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2020 Week 3 Analysis: Dolphins @ Jaguars (By Ross Jacobs)

Date:
September 29, 2020

 

Ross Jacobs has been an FFM correspondent on NFL games and NFL Draft matters for the past few years. He is going to be writing up some of his notes on various games he’s watching/studying this year. Typically, he will have written/submitted his work before mine, so this is a look at the same game with different eyes...and you can compare and contrast or find some new takeaways.

 

2020 Week 3 Analysis: Dolphins @ Jaguars (By Ross Jacobs)

 

-The Dolphins got up early and just controlled the game from start to finish. This was the perfect example of what I've been saying about both teams. In the short term the Jaguars are going to lose. A lot. What do you expect when they gut the entire team? The Dolphins meanwhile aren't as bad as their 0-2 record states. They aren't particularly good, but they are more talented on the whole. Short term you'd rather have the Dolphins. Long run you most definitely want the Jaguars.

 

-This is the problem I was talking about for the Jaguars. They have a scrappy offense, but it's just that. Scrappy. They are capable of playing up, but when they get down it's going to be hard to come back consistently week after week. Gardner Minshew is not the problem. He is such a fantastic young QB, but he plays the position like a savvy veteran. He just doesn't have the pieces around him to make this thing go. Don't assume this is some weak offense that you can beat up on with your fantasy defenses though. They'll have down weeks where they only score 17-20 points, but they aren't going to make many mistakes and they are more than capable of scoring more against weaker defenses or with a little luck.

 

-James Robinson is a nice backup level RB, but he is not the star the media is making him out to be. He's piling up nice stats on lots of touches for fantasy, but you'd ideally want someone a little more dynamic for your offense. RB's just really aren't that important though. He works.

 

-What the Jaguars really need is a little more juice at wide receiver. DJ Chark is a good #1, but when he's out you see the issue. It's the same problem the Saints and Browns are dealing with. Their receivers can't separate from coverage. I've been impressed with Laviska Shenault, but he's not much of a traditional receiver. He's a gadget type guy that can run the ball and play well in the short and screen game. When it comes to running routes down the field he's still got lots of improvements to make.

 

-Not going to talk much about the Jacksonville defense. They are quite possibly the worst group in the league. There are a few pieces to build around, but the unit is just really shorthanded. They are the reason this team is going to win so few games this year.

 

-The Dolphins are neither a good team, nor a particularly bad team. They beat up on a terrible defense here. There's nothing impressive about that. It wasn't even that bad when you consider that one of their scores came from the Jaguar's 5 yard line after a Minshew fumble. The defense played fairly well, but they were aided by having a lead all game and the absence of Chark. The Jaguars didn't have any threat down the field, and the Dolphins knew it. They kept everything in front of them all game, and Minshew was forced to repeatedly dump the ball short. They are still probably a 6 or 7 win team at best.

 

Fantasy Notes:

 

-Robinson is working nicely for fantasy at the moment, but when he isn't getting half the TD's every week this thing is going to slow way down. Unfortunately this offense isn't going to keep giving him multiple scoring opportunities. Pretty soon he's going to start having 11 for 46 type games with just a catch or two. The kind of games David Johnson has been having. You won't be so excited about him then. If I had Robinson on any of my teams I'd hold for a week to use him against the Bengals and then look to trade him hot. You might even trade him now to avoid any possible tick down in his stock. This situation is very fragile and will crater quickly when it does. Everyone will stop believing in him the second he has a bad game. Get what you can for him now.

 

-Minshew is still a fine QB2. There are better options out there, and you should absolutely have one of them as your starter, but he works as a bye-week start.

 

-Myles Gaskin is precisely the reason why you can't just blindly chase “touches” for fantasy. Obviously touches and opportunities are very important, but you can have a bad player that can't do anything with all those touches, and you can have a great player like Tyreek Hill that can be a top scorer on less than ideal touches. Gaskin is such a limited athlete that his 22 carries essentially mean nothing. This is such a waste by the Dolphins coaching staff. Breida and Howard should be in some kind of split, and Gaskin should be riding the bench and playing special teams.

 

-And Mike Gesicki disappeared again. Guess that great looking TE I saw last week was just a flash in the pan. Not surprising. He's never been a consistent producer. There's talent here, but I doubt he'll ever put it together week in week out.

 

-Preston Williams still looks like a great player on the few targets he's getting. I think he could be a legit top producer given a better QB and offense, but he's stuck with Fitzpatrick and Tua for now. He'll have a moment or two when Fitz starts chucking him bombs, but you can't count on anything with him right now unfortunately.



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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

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