2020 Week 14: Three Things from Sunday Games + Top 5’s Waivers/Buy-Sell/Sleepers/DST/IDPs
It looks mostly positive for FFMers who had playoff games this week. Looks like a 57-60%+ win rate across all platforms (good-not-great). Still have some accounts to settle with the BAL-CLE game tonight…(in general) Justin Tucker having a plus game and Jarvis Landry struggling and Nick Chubb being held in check would push the FFM universe past 60%+ win-rate.
Patrick Mahomes didn’t have his biggest FF game output, so that kept the projected winning from getting near 70%+ range. But Mahomes did enough to carry/not hurt most FFMers (Mahomes is the top QB owned by the FFM universe across all league types).
Deebo Samuel getting hurt one play in was a killer for some (what can you do?), but Diontae Johnson getting benched (I warned Sunday morning that’s why we had him lower than normal in projections) for most of the Sunday Night Game was the real killer to winning upside for the week. Tyreek Hill did his best to offset that some.
We got some solid numbers from Seattle-DST, Washington-DST, Rams-DST and no eggs from kickers to help fill in some margins. The Seattle-DST call a month+ ahead FF society noticing the schedule ahead was done for just a time as this – and it gained some playoff wins this very week.
It was a strange week of results – one where the #2-5 FF QB scorers for the week were Tua-Carr-Lock-Trubisky. They all beat Mahomes and Wilson, among others.
The good news is more of you are moving on than not, it appears. And a nice number of you had a cool, relaxing bye week this week…so none of this fazes you. Time to get back to work this week!
It’s a normal week (Week 15) for FFM work this week (normal reports, Video Q&As, projections etc.), but don’t forget there are two Saturday games this week…that’s a different wrinkle.
The following week (Week 16), everything gets flipped upside down…Christmas week – there’s no Thursday game – but there is a Friday/Christmas night game. And there’s THREE Saturday games. The FFM schedule will change up for all these wrinkles. I will post the changes to Video Q&A, etc., to start our Christmas week on that Monday. It’s title week for most leagues, so I’ll be working it all week!
It’s a battle for survival every week now…the fantasy playoffs. All is fair in love and war.
Congrats to those moving on.
Those whose 2020 FF journeys ended this week – my condolences. As Sunday unfolded, you probably feel like this guy…thought he was doing good, at first, but then it all went horribly wrong: https://youtu.be/WcEylCwkSxE
Hey, there’s always next year…and daily fantasy next week, and straight up betting on game all through the playoffs – the football profiteering never ends!
-- THREE THINGS ON EACH SUNDAY GAME (thoughts subject to change as I rewatch games all week) --
-- Mike Gesicki (5-65-2/6) went down late in this game…and he might be out for a week or the ROS (all unknown as I type). Durham Smythe (2-19-0/3) already plays a lot of snaps, so he’d benefit some…but don’t rule out Adam Shaheen (2-26-0/3), who is more Gesicki-like.
-- Miami also lost DeVante Parker and Jakeem Grant to injury in this game…so Lynn Bowden (7-82-0/9) and Mack Hollins (5-66-0/9) benefitted in snaps in their absence. Not sure if Parker or Grant are out for Week 15 or longer at this point. Bowden the likely PPR winner but facing New England next week…there is no winner among the WRs.
-- This should have been a game where Clyde Edwards-Helaire (16-32-0, 5-59-0/6)…with Miami missing two starting linebackers and with such good corners, the underneath passing game and run game should’ve been used – and CEH delivered just 2.0 yards per carry and was mostly irrelevant. Not good…a continuation of disappointment for CEH pretty much all season.
-- Gio Bernard (3-8-0, 3-15-0/3) fumbled on the first drive and was punished for it for the rest of the half, which is very odd for the Bengals to discipline a veteran/leader like that…especially the long-time Bengal, well-respected Gio. My guess is they planned to work Trayveon Williams (12-49-0, 3-14-0/3) more this week anyway, as they should. What do they need to see more of Gio for?
For Week 15…no clue what to make of their backfield. Best to just avoid, but Trayveon Williams could be a deep sleeper early in the week to find out he’s named starter on Friday/Saturday.
