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Dynasty-Fantasy Football Analysis – 2017 Wk13: Giants v. Raiders

December 7, 2017 6:16 PM
December 7, 2017 6:11 PM

So, the ‘Bet of the Year’…Oakland -7.5/8.0+…failed. That’s all I could think of when I re-watched this game. I thought we had it…up by 10 points with 2+ minutes left and then the Giants sucky, rookie kicker plants a 52-yarder with 1:38 left to kill me.

This game was 10-7 Oakland entering the 4th-quarter. That’s how bad the Raiders are…facing a discombobulated team with so many injuries you can’t recount them all, and with Geno Smith making his 2017 starting debut – and the Raiders were in danger at HOME until they drove for a TD late and snuck out with a win at HOME. Man, do the Raiders suck. That’s my big note from this game – the Raiders suck.

The Raiders somehow found their way to a 6-6 record…tied for the AFC West lead. Unreal. You assume they’ll lose at KC this week, but The Computer says that’s a toss-up. The Raiders have at KC, DAL, at PHI, at LAC to the finish. No way they finish any better than 8-8. I cannot fathom the Raiders in the playoffs, but a win Week 14 at KC…and I better start fathoming, maybe.

The Giants…what a debacle with the whole Eli Manning thing. I love how every Giants fan thinks and says Eli stinks for the past 2-3+ years, and when they finally bench him – there is a fan revolt because Eli is a prince. It was handled so poorly that the head coach and GM got fired after this game. If the switch back to Eli forces NYG to win a game ahead and thus slides them out of the #2 draft spot…it will set the franchise back in the rebuild because picks #1-2 right now are worth a mint compared to #3. The fans and media are running (into the ground) the Giants franchise.


Fantasy Player Notes…

 -- Welcome back Evan Engram (7-99-1/8)! Arguably his best game of the year. I have Engram in A LOT of leagues…so, yeah…this was good, even though I thought it would be trouble. Lesson learned – Engram is too good to consider benching, even with Geno Smith. He just is.

Some of the plays he pulled off in this game…subtly brilliant because he’s such an incredible athlete. Only Eli returning to starting QB could hurt him…wait, what?


 -- Eli’s return really helps Sterling Shepard (3-56-0/6) – Eli’s go-to. If Shepard is headache free and with Eli back, Shepard has WR1 hopes in PPR.

8.0 rec. (11.0 targets), 106.0 yards, 0.0 TDs per game in his two games as full starter/#1 guy for NYG with Eli.

*Hamstring issues, not headaches, may force Shepard out again…and that would be TERRIBLE news for Evan Engram holders. All the coverage would be focused on Engram…and he hasn’t done well without Shepard there.


 -- On the second series of the game, the Raiders went all-Cordarrelle Patterson (4-97-0/4, 2-1-0)…run-bubble screen-run. He got about 8 yards total because the Giants smelled the setups each time.

Hint: When Patterson occasionally lines up in the backfield he’s run the ball about 95% of the time this season…so, ‘shocker’ the Giants stuffed CP here.

Because those three tries didn’t yield a long TD, the Raiders gave up on Patterson for a while.

Late in the game. Only up 3 points. Oakland ran another bubble screen to Patterson…and he raced through traffic for a 59-yard gem. Shoestring tackled from a TD. Soon after, the Raiders scored a TD and put the game away for the most part. The second week in a row that Patterson made the huge play late to save the game. He saw 4 targets in this game…he should have 10 minimum each week. I’m tired of bringing this up.


 -- However, Oakland did make way for 7 targets to Johnny Holton (3-39-1/7) and 6 targets for Seth Roberts (5-46-0/6). These two guys… Imagine playing WR in the NFL, and before you ran your route you had to spray your hands with WD-40 and then instead of a leather football, the QB threw you a wet bar of soap. That’s what I feel like is happening with Holton and Roberts. Why Oakland keeps pushing them is head-shaking.


 -- I think the Raiders did finally get sick of Jared Cook (1-5-0/5) doing nothing/letting them down. Clive Walford (4-57-0/4) suddenly had his best game of 2017.

I’m not sure where we go from here, but I know I’m not touching Cook in a starting lineup. This was supposed to be a gimme matchup and Cook botched it…the second game in a row.


 -- LB B.J. Goodson (4 tackles, 0.5 TFLs) is back for the Giants and he made a big difference in plugging up the run. Marshawn Lynch popped a 51-yard run up the gut for the first score of this game, otherwise the Raiders ran the ball 28 times for 68 yards (2.4 ypc)…which is making me rethink how hot Alfred Morris should be considered this week.


Snap Counts of Interest…

51 = Holton

46 = Roberts

34 = Patterson


50 = Cook

25 = Walford


22 = Vereen

22 = Darkwa

14 = Gallman


About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>