2020 Dynasty/Fantasy Week 10 Game Analysis: Browns 10, Texans 7
I take notes during the live watch. I re-watch the game on tape looking for hidden clues to report on. Here are my notes/takes on what I saw and how it related to FF 2020. I write anywhere from 1,000-3,000+ words on each game, and I must move fast to get to all of them through the week…so, please forgive any typos/grammar.
Wow...was this a waste of my precious time to re-watch. The most exciting thing that happened was when Nick Chubb ran a long way with the ball and made a quick left turn at Albuquerque/before the goal line and ruined fantasy owner’s hearts -- but filled mine with joy as I got the cheap Texans cover. Otherwise, this was an incredibly boring game played in the cold and wind and involved two teams that are pretty weak and one of them won. My main note from this game…it was terrible and provided not much to discuss.
The Texans are so bad, but you have to say the Browns are too…they let Houston hang around all game until the final minute. I don’t know if the Texans have any purchase protection plan on Deshaun Watson, but they may want to look into a possible refund of their purchase.
The Texans have fallen to (2-7) and man are they checked out on this season. No spark. No enthusiasm. Just going through the motions. They might get to 4 wins at best.
The Browns are not much better than Houston but are somehow (6-3) and running towards the playoffs. If they beat Philly Week 11, I will start to believe they are getting to 9 wins and the playoffs. Lose Week 11, and it will be a fight to get there.
Fantasy Player Notes…
-- Nick Chubb (19-126-1, 0-0-0/1) looked fine, like 101% ready for action. Everyone's all excited about him again, with good reason, because of the 100+ yards and a TD…and an ‘almost’ TD.
Consider two things…
1) His late game long run was fluky, as Houston was just trying to stop the run-up-=the-middle drive killing them and Chubb went outside and then went untouched down the sidelines with barely anyone chasing him. Nice moment, but if that 59-yard run didn’t happen…18 carries for 67 yards and a TD. Nice, but not ‘wowza’.
2) Once again, Chubb saw 1 target in a game.
Targets in his five games played this season: 1-1-1-0-1.
If you have him in PPR, you better get a TD with you 100 yards…or you have another Damien Harris.
-- I’d use this Chubb moment to get the real RB1 (PPR) from this team – Kareem Hunt (19-104-0, 3-28-0/4). If any Hunt owner fears Chubb, and more do than you think…they might think they’re dumping Hunt on you. Not cheap, but some motivation to sell if you give it to them.
Hunt has been really good all season. Since Week 2, he’s 8th in PPR PPG among RBs (5 or more games played). He’s a steady PPR RB1, who feels like a backup people fear will be the 30% share guy in no time. At no time, has that ever been true this season…he’s been the better 50/50 a lot of the time. Hunt can co-exist with Chubb and be an RB1 in PPR doing it.
Everyone is crying about wanting to trade for James Robinson, wishing/thinking he’s the answer to their RB woes…while Hunt is like 2.0 PPR PPG away from the same production this entire season, and no one is craving him the same way.
-- The BIG REVENGE GAME for Duke Johnson (14-54-0, 0-0-0/1), look out world…a great RB1 event is about to happen!!! https://youtu.be/_asNhzXq72w
I forgot one rule that trumps ‘revenge game’…the fact that Duke Johnson sucks at football. I overlooked the most obvious thing.
David Johnson will come back and claim his starting job in two weeks and produce these miserable fantasy numbers. Like, I’ve said this past week – you don’t need to hold DJ if you see/need a spark now with a roster move. DJ will return to this awful offense that doesn’t throw to him just in time for the run game schedule to get super-tough. DJ is an RB1.5-2.0 in this environment with so many weak RB scoring weeks…but he’s not killing it, just like most RBs are not. You’re just hoping your guy falls into the end zone. Rex Burkhead has been more valuable than the HOU RBs.
-- Jordan Akins (1-5-0/1) has lost all his momentum from when he got hurt and missed 4 weeks. The promising start to the season has turned into a giant pile of nothing.
You see, the Texans’ season is over…so it’s a great time to see if this Darren Fells (1-15-0/1) kid can be the future for the organization. Sure, he’s a 34+ year old journeyman tight end…but he has the look/movements of a 33+ year old tight end. You go Romeo Crennel! Lead the way to the future, our fearless leader. https://youtu.be/yalRLvkn_Ig?t=15
-- Rashard Higgins (3-48-0/4) drew too much Bradley Roby covering him + the windy, low passing day, so his potential for a nice fantasy game was squashed…BUT…
Higgins did lead all receivers in yards and (tied) in catches here…in a down receiving game for all.
Higgins did see two other targets for 30+ yards, wiped away by P.I. penalties by the defense.
Higgins just looked like Baker’s guy, but I’m not sure what that is FF-worth.
This potential is hiding behind the last two games played in windy, low scoring, low pass game contests. The last time CLE played in decent weather and OBJ was out (Week 7), Higgins caught 6 passes for 110 yards.
-- The Browns last two games being played in windy, blustery, offensive suppressing conditions is a bit of a head fake on their decent/nice fantasy scoring those games. The Browns have a solid enough defense, but not great -- but they do have a few good matchups ahead that might include sloppy or cold weather to help them…
Week 11 vs. PHI is taking on a bad offense and bad O-Line.
Week 12 at JAX is favorable.
Week 15 at NYG could be a good matchup in bad (for offense) conditions, and ditto Week 16 at NYJ.
Good schedule and this is a team that won’t be tanking or checked out…they’ll be in the wild card to the end.
Snap Counts of Interest:
38 = Hodge
38 = Landry
38 = Higgins
16 = DPJ
55 = Hooper
36 = Bryant
23 = Njoku
38 = Hunt
28 = Chubb
54 = Duke J
02 = Prosise
34 = Fells
24 = Akins
18 = Ph Brown