-- Gio barely played and almost scored more FF points than Ezekiel Elliott (12-48-0, 2-11-0/3). Tony Pollard (11-39-0, 29-1/2) keeps creeping up in the touches. Dallas didn’t need Zeke today; this was over fast…so that might have been part of it.
-- Brandon Allen (27-36 for 217 yards, 2 TDs/0 INT) played solid enough…but got banged up 2nd-half of the game. It could be Ryan Finley vs. the Steelers which is amazing for the Pittsburgh-DST and destroys all the WRs on the Bengals for fantasy (worse than just the PIT D will do anyway).
-- If Gardner Minshew (18-31 for 178 yards, 1 TD/0 INT) gets his job back, it brings D.J. Chark (2-16-0/9) back into the spotlight…but facing the Ravens next week means you’re not using Chark (or anyone else on the Jags WR group) next week anyway.
-- Jonnu Smith (1-3-0, 2-20-0/2) returned to action and was lightly used, again. It’s so over with him for FF right now. Anthony Firkser (1-5-0/1) is not the answer either.
-- D’Onta Foreman and Darrynton Evans were inactive this game…maybe Jeremy McNichols (11-9-0, 1-0-0/1) is the better handcuff for Derrick Henry owners. I still say if Henry went down, they’d go Foreman-McNichols with some Evans. McNichols as a 3rd-down/PPR back and Foreman as the hammer.
None of them are close to what Henry would do in games…not even all 3 of them added together would be.
-- Many will complain about Kyler Murray’s (24-35 for 244 yards, 1 TD/0 INT, 13-47-0) last 2-3 fantasy events/weeks, but we have to consider he’s faced three of the best defense in the NFL right in a row…not like three ‘good’, three ‘top’ ones – NE, LAR, NYG.
In all three games, I thought he played well…made a few surreal throws. Looked mostly comfortable. Missed more FF scoring by inches on several ‘just short’ pass plays that then led to 1-yard Kenyan Drake TD runs. I think he’s fine…and the schedule loosens a bit but is not great v. PHI and then v. SF, but both at home helps.
-- None of the Arizona WRs are reliable for FF except DeAndre Hopkins (9-136-0/11). Christian Kirk (3-14-0/4) has disappeared, and Andy Isabella drew an inactive, essentially ending his career in Arizona…just not sure what’s next – a constant backup for the next two years, or traded this offseason. Likely buried for two more years.
-- Daniel Jones (11-21 fort 127 yards, 0 TDs/0 INT) returned and brought all the NYG receivers down with him. Three issues…
1) If Jones isn’t running then defenses will tee off on him…like this game.
2) Jones is terrible, in general…another scouting fraud from our NFL overlords.
3) The Arizona defense, as I have been pushing hard – they are really good, like top 10 good. They just get lost in playing tougher/better offenses. When they draw a weak offense – they’ve pretty much wrecked it. And they did here.
Next two weeks hosting PHI-SF are neutral matchups…no juicy or awful, somewhere in-between.
-- If Randall Cobb is done for the year, and it looks like it, then Keke Coutee (3-24-1/3) matters the rest of the season.
If Brandin Cooks is going to go on IR (as he should) then Chad Hansen (7-56-0/7) is going to start and going to be a PPR WR3…he’s been elevated/activated/played the last two games to the tune of 6.0 rec. (8.0 targets) and 78.5 yards per game average.
-- I know everyone just KNOWS Mitch Trubisky (24-33 for 267 yards, 3 TDs/0 INT) is terrible/irredeemable but FYI…six starts this season and 13 TDs passes…2.2 per game – that’s top 5 in the league type of pace for TD passes.
He also now has a better record as a starter than DeShaun Watson in their NFL careers, I’m just saying…
Mitch faces MIN and JAX the next two weeks. Wanna bet he keeps his 2+ TD pass per game trend alive?
-- Cole Kmet (4-41-0/7) had his second game in a row with 7 targets…4.5 rec., 49.0 yards, 0.5 TDs per game the last two games average as the new/full starter.
-- One of my fears among the FF DSTs this week…that the Panthers-DST would be semi-mailing it in/prepping for 2021 (nothing to play for 2020 now). Drew Lock (21-27 for 280 yards, 4 TDs/0 INT) putting up those numbers – something is wrong/over on a Panthers defense that as been pretty good the last few weeks. Some hope with them for Week 16 at WSH if facing Dwayne Haskins, maybe (and certainly not useful Week 15 at GB).
