2019 Dynasty/Fantasy Football Analysis: Week 8 – Seahawks 27, Falcons 20
Seattle led this game 24-0 at the half.
My best bet of the week, early in the betting week where some places were willing to list a -3.5 line thinking Matt Ryan was playing. The line eventually jumped to -7.0 when Schaub was named starter over the weekend…I thought that was a great line too. When it was 24-0, I assumed all bets were booked and I really didn’t play a whole lot of attention to the rest of this game during the live watch of nine games at a time on the Sunday early games.
The next thing I know…the Falcons are closing the gap in the 2nd-half and trying to legit tie/win the game. Had the Falcons converted a 2-point conversion with their TD at the 3+ minute mark remaining…they might have tied this game on their next possession. Atlanta failed on the 2-pointer and were down 27-17. The stopped Seattle, inexplicably, and they got the ball back and drove down field -- and decided to take a field goal to try to then onside kick for the last hope TD shot with time running low, but they couldn’t get the onside boot. Seattle limped away with a 27-20 victory that was somewhat embarrassing at the end.
Seattle’s defense allowed Matt Schaub to throw for 460 yards in this game and almost lead a comeback…Seattle’s defense is really borderline horrible this season.
Seattle is now 6-2 and are damn lucky not to be 2-6. They have a very tough schedule from Week 10…like lose a lot of games in a row tough. We see 8-10 wins as their range still with 9 wins and a possible wild card.
Atlanta is hideous…1-7. They might win 1-2 more games, tops.
Fantasy Player Notes…
-- Russell Wilson’s (14-20 for 182 yards, 2 TDs/0 INT) passer numbers are starting to drizzle back to more of his norm in this stuffy/run heavy offense. No 300+ yards passing games his last 5 games. Had 4 TD passes vs. LAR Week 4, but 2-1-2-1-2 passing TDs in the games around that since Week 3.
My great fear for Russell is what Brian Schottenheimer will do to him…we don’t need a bunch of 250 passing yards and 1-2 passing TDs every other week from Wilson for fantasy. The schedule doesn’t stay easy ahead…no gimmes after Week 9. Not sure which way this will break…Seattle desperately throwing against the tougher schedule, or trying to run every play to hide their defense.
-- Rashaad Penny (8-55-0) was rumored to be inquired about by teams during the trade deadline, but Seattle has no reason to move him…considering Carson’s track record of getting dinged up.
It looks like they tried to pump his psyche back up from the rumors, and from his general career slide, with more touches this game…and he responded with a few nice 10+ yard pops. Still, there is no chance he is playing meaningful time on purpose as long as Carson is healthy.
-- Falcons RB Brian Hill (3-29-1) is trying to get more touches with Atlanta. With Ito Smith hurt, Hill took some carries in this game – including a sweep for a sweet 23-yard TD run. The 23 yards was more rushing yards on one play than Devonta Freeman (13-39-0, 8-63-0/8) has had on three separate occasions/games this season (with plenty of totes).
Dan Quinn is done. He’s going to play the veterans and get them touches as a thank you out the door. He’s not trying to help the organization develop young players for the future. Hill will just be a random backup this season…but if Devonta goes down in the weeks ahead, Hill might matter.
-- Russell Gage (7-58-0/9) is starting in place of the traded-away Mohamed Sanu and had an attention-getting starting debut of targets/catches. However, note…
1) Gage is just ‘OK’ not great as a WR talent. He’s solid enough but not a star in the making.
2) Half of this activity was very late in an all-throw comeback attempt…but there is a lot of that with this team week-to-week.
-- This seemed like a good spot for Jacob Hollister (2-18-0/2) to take another step forward filling the Will Dissly void…umm, no.
He played less than half the snaps Luke Willson (1-7-0/1) did here.
-- Seattle lost SAF Tedric Thompson for the season. Newly acquired Quandre Diggs is hurt. Rookie Marquise Blair (11 tackles) has been forced into action lately, and he has responded with 8.5 tackles, 0.5 PDs, 0.5 FF per game the last two weeks.
Snap Counts of Interest:
60 = Devonta
11 = Brian Hill
43 = Willson
21 = Hollister
41 = Carson
18 = Penny
64 = marquise Blair
62 = Jarran Reed
49 = Kendall Sheffield