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2018 Blazing Five (Week 15)

Date:
December 15, 2018

2018 Blazing Five (Week 15)

3-2 in B5 last week…running out of weeks to at least get back to .500 for a moral victory. For the first time in weeks, I love these picks this week (certain doom). I love them…except I’m a tad worried about the Carolina play but The Computer wants it, so we’ll go there.

I need a 4-1 week to get into position for a winning B5 season. A nice 5-0 would work…

In reality, I’m betting MIN -7.0 heavy, and taking small positions in IND and TEN. I might play CLE for fun tonight because I want ‘it’ to happen.  

Blazing Five Records After Week 14:

36-27-2 = Skolman

35-26-4 = Savage

34-29-2= Cowherd

33-29-3 = Katz

30-31-2 = Rabbitt

29-33-3 = RC

*13-12-0 when 3 or more of our group agrees on a B5 pick.

RC:

MIA at MIN (-7.5)

The Computer says: MIN by 20.7 (Point Spread Differential = 13.2)

I loved this bet more at -7.0, where I got it for real…but 7.5 will do here. Xavien Howard all but out. The Dolphins should’ve lost by 20+ last week. Minnesota is better than what they showed MNF, and I’m not a big Vikings guy. This set up is

DAL at IND (-3.0)

The Computer says: IND by 13.0 (Point Spread Differential = 10.0)

All the internal numbers favor the Colts + at home. I am starting to like this one a lot. I will be it some but most of money for the week went on Minny.

TEN at NYG (-1.0)

The Computer says: TEN by 5.7 (Point Spread Differential = 4.7)

This line is falling. I’d put some lunch money here for fun. The Giants big deal is beating up on Mark Sanchez…that won’t happen here.

PHI at LAR (-12.5)

The Computer says: LAR by 17.8 (Point Spread Differential = 5.3)

I love Nick Foles and all, but this is not the way or right time for any of this. Unplanned starter, no real work with the 1st-team guys in probably weeks/months. The Eagles in a nose dive and the Rams ready kill somebody…an Eagles team with a depleted secondary. A good chance the Rams run it up here.

NO (-6.0) at CAR

The Computer says: NO by 0.1 (Point Spread Differential = 5.9)

The Computer has like Carolina all week…MNF game and the Panthers’ last stand for the playoffs. Outdoor game, albeit decent weather, for the Saints is typically not their best atmosphere for offense.

=============================

Savage/All Picks:

KC

NYJ

DEN

MIN

OAK

TB

DAL

BUF

GB

NYG

JAX

ATL

SEA

NE

LAR

CAR

Savage/B5

GB

NYG

DEN

MIN

NE

===========================

SKOL:

CLE +2.5...It scares me that CLE is a public underdog but @ Den in Dec isn’t the challenge it is early in the year.  I really feel like CLE will win this game so I’ll take less points than we could have had earlier in the week.

MIN -7.5...During the MNF game (where I successfully bet against my beloved Vikings) I was overcome by a feeling...the Vikings are going to finish the season 3-0 ATS.  I wish this didn’t tick from 7 to 7.5...but the reality is it would need to move to 17.5 to threaten our cover.  (According to my vision)

IND -3...D.Prescott has a little Trubisky in him...when their teams are in total control of the game they can’t fight the feeling to launch a pass that hits the other team between the numbers.  I’ll take Andrew Luck at home against that.  Also the Cowboys have not been dynamite on the road.  

BUF -2.5...Tough road trip for the Lions crossing the country in back to back weeks...wasn’t kind to the Vikings or Packers so I’ll take the Bulls to find a way to get the job done vs Patricia and friends.

ATL  -9.5...The Falcons schedule has been pretty brutal lately...this is a cupcake at home and I think the line is telling us what a HR spot this is.  Defense is as healthy as it’s been all year...

=============================

COLIN:

CLE

OAK

IND

TEN

LAR

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>