-- Curtis Samuel (7-68-0/9, 2-22-0) really played a nice game, again, with decent FF numbers…despite barely touching the ball the 1st-half. Samuel had 2-3 TD shots in this game but didn’t cash in on any of them. It was a good week, it was nearly a great week…it started as a nothing/zero the 1st-half…it was all 2nd-half work.
-- Carolina is now (4-9)…why they would rush Christian McCaffrey back, I don’t understand – but they’re probably going to try again Week 15 at GB. I suspect he would not play a full workload now that Carolina is out of any hope for the playoffs.
-- Irv Smith (4-63-1/4) got himself active for this game, after missing three of his last 4 weeks. He scored a TD, giving him 3 TDs his last 3 games played – a nice uptick but the volume is just not there to get too excited…4-2-4 for targets in his last 3 games.
If Kyle Rudolph misses Week 15, Irv is a sleeper TE1 candidate.
-- Ronald Jones (18-80-1, 1-4-0/1) helped Bruce Arians hide the ‘Tom Brady problem’ this game, as Arians eluded to all week. Not only did RoJo lead the way…Leonard Fournette was inactive. A healthy scratch, I believe. As Jason Katz says…his (LF’s) career is over. I think it’s on life support, myself.
-- I think we’ve officially crossed over from ‘Wow, look at all those Tampa WR options!’ to…I don’t know or care about any of them now…too hard to tell what Brady we get each week and who he ordains with targets. I’m slashing projections on their WRs (and Gronk) across the board.
-- Jonathan Taylor (20-150-2, 2-15-0/2) made his case for being the top rookie RB over Clyde Edwards-Helaire…or Swift-Dobbins-Akers (among others) with his performances the last few weeks. Not as dominant an RB as I thought I’d see (to my scouting eye), but definitely/debatably the best of the rookie RB bunch for sure.
-- It was the third 10 or more tackle game in his last 5 games for LV SAF Jonathan Abram (14 tackles)…and 9.0 total tackles per game in that span.
-- After going the first 9 games of the season without a TD, T.Y. Hilton (5-86-2/7) has scored at least 1 TD in his last 3 games and 4 TDs in those three games.
-- This game was a joke from the word ‘go’…not much you can learn from something like this. You may have learned that Geno Smith (4-5 for 33 yards, 0 TD/0 INT) was still in the league. The Jets have the Rams-Browns-Patriots to finish…all those teams will be top DST options against NYJ and great starts for their top offensive options.
-- The Jets backfield went into a rotation, led by Josh Adams (6-27-0, 2-3-0/2)…but I’m not sure, until I watch the replay (can’t wait…), if it was the game out of hand or a ‘plan’ to get the youngsters reps. Regardless…the Jets are awful and LaMichal Perine will return (he can, at least) Week 15 and be the lead…I’m sure. And it does not matter.
-- Hey, Will Dissly (2-23-1/2) DID get a TD this week…I double checked (erroneously reported he did last week). Also, in Seattle TE news…rookie Colby Parkinson got his first two NFL catches…still just a bit player for now.
-- Only Anthony Lynn can possess/watch the NFL’s greatest rookie deep ball thrower in history…and the moment Austin Ekeler (15-79-0, 9-67-0/9) returns, turns Herbert into a screen pass QB.
Anthony Lynn fired at season ‘s end = Hebert a top 3 QB for fantasy 2021+
Anthony Lynn retained for 2021 = Ekeler a top 3 PPR RB for fantasy 2021, and Herbert hopefully a top 5-7 FF QB.
-- Ito Smith (11-42-0, 1-3-0/1) once again led the ATL backfield, and once again Todd Gurley (6-19-0, 2-12-0/3) looked useless/miserable. Why they put Gurley at risk for nothing into these games is malpractice on so many levels. I think it is possible the Falcons put Gurley on IR this week and end his season and Falcons career.
-- Mike Williams went down and out early, and Tyron Johnson (6-55-1/7) stepped up in his place and his best game of 2020. If Williams is out, Johnson will be discussed as a viable FF WR option Week 15 v. LV on TNF.
