. We project KC finishing with 9-10 wins and if 9 wins…they might not win the AFC West, and they might not make the wild card due to losses to Houston and Indy. KC needs health…and somehow to beat LAC Week 11.
Tennessee keeps its faint playoff hopes alive, clawing to 5-5…with a 3-1 record under Ryan Tannehill, with each win luckier than the next. We see a 7-9 finish for Tennessee, maybe 6 wins, 8 wins the max.
Fantasy Player Notes…
-- Patrick Mahomes (36-50 for 446 yards, 3 TDs/0 INTs) showed no ill-effects from his kneecap issue. The only issue…he’s 0-3 in his last three starts/finishes of a game for KC.
-- No worries for Derrick Henry (23-188-2, 2-3-0/2) either. My redraft plan of bypassing a running back 1st-round in redrafts was to get Leonard Fournette 2nd/3rd-round and/or Derrick Henry 3rd/4th-round to be my RB1s…Henry is now 4th in the league in rushing yards per game and 3rd in total TDs with 10.
I love it when a plan comes together. It helps that KC cannot stop the run game. Only Cincinnati is worse against the run this season than KC.
-- The KC RB situation is more complicated than Tennessee’s…
LeSean McCoy (DNP) was put inactive for this game…I think his days are numbered in KC. Issues blocking. Fumble problems. Andy Reid is not coddling him. Whatever happens, like we’ve said for weeks – McCoy is nothing for FF anymore.
Damien Williams (19-77-0, 5-32-0/5) is the new, clear #1 RB for KC…and that’s worth an RB2 price tag/hope going forward…with risk LeSean rises up out of the doghouse or Darrel Williams (2-6-0, 1-9-0/1) gets a moment again. The Chiefs backfield has been a mess for FF all season. Nothing what anyone expected.
Damien had a key fumble here, and the Titans scooped and scored off it and changed the game. The next series, you know who the starting RB was for KC? Damien Williams. McCoy has been benched for such turnover infractions, not Damien…that’s another sign of Reid’s impatience/standing with McCoy.
Darrel Williams (2-6-0, 1-9-0/1) has minor value if LeSean is dumped or inactive, but as long as McCoy is there…he’ll play and take touches from all of them.
-- Jonnu Smith (4-30-0/6) looks so good on tape every week I rewatch the Titans play. Jonnu led all Titans with 6 targets in this low-grade passing game. He also had a sweet 20-yard bubble screen play…called back for a penalty…3 PPR points zapped.
I love Jonnu, but I know when Delanie Walker returns…Jonnu is a split/bit player. Hell, Jonnu cannot connect for big numbers without Delanie the last two weeks.
-- This was supposed to be the A.J. Brown (1-17-0/4) breakout with Corey Davis out/hurt, per all the football analysts. AJB responded with ONE catch. I have not seen a thing to love about Brown all season…as a WR. He has the athleticism of an NFL WR, but not the technical skills to be a major player.
-- Two Titans IDPs to discuss…
LeShaun Sims (12 tackles) is now starting at CB for I.R.’d Malcolm Butler…a 12-tackle debut is a nice start, for IDP hopes.
Rookie LB David Long (8 tackles, 1 TFL), who I am a huge fan of…played 34% of the snaps and had a monster effort within that – 8 tackles, a TFL, and forced the fumble that was scooped and scored upon to turn this game for Tennessee. I hope he gets more playing time, but Tennessee is loaded at ILB.
-- This was supposed to be a great opportunity for the KC-DST, per me and a few others…facing the worst team at protecting the QB in the league! They did get 4 sacks and a turnover but allowed 28 offensive points to a chump offense. Not good. Not too trustworthy Monday Night Week 11 vs. LAC.
Snap Counts of Interest:
49 = AJ Brown
42 = T Sharpe
40 = Jonnu
34 = Humphries
37 = Henry
15 = D Lewis
60 = Damien Williams
17 = Darrel Williams
05 = Darwin Thompson