2021 Dynasty/Fantasy Game Analysis Week 4: Bears 24, Lions 14
The Bears won this game, but it wasn’t a great win. The Lions aren’t very good…but Detroit was just as good if not better. Get this… The Lions had goal-to-go the first three drives of the game for them on offense and walked away with zero points. To end the game, trying to come back, they got down to goal to go again…and left with zero points. Nine total drives for Detroit…two TDs and 4 failed goal-to-go events.
Saying the Bears were lucky to win this game is an insult to the word ‘lucky’. This is a terrible Chicago team…one that should be (0-4) and firing it’s coach and GM, but they’ve gotten two lucky wins and everyone is safe…for now. The Bears will finish under .500 and people will be fired.
The Lions are (0-4), but they could be (2-2). Looking at their schedule ahead…it will be a long time before they win a game, probably. Although, they play tough every week and will probably surprise some team soon. However, their O-Line is falling apart due to injuries…and that’s been their one strength. A tailspin could be coming with a tough schedule ahead.
Fantasy Player Notes…
-- David Montgomery (23-106-2) is expected out for 3-5 weeks, but I think that will be more on the 5+ weeks side. Damien Williams (8-55-1, 2-15-0/2), and he looks fine. It’s not a great O-Line to work behind but DW should work fine for Fantasy…looks like an RB2-3 that leans more RB2.
-- Another Justin Fields (11-17 for 209 yards, 0 TDs/1 INT) start where he does not look very good. He’s not ready yet, but Chicago is doing the right thing by pushing him as the starting QB…he needs to sink or swim. He’s probably going to sink in 2021…as the media/fans get what they want, and then it won’t work like a wonderful Disney tale…so, they’ll blame Matt Nagy for them not getting the outcomes they dreamed up, and that will get him fired.
-- There is one connection working for Fields…and that’s Darnell Mooney (5-125-0/7). Mooney is fantastic and had nearly half of Fields completed passes in this game…and some of them were highlight reel catches, or Fields would have really put up a stinker. There is something about Fields-to-Mooney, but I don’t trust the Fields part that much…but love the Mooney part. https://youtu.be/zqfRsu0L68c
-- The best WR for Fantasy, on either team, right now is Kalif Raymond (3-46-2/8). The Lions don’t have much at WR, so Raymond is the best weapon and seeing nice targets and production. He had two TDs in this game…it was almost 3…and nearly 4.
He was our ‘outta nowhere’ WR of the week last week, and well…that worked. But still the masses don’t believe. I’d start believing if you can, if you have room on your roster. Why are you holding Bryan Edwards and leaving Raymond sitting out there?
Raymond is the Lions very poor man’s Tyreek Hill…but more like Deonte Harris, only not as injury prone and in a higher volume passing game right now.
-- Jared Goff (24-38 for 299 yards, 2 TDs/0 INT) is SO TERRIBLE…he’s averaging 275.0 passing yards and has 7 TDs/2 INTs and completing 68%+ of his passes so far this season…so bad…and doing so with junk WRs.
-- D’Andre Swift (8-16-0, 4-33-0/6) is flowing up and down according to game script and hot hand. He’s getting the touches. Some weeks it hits, others it’s a ‘meh’…like most RBs outside the big 5 or so top guys for FF. In PPR, Swift is an RB1 hopeful as we go on catch volume. But not a slam dunk RB1, just a speculative/hopeful one.
-- Just watching T.J. Hockenson (4-42-0/8) here…he’s so overrated. He’s randomly as good as the 6-20 guys fighting for the #6-20 best TEs in FF. He’s never going to be a top 3 Fantasy TE guy with this offense.
-- The Bears added Robert Quinn (5 tackles, 1 sack) in 2020 offseason, and I thought he was nearly done in the NFL after a humdrum 2020. Well…he’s got at least a half a sack in every game this season…4.5 sacks so far. He’s been more productive than Khalil Mack (1 tackles, 1 sack).
Snap Counts of Interest:
41 = Mooney
40 = A Rob
29 = Goodwin
16 = Byrd
62 = Cephus
53 = Raymond
51 = St Brown
20 = Trinity
52 = Swift
21 = Jamaal