-- I’m a Jalen Hurts (17-30 for 167 yards, 1 TD/0 INT, 18-106-0) fan, as a scout…but I didn’t expect THIS. I didn’t expect him to be so in command given the Eagles’ terrible O-Line (injuries) and the Saints hot defense. The fact that Hurts overcame them both in his starting debut…he’s the franchise for the next decade. Start the Carson Wentz trade projection articles in full gear now.
-- I also didn’t expect Miles Sanders (14-115-2, 4-21-0/5) to be a beneficiary so fast. But he had his one big run (and garbage otherwise) and Hurts threw him the ball a good amount, which I didn’t see happening yet. I’m still skeptical, but Hurts can unlock things…he’s very good at the style he plays.
-- Taysom Hill learned how to throw to Alvin Kamara (11-50-1, 7-44-0/10) for the first time as Saints starting QB. It gives AK owners comfort going into Week 15…where Hill is probably starting again.
-- I guess that was D’Andre Swift (7-24-1, 4-26-0/5) back to normal, back as lead RB? OK numbers, but not great…but they don’t look like a lead RB’s numbers – but the Lions only ran the ball 15 times all game, Swift took about half those carries. Game flow may have mattered more than any Swift dial back theories.
-- Four games in a row with a TD for Robert Tonyan (5-36-1/5)…now 9 TDs on the season. He wasn’t even expected to start for GB for most analysts…he was never even supposed to matter in the NFL. How long did we (FFMC/CFM) pine for this? So glad the Packers went with Tonyan over Jace Sternberger. Tonyan is suddenly a top 5 FF TE projection next week and maybe next year – if/when connected to Rodgers. Part of that is because of the weak group of TEs after Kelce-Waller. There’s 10-20 TEs in the discussion for the #3 fantasy TE spot right now.
-- Allen Lazard (2-19-0/3) has lost all momentum for now. He’s not ‘done’ as a player but is done for consideration to be a top 40 WR projection next week…or ROS right now. Not even sure what to think into 2021.
-- Depending upon Alex Smith’s (8-19 for 57 yards, 0 TD/1 INT) injury, we might see Dwayne Haskins next week…or for ‘weeks’. If so, stock WAY up for the Seattle-DST next week.
-- If Haskins in, stock way down for J.D. McKissic (11-68-0, 2-18-0/4)…Haskins is hard-pressed to complete simple passes to him. Also, McLaurin and all the Sims’ (including the video games) are crushed if Haskins is at QB.
-- The 49ers-DST was as good as I predicted…they didn’t give up an offensive TD in this game. Also, 2 sacks and a pick. Wasn’t bad, but the 49ers’ offense killed them…and the Washington-DST is coming into its own – but facing Seattle next week is a tall order but is actually a decent matchup because the Seattle O-Line is so weak.
-- What I feared/discussed on the Sunday morning Video Q&A came to pass almost exactly as I theorized…if worried that Mike Tomlin had painted himself into a corner with tough talk on the drops…and if Diontae Johnson (4-40-0/7) dropped a pass (especially his first target) on the first series or two, that there would be a benching…especially if he dropped two. It’s exactly what happened. Diontae dropped two easy targets early and he was gone for a good chunk of the game – costing some their FF-playoff game.
Tomlin’s proclamation during the week, the weather, the Bills defense…it was a perfect S-storm that came to pass. Now, there’s risk in this for Diontae next week as well.
-- Chase Claypool (3-15-0/6) replaced Diontae but wasn’t a factor…because no one was really a factor because the Buffalo defense shut down the inferior Steelers. The Steelers need to rethink everything about their team fast. They won’t. Tomlin is too arrogant and now he’s getting bit by it.
Claypool should be starting, but Tomlin has him rotating for some reason. Claypool won’t matter until 2021 now…where he will be the team’s #1 WR. But next week…he won’t be more than a WR3 unless Tomlin announces a Diontae benching and Claypool starting (won’t happen).
-- I tried to tell you the Bills were one of the three top/elite teams in the NFL. And that their defense was rising to new heights several weeks ago. I didn’t have the guts to start the Bills-DST vs. the Steelers because I also had better options – but this DST is going to be aces the next two weeks…at DEN, at NE.
