2019 Dynasty/Fantasy Football Analysis: Week 9 – Seattle 40, Tampa Bay 34
I just watched two terrible, atrocious defenses play a game against each other and the one with Russell Wilson won it in overtime.
I walk away from this game thinking…
For NFL purposes, Seattle is so overrated…every week it seems they luck into a win, but when you have Russell Wilson – anything is possible. So, they are not so overrated…because they have the best pure QB in the NFL.
For fantasy purposes, anytime I have anything playing against these two pass defenses…I should feel giddy.
Seattle is 7-2…and lucky that they are not 2-7. I think they are going to get obliterated by the 49ers this week, but when you have Russell Wilson…who knows? Terrible schedule ahead for Seattle. 7 straight losses possible, but they have Russell so let’s say they win 3 of them to get to 10 wins and the wild card.
Tampa Bay is 2-6, and no easy wins ahead. They’ll probably luck into another 2 wins because Jameis Winston is the luckiest ‘worst’ QB in the NFL. Threw the best pick-six ball in the end zone of the season and the breaking-on-it safety clanked it off his hands, right up into the air to a Tampa WR to catch it in the end zone early on in this game. That’s Winston…and I never get those plays with my fantasy QB, but Winston has one every week. I have a strict no-own Winston policy.
Fantasy Player Notes…
-- The Bucs named Ronald Jones (18-67-1, 2-15-0/2) their new starter…and he deserves it. He’s looked terrible for about a season and a half, but about Week 3-4-5 this season, I saw a change happening…late bloomer, changed body, changed mind, healed from something…I don’t know but it was different and he should’ve been named starter a few weeks ago. He’s running with energy, toughness, a bounce in his step. Good for him. Some guys fold when they start poorly like he did…he kept changing things (body size, etc.) and found himself, I guess?
He’s a solid RB2-3 the rest of the way.
-- I’m warming up to Jacob Hollister (4-37-2/6) more and more. Not because he had 2 TDs here, but that doesn’t hurt his case.
I had decent scouting grades on Hollister coming out of Wyoming. Thought he deserved to be drafted. He’s kicked around the league a bit and then the Will Dissly injury got him to the active roster and doing work. His snap counts and targets have been erratic, but we’re early into his Seattle journey. 80% of the snaps played here gets my attention…with the 2 TDs.
Could he be a poor man’s Will Dissly? I thought ‘hard no’ before, but now I’m open to the idea.
-- D.K. Metcalf (6-123-1/9) has 3 TDs the last two weeks…doing work against bottom feeder pass defenses. Metcalf is the ultimate ‘sell high/hot’ right now. Big name, huge stats (against bad teams) and a tougher schedule ahead.
I should’ve had him as the #1 ‘sell high’ this week.
He would have WR1.5 type appeal/trade value because of all the latest numbers and his name.
I don’t see anything special happening. He’s with Russell as they blow up ATL and TB pass defenses. Jaron Brown would’ve done the same if forced into that spot. I don’t see Metcalf doing any special work that makes me feel he’s a difference maker.
-- Everyone in football analysis is excited about Josh Gordon being grabbed by Seattle…oh, how lucky!
There’s a reason he was dropped by the Patriots. There’s a reason why 20+ other teams with free agent priority passed on claiming him.
I was writing about all this for weeks before it all crashed – Gordon is giving no effort on the field. He’s checked out…and he hasn’t been relevant since like 2013…and he was somewhat overrated back then. He is like an urban legend. Why people still get excited about ‘…if he could just’...I have no idea.
-- The Bucs started rookie Jamel Dean (5 tackles, 4 PDs) at CB for the first time this season…and let’s just say it didn’t go so well. Nice IDP numbers, but I saw his name on the back of his jersey a lot in this game. He had a bird’s eye view of a few of Russell’s 5 TD passes.
Not sure he’ll start again his week.
Snap Counts of Interest:
64 = Carson
11 = Penny
42 = Ron Jones
21 = Ogunbowale
11 = Barber
02 = TJ Logan
60 = Hollister
17 = Willson