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Dynasty-Fantasy Football Analysis – 2017 Wk14: Redskins v. Chargers

Date:
December 13, 2017 2:23 PM
December 13, 2017 2:15 PM

This game was kinda over before it started. 13-0 LAC after the 1st-quarter, 23-6 at the half, and 30-6 going into the 4th. The Chargers played inspired and the Redskins looked like they wanted the season to be over right after kickoff.

Washington’s season is essentially over. Now, just playing out the string. They’ll use this stretch to prep for 2018…Cousins trying to get more in-sync with Josh Doctson, and Samaje Perine taking a good amount of touches to see if he’s a #1 back or not.

The Chargers are on fire and have everything to play for. I think the Chargers have now moved into ‘overrated’ territory with a four-game win streak against wounded and/or bad teams. However, they are filled with confidence so you can literally see the bounce in their step on the field. They don’t know they’re overrated right now.

It won’t be easy, but the Chargers should beat KC and then go on to win out…a 10-6 finish and an improbable AFC West after a 0-4 start to the season. Lose to KC and the renewed confidence may crash down and get them bounced from the wild card in the end.

 

Fantasy Player Notes…

 -- I watched all of Samaje Perine’s (17-45-0, 4-7-0/4) touches back and he was fine -- it’s just the Chargers came to play and Washington was mailing it in.

This disinterested Washington team scares me on getting too excited about Perine ahead, but he is getting good touch counts – 24, 27, 15, 21 touches (rushes + receptions) in his last 4 games.

He’ll see 20+ touches again this week, we just have to hope he gets near the goal line for a plunge.

FYI, Kapri Bibbs and LeShun Daniels are nothing to worry about.

 

 -- Should you play the Chargers DST this week? They’re on such a roll…and KC has been wobbly…?

I think the Chargers talent/momentum + KC’s recent struggles puts LAC as ‘an option’ this week but just note – the Chiefs are #1 in the NFL at NOT turning the ball over. You need turnovers to create D-TD opportunities, and KC just doesn’t open that window much…never have with Alex Smith. KC is still #6 in the league in scoring/PPG. It’s not a ‘choice’ matchup.

There are a lot of indicators that say LAC will be a ‘meh’ DST start for Week 15.

Note on a rising defender for LAC – rookie Desmond King (10 tackles, 1 sacks, 1.5 TFLs) is playing as impressively as any rookie from the 2017 class.

6.7 tackles the past 3 games. He’s a solid kick returner. He had a 90-yard INT TD on Thanksgiving versus Dallas. He’s really playing well and has become a starter.

What is really impressive is his tackling skills…he’s an aggressive and sound tackler. In this game, he caught Samaje Perine off a little dump pass out all alone, and halted Perine’s momentum before it could really get going and picked him up and forced him backward. Perine is like a small tank rolling down the field, he’s a brick wall…and this DB comes in and halts his progress, then picks him up and pulls him backward. Wildly impressed.

 

 -- On the other hand, the Redskins DST may be a bit of a sleeper for Week 15…facing Arizona. The Cardinals just lost two more OLs, plus they start Blaine Gabbert as it is. The Cards have no blocking and no running game, and a below-average QB throwing.

The Redskins got beat here, but they’re not a bad defense. They’ve looked like a top 10 defense back when they were healthy and in the playoff scene several weeks ago. They might rise back up against a wounded Cardinals team this week.

Just note – Washington’s top ILB will miss this game, Zach Brown (10 tackles)…and that won't help their Week 15 cause. Martell Spraight becomes a sleeper in IDP-land this week.

 

 -- Once again, Tyrell Williams (4-132-1/4) shows he’s a dominant force as a WR…a true weapon…a sweet 75-yard TD catch and run here. All that gets him is 4 targets for the game. UDFA players get mostly screwed by the media and thus their own teams that buy into the media B.S.

 

Snap Counts of Interest…

42 = H Henry

30 = Jeff Cumberland

19 = Gates

 

18 = Ekeler

05 = Jatavis Brown

47 = Quinton Dunbar

 

40 = Perine

10 = LeShun Daniels

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

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