Buffalo (and the Rams) are better than the Chiefs. Put that in your pipe and smoke it…consider it as we go. If I’m right…there’s more wagering profit to be had. We started profiting with it this week…hitting both the BUF and LAR bets.
Buffalo is like 15-20 to 1 to win the Super Bowl…or was in odds last week. That number drops a touch after this week, I’m sure…but probably not enough, because no one thinks they’ll get past KC. Might be true, but I think Buffalo is built to beat them.
===== FIVE PLAYERS… =====
**NOTE: Tuesday Night Waiver Madness Video Q&A 8:00-9:30pmET, where we will go over more of all these things (below) every Tuesday night**
FIVE WAIVER PLAYERS TO TRUST…
*Looking at players owned less than 50% on average in leagues across the whole FF-landscape. Your league, obviously, may be different/deeper.
**Adding a school grade to show my interest level (A-F)…and I don’t mean that a D-F grade is ‘bad’/just showing how pressing/important to me.
***FAAB % mentioned at any time below is based on a 17-20 man roster league. And it’s hard to predict the right bid % because every league, situation, lineup needs are so different. So, doing the best I can to ‘project’ (i.e. ‘guess’) what they will be based on early chatter.
1) QB Jalen Hurts (Grade B-B+) *Again, note…not a grade on talent…just how important/urgent/great the waiver move is in context.
Well, that was a debut! Not a hint of nervousness or flinching at the stellar Saints defense…pulling off a huge upset win. He might just lead the Eagles to the division title now.
He’s a threat to rushing for 100 yards every week. His numbers will be a bit like Lamar Jackson’s except Hurts isn’t one to hog all the rushing TDs when they get close (which is not good for FF). Hurts is a better/as good Taysom Hill…which means a week-to-week QB1 potential in 4pts per pass TD leagues.
2) WR Keke Coutee, HOU (B)
The #1 WR for the Texans Week 14 with Fuller-Cobb-Cooks out. We’re going to find out Cobb is done for the year soon. We also might find out that Cooks is calling it a season – that guy doesn’t need another headshot in a lost season. Best to sit it out. If all that is true, Coutee is Watson’s #1 most comfortable throw…but he will also draw the top cover corner. Week 15 v. IND might be shaky, but Week 16 vs. Cincy could be a title winner helper.
3) QB Philip Rivers, IND (B-)
Just for a Week 15 play if you need your QB to try and go toe-to-toe with the big boy fantasy QBs and your current big boy QB has a bad matchup for this FF playoff game and you want to get cute with Rivers v. the worst secondary in the NFL. Mitch Trubisky just rolled them in about a half of play.
4) RB Ito Smith, ATL (C-D)
Just a pure bet, like I talked about last week, on Atlanta just putting Gurley on IR…doing the right thing. It’s animal cruelty (he’s a Falcon, I can say it) to leave him out there in a diminished capacity. And to what point? He’s a free agent/gone in a few weeks anyway. Give the other guys a shot!
The guy they’ve been giving the shot to is Ito the past few weeks.
5) RB LaMichal Perine, NYJ (D)
A pure bet that he (a) gets activated for Week 15 (might not find out until Friday/the Weekend) and (b) gets pushed back as the lead back taking a 70%+ touch share as he was supposed to before he got hurt.
The risk is…he isn’t very good, nor is the Jets offense. But…if you need a warm body lead back for cheap…
6) WR Chad Hansen, HOU (D-)
IF Brandin Cooks goes on IR, Hansen will be the #2 here…sometimes #1-ish for PPR.
Hansen has been working very well with Deshaun in his two games being added to the main roster (6.0 rec., 78.5 yards, 0.5 TDs per game the past two games. Week 15 v. IND is OK. Week 16 v. CIN might be a shock for PPR.
7) PK Ka’imi Fairbairn, HOU or Michael Badgley, LAC (F+)
Just noting, as kickers start having bad schedule games (in wintery/cold conditions) you like good kickers kicking in perfect environments.
Fairbairn is kicking in a dome vs. IND, vs. CIN the next two weeks at home.
Badgley has two dome games ahead as well…at LV, v. DEN.
