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Dynasty-Fantasy Football Analysis – 2017 Wk5: Cardinals v. Eagles

Date:
October 11, 2017 8:06 PM
October 11, 2017 8:05 PM

This was a fast drubbing/execution of the Arizona Cardinals. 14-0 Philly right away. 21-0 before you knew it. 21-7 at the half. 31-7 going into the fourth quarter. I'm not sure any team is more poorly game planned on defense entering a contest than the Arizona Cardinals.

Here's the Cardinals defense in a nutshell…

The very first drive, Philly gets it down to the 15-yard line of Arizona. We all know Patrick Peterson is the greatest, right? Of all the Philly WRs, who do you think PP was covering FROM 15 YARDS AWAY? 'Best' Philly WR Alshon Jeffrey…the guy they've thrown to in the end zone a couple times this year? Of course, not. Maybe hedging on Zach Ertz? Nope. Faked out by all the Nelson Agholor talk? No, sir. Peterson thought it best, FROM 15 YARDS AWAY, to cover that notorious red zone threat…Torrey Smith.

Smith lined up way outside and sliced to the middle, because how many Torrey TDs have we seen him catching passes over the middle, amiright? Peterson follows like an idiot…and that clears out and leaves a vacated area for Trey Burton to run free to the end zone for an easy TD pass/catch. You want to cover Torrey on 3rd and 20 from midfield…OK, I get it. You don’t put your best guy on Torrey in the red zone.

The dumbest team in this game lost 34-7…but, hey, help is on the way – Adrian Peterson!!!

Philly has beaten NYG-LAC-ARI the past three weeks. Who are the Eagles sleeping with to get this schedule?

If the Eagles lose at Carolina Week 6, they fall to 4-2. I think they then lose to Washington Week 7 and then they got problems. They win v. SF Week 8 to get to 5-3…then lose their next two to DEN-BYE-DAL to fall to 5-5. They'd need to then win four of their final to get to 9-7. They have at Seattle, at Rams and Dallas among those games. I still think Philly is 8-8 but they are 9-7+ if the best Washington Week 7…and Josh Norman should be back for that game.

 

Fantasy Player Notes…

 -- I was pretty hot-to-trot for Andre Ellington (9-65-0/10) this week/season until the Adrian Peterson trade. In the past three weeks, Ellington has averaged 7.7 catches for 70.0 yards and 0.0 TDs on 10.7 targets per game. He's seeing a TON of action in the passing game…simple check downs as Arizona is constantly behind/can’t run/throwing the ball.

I still like Ellington for that action ahead but tempered a little because I know Arians is going to roll back time and force AP on the world like Ben McAdoo 'can't quit' Paul Perkins. Some of Ellington's snaps just went bye-bye with this trade.

I'm not an AP fan, but I'm guessing Arians thinks he's better than David Johnson, so buckle up for about 2-3-4 games of AP crashing into brick walls.

 

 -- Carson Wentz (21-30 for 34 yards, 4 TD/1 INT) is definitely the future of the NFL…according to everyone in football analysis who are always wrong about every QB scouting at almost every turn. That alone should worry you that Wentz is 'for real' – the people bragging how great he is.

I still don’t see greatness with Wentz. I see 'OK-ness'. I see a big hitch in the delivery and poor medium passing skills. Does a good job with screens, slants, and scrambling deep throws on broken coverage. He is good/fine. I just don’t think he's what Colin Cowherd proclaimed – 'next Aaron Rodgers'. Not even close, Colin. But I still love ya'.

 

 -- Some additional turbulence ahead for Alshon Jeffrey (3-31-0/4), schedule-based issues...

Week 6: at Carolina…the #5 pass defense by yards allowed in the league

Week 7: Washington…if Norman is back then Jeffrey is done.

Week 8: San Fran…a good matchup but the 49ers aren’t as bad on defense as people think.

Week 9: Denver…need I say more?

Week 10: BYE

 

Not a lot of great matchups in there.

It's different teams in this span, but Jeffrey has just 4 TDs in his last 17 games. He hasn’t had over 100+ yards receiving in 16 games. He's been under 60 yards receiving four of 5 games this season.

 

 -- If I owned an NFL team, I'd rather have Jaron Brown (3-39-0/6) than Alshon Jeffrey. I don’t know that it's not the better fantasy play either. We all got jacked up by Jaron finally producing, so many started him last week…and got little. Now, we're going to punish him.

Season-to-date…

20 rec., 246 yards, 2 TDs (38 targets) = Jeffrey

17 rec., 224 yards, 1 TDs (35 targets) = Jaron B. (and this is with him basically not playing in Week 1)

 

But Jeffrey is an auto start and Jaron is getting cut…OK?

Looking at the past 4 weeks, Jaron has been better.

Looking at them work on the field…I like Jaron.

The problem is Jaron has a lot of FF-gnats around him now…John Brown and JJ Nelson.

 

 -- I thought Corey Clement (7-17-0, 1-22-0/1) would matter in this game with Wendell Smallwood down. But, Doug Peterson remained true to his plan…a full RBBC. Before you knew it – Kenjon Barner (4-23-0) was looking good taking touches and in the return game. The Eagles will always share touches without repeating patterns…be very wary of any of the RBs week-to-week.

 

 -- Not helping the Arizona defense – Deone Bucannon (6 tackles) looks rusty/not 100% and rookie Haason Reddick (2 tackles) is having virtually no impact…a high draft pick doing nothing.

I don’t write off Reddick yet because this is BAD coaching by BAD coaches. The 2018 head coach could turn him around. Not likely, if the GM is still calling the shots…he'll hire a disaster.

Welcome new Cardinals coach Chuck Pagano in 2018.

 

Snap Counts of Interest…

26 = Blount

23 = Clement

17 = Barner

 

57 = Fitzgerald

48 = John Brown

36 = Jaron Brown

32 = J.J. Nelson

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

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