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2020 Week 2 Analysis: Bills @ Dolphins (By Ross Jacobs)

Date:
September 26, 2020

Ross Jacobs has been an FFM correspondent on NFL games and NFL Draft matters for the past few years. He is going to be writing up some of his notes on various games he’s watching/studying this year. Typically, he will have written/submitted his work before mine, so this is a look at the same game with different eyes...and you can compare and contrast or find some new takeaways.


2020 Week 2 Analysis: Bills @ Dolphins (By Ross Jacobs)


-This game wasn't as close as the final score said. The Bills mostly handled the Dolphins until Ryan Fitzpatrick did that thing where he started blindly chunking passes up and hoping they would land. He had a few possible interceptions dropped and Mike Gesicki did a bunch of the damage coming down with some remarkable catches. I wouldn't read too much into this game. The Bills are one of the AFC's better teams, although now it's the offense that's leading the charge and not the defense. The Dolphins are not bad, but still a step away from making the playoffs.


-I talked a lot about Josh Allen last week, and I stand by everything I said. He's much improved to my very great surprise, but there are still some issues here that will hold the Bills back come the playoffs. He's really making things work, and credit to the Bills for building a system that caters to Allen's strengths. Other teams would do well to learn from what Buffalo is doing. You don't have to have the perfect QB if you help him do things he's good at and avoid things he's not good at.


-The Buffalo offensive line was giving Allen literally all day to throw. Could just be that Miami doesn't have much of a pass rush yet. That will likely be something they address strongly next off-season.


-I didn't think much of the Stefon Diggs trade, but man has he looked good through two weeks. Diggs had a couple of spectacular catches this game. Makes you wonder if he was being misused in Minnesota. I don't see why he can't keep up the numbers the rest of the year. He's a high-end WR1.


-Just like the Rams game, you saw here what RC and I talked about with the RB situation. The media was gaga for rookie Zach Moss for some reason, but forgotten man Devin Singletary is the far superior runner. Moss is out for now, and that opens the door for Singletary to seize this job. Hopefully he can work up to a 70% share even once Moss comes back. Not sure that will be worth a whole lot in fantasy with Allen stealing goalline TD's, but we'll see.


-Wow, Gesicki, where did that come from? We knew Gesicki had great athleticism from his combine performance coming out of college, but the knock on him has always been that his hands were clunky and he played soft. The Mike Gesicki I just watched was going over the middle, took a couple of hard shots, out-muscled a defender in the endzone, and plucked a couple of amazing catches, one of them one-handed. I wouldn't be shocked if this was a one-of event, but I'm open to the idea that he's putting things together. If so he might be about to take off. Do not sleep on this.


-One reason I know this coaching staff is doomed in the long run is because of their handling of the RB situation. Even beyond the Rams and Bills stupidity, starting Myles Gaskin over Breida and Howard should earn them a special stupid award. Gaskin is nothing, and the only reason they are playing him is because this staff is obsessed with rewarding hard workers and film junkies. Don't get me wrong those things are important, and you have to have those qualities to be a top-level team, but you also need your best players on the field, and Myles Gaskins is far, far from being the best RB they have.


-Fitzpatrick started bombing away again, and he mostly got away with it here. He tends to run very hot and cold that way. It wouldn't shock me if he got hot the next 2-3 games, and then completely failed against the Broncos, Chargers, and Rams. I imagine he'll be replaced for Tua somewhere in that area, around week 6 or 7.


-This Bills defense was handling business as usual until Fitzpatrick started his chuck-n-duck offense. I wouldn't worry too much about them. They aren't as good as they have been the past few years, but they are still top half of the league. One problem I did notice however was Levi Wallace. Not sure how prevalent it will be, but he was getting drummed over and over by Gesicki and Preston Williams.


Fantasy Notes:


-Like I said last week, Josh Allen is a QB1 this year. He's going to finish at or near the top of the scoring charts between all this passing and his rushing production. I can't believe it either, but it's true.


-I already discussed Diggs. There's no way you're trading for him right now though, so unless you drafted him you're out of luck.


-Preston Williams is the best WR the Dolphins have, but he's just not getting the targets to make it work. Tua probably isn't the answer either.


-Keep an eye on Gesicki. If he was on waivers last week he won't be this week, but it's possible he has a couple of down games and gets dropped quickly. What we're watching for is whether his toughness and sticky hands in this game are something new or if it was just a fluke.



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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

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