FIVE WAIVER PLAYERS TO DISTRUST…
1) QB Drew Lock, DEN
I don’t care that he threw for 4 TDs and no picks. I don’t care that analysts will talk about ‘maybe he’s figuring it out’. He’s not. You cannot use him vs. Denver Week 15, nor LAC Week 16.
2) QB Tua Tagovailoa, MIA
Maybe you should get him, because no QB is luckier than Tua…he floats so many passes into danger with his limp/weak arm (weakest in the NFL) but some have landed and many that should’ve been picked were dropped. He’s a four-leaf clover right now, BUT I believe it’s going to catch up to him…it has to. I’m not touching him. I don’t buy this at all. And now Mike Gesicki might be gone…the one guy catching the balloon balls. No thanks.
3) WR Danny Amendola, DET
Every time he has one good game and some DET WR is hurt, everything thinks it’s Amendola time to be a sneaky FF option – it never/rarely is. I’m not buying into this ever again.
4) WR Lynn Bowden, MIA
Good catch/target count Week 14, but he doesn’t look like any type of impact player AND if all the Miami WRs are hurt, Bowden will get better CBs on him that he’s not ready for. I’ll pass. I would rather take a chance on Chad Hansen.
5) Just four stood out this week…
FIVE BUY LOW PLAYERS…
*NOT ‘Buy at any price’…it’s Buy LOW. Try to find a deal. If none to be had, walk away. It’s also NOT…go immediately ask the owner ‘What do you want for ____’, don’t telegraph your desires.*
*NO ‘BUY LOW’ THIS WEEK*
Most all trade deadlines are done. We’ll be talking about Dynasty players to trade for/away in the game reports, as needed…and we really start looking at trade scenarios in the Dynasty Offseason with FFM.
FIVE SELL HIGH PLAYERS…
*NOT ‘Sell at any price’…it’s sell HIGH/sell ‘good’. Try to find someone in love with your player or values thrown into a multiplayer deal. If no one respects the player/buys right…then walk away.*
*NO ‘SELL HIGH’ THIS WEEK*
Most all trade deadlines are done. We’ll be talking about Dynasty players to trade for/away in the game reports, as needed…and we really start looking at trade scenarios in the Dynasty Offseason with FFM.
FIVE DEEP SLEEPER WAIVER PICKUPS…
*Total flyer/lowly owned or not-owned players
1) RB Trayveon Williams, CIN
Led the Bengals in carries Week 14. It will be dismissed as Gio Bernard fumbling to cause the blip…but I’m wondering if it wasn’t a plan for this game – to see what they had in Trayveon, finally. He’s got some talent. I want to see what he can do…Cincy might want to as well. They may not announce it until later in the week…or maybe he gets Week 16 as his full shot with Week 15 in a split. Or maybe it is nothing…
2) TE Cole Kmet, CHI
I could name a few TE hopefuls here like Irv Smith or Will Dissly, but I put Kmet here because he’s suddenly seeing more targets and their schedule is sweet…at MIN, at JAX – good matchups with good weather conditions.
3) WR Tyron Johnson, LAC
IF Mike Williams is down, Tyron will be the #2 WR with the great Justin Herbert facing at LV and DEN…two good matchups, both in a dome.
4) RB Jaylen Samuels, PIT
Like I said last week…he feels like he’s moved into the #2 role, a heartbeat away from being the lead. He’s also seeing more PPR work in general.
5) TE Adam Shaheen, MIA
Shaheen is my projection to take on the Mike Gesicki role IF Gesicki is seriously hurt/out. Tua prefers to float passes to the really tall TE…that could be Shaheen next week.
-- FIVE…IT’S OK TO QUIT THEM PLAYERS (for REDRAFT) --
1) RB Leonard Fournette, TB
Was a healthy inactive Week 14, as far as we could tell. Even if he was sick…he is still a nobody for FF, even if RoJo goes down.
2) RB Josh Kelley, LAC
As soon as Justin Jackson came back Week 14…he got time. So did Ballage. Kelley was inactive. It is OVER for 2020.
3) RB Boston Scott, PHI
No need for his style with Jalen Hurts. The Darren Sproles role is not needed with Hurts.
4) TE Trey Burton, IND
No catches, no targets Week 14. The Colts TE group has been a revolving door with no one really mattering the past few weeks. The Burton recent (a few weeks ago) hot streak is ice cold.
5) RB Bennie Snell, PIT
You have James Conner, and you want the handcuff just in case? Go get Jaylen Samuels.
-- STREAMING DSTs OFF WAIVER(?) OPTIONS --
*Not a lot of great options out there now…everything has been claimed for the weeks ahead, by either us or others.
1) Football Team-DST
Put on a show vs. SF. Everyone loves their D-Line, but do they love them enough to play them vs. Seattle Week 15? Maybe a hold to get to Week 16 v. Carolina.
Week 15 = v. SEA
Week 16 = v. CAR
This defense is sneaky decent/good, they’ve just played some good offenses of late to hide it. More proof of my claims on them the past few weeks – see the whooping they put on NYG Week 14.
I loved the PHI matchup with Wentz, but that’s been taken away…it’s now a question mark – and the 49ers matchup might be OK/good, if Jimmy G. and Kittle are not back/healthy. It’s a really good defense with ‘maybe’ OK matchups ahead.
Week 15 = PHI (up in the air if Hurts)
Week 16 = SF (could be OK especially if SF out of the playoffs fully)
You know I think the Giants have a top 5 NFL defense. That might be useful vs. Cleveland Week 15, especially if in suboptimal weather. The Ravens offense isn’t great either…might be useful there too.
Not great matchups, but possibly plausible on how good NYG is on defense.
Week 15 = v. CLE
Week 16 = at BAL
A very shaky defense, very-very shaky -- BUT the Texans have Week 16 v. CIN…and that’s something…maybe.
Week 15 = at IND
Week 16 = v. CIN
I was ready to wipe out any consideration of this defense but if Week 16 is against Dwayne Haskins, then it’s something to consider. ONLY if it’s known that Haskins has to play off Alex Smith’s latest injury.
Week 15 = at GB
Week 16 = a WSH
-- Sleeper/lesser-name IDP’s whose box scores or live watch caught my attention --
1) LB Kyzir White, LAC
Was smoking hot in tackle counts before he got hurt Week 10. He’s back active and had another 7-tackle game this week.
White has had 7 or more tackles in a game in six of his last 9 games played. He has averaged 8.1 total tackles per game his last 9 games played.
2) SAF Antoine Winfield, TB
Was on our early lists as he was breaking out quickly in his rookie season. As soon as he caught attention, his tackle counts started fading and he kinda disappeared off the IDP usefulness. He’s back – 9-8-12 for total tackles the past three games. 7 or more tackles in five of his last 6 games.
3) LB Nicholas Morrow, LV
His last 5 games…
7.2 total tackles, 1.4 PDs, 0.40 sacks per game.
He’s starting every week and putting up the numbers.
4) SAF Amari Hooker, TEN
Kenny Vaccaro out and Hooker gets more time and has a 7-tackle game. Hooker has been playing more and more and putting up numbers here and there – if Vaccaro is out again, Hooker is going to play heavy again Week 15. Hooker is an upside IDP talent in general.
5) SAF L’Jarius Sneed, KC
The 4th-round rookie was playing early on in the season, then got hurt and missed a chunk of the season. He returned Week 11. He’s had an uptick in activity the past two weeks – 6 and 7 totally tackles with a 1 PD the past two games. Speed to burn and confidence gained from the coaches.
6) LB Josh Byrnes, CIN
The veteran linebacker is holding down the middle again…this guy always seems to pop up into playing time as a journeyman every year – 7-6-7 for total tackles (plus a couple PDs and a TFL) the past three weeks for defense that’s on the field a lot.
7) DE Dennis Gardeck, ARI
I know Haason Reddick had those 5.0 sacks this week, which takes some spotlight off Gardeck who had 2.0 sacks…now 3.0 sacks in his past two games. He’s such a talent and deserves so much more opportunity. Maybe he’ll get it ahead?
Good luck on Monday Night Football!!!
Rated-R for some two F-bombs at the end, but I think you’ll enjoy a few football laughs if you’ve never seen this guy’s work on YouTube: https://youtu.be/keFUoR4TQrs
Your fantasy team is not the only football team struggling this season…