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2020 Week 3 Analysis: Packers @ Saints (By Ross Jacobs)

Date:
October 3, 2020

Ross Jacobs has been an FFM correspondent on NFL games and NFL Draft matters for the past few years. He is going to be writing up some of his notes on various games he’s watching/studying this year. Typically, he will have written/submitted his work before mine, so this is a look at the same game with different eyes...and you can compare and contrast or find some new takeaways.


2020 Week 3 Analysis: Packers @ Saints (By Ross Jacobs)


-I can't believe how lucky the Packers keep getting. A lot of people think they are the best team in the league because of their point differential so far, but I'm here to tell you there are some problems here.


-The Saints led 17-13 at the half, but the Packers came back to take the lead quickly. The Saints tied it up again 27-27 after Alvin Kamara took a dump pass all the way down the field by himself, and then it looked like they might retake the lead after stuffing Aaron Jones on 4th and 1. But it was not to be as Taysom Hill fumbled the ball, and the Packers recovered with great field position. Green Bay had to settle for a field goal, but multiple penalties by the Saints on the next Green Bay possession led to another touchdown and a 10 point lead. The Saints would kick one more field goal and then try for an ultimately unsuccessful onside kick.


-This game was very even which should be troubling news for the Packers when you consider the injuries holding the Saints back right now. A few different bounces of the ball and the Saints absolutely could have won this game. I feel like they are the slightly stronger team when at full strength but not sure when or if that will happen.


-The Packers have beaten up on two bad NFC North teams, and met the Saints at less than full strength, and they've still needed a good bit of luck to come out 3-0. Luckily for them the schedule this year is one of the easiest I've ever seen so a 13-3 or better record and the #1 seed in the NFC is not out of the question. I do believe they won't be the best team in the playoffs, but it's still early in the season.


-The Saints offense without Michael Thomas is so simple I'm surprised nobody has commented on it or stopped it for that matter. Literally every other pass is a dump short to Kamara, and yet I still routinely see nobody covering him in the flats. I don't understand how defensive coordinators can claim to put in 16 hour days and yet they can't figure out that the entire offense is “throw short to Kamara.” Really makes you wonder how smart these guys really are.


-One thing the Saints exposed here is the Packers have a tackling problem. The inside linebackers aren't the best now that Blake Martinez is playing in New York. They really could use his hard-nosed tackling in the middle of this defense.


Fantasy Notes:


-Well just as Allen Lazard is breaking out he goes down with an injury and is out indefinitely. Feels bad. I think this Packers offense may take more of a hit than they expect. Valdes-Scantling is decent, but he's no Lazard. He'll work nicely for fantasy though.


-Aaron Jones just keeps scoring touchdowns. I have no idea how as he's really not that great a player. If the touchdowns ever dry up you're left holding a 15 carry for 70 yards and 3 catches for 30 yards player. 13 ppg is nothing to sneeze at, but it's not winning your league either.


-Rodgers is going to be a high-end QB1 all season just because of the schedule, but I'm still curious how he's going to handle the Bucs.


-Apparently Kamara is the greatest back alive again because nobody seems capable of stopping him from catching a zillion passes. He might break Thomas's catch record if Thomas stays out much longer. You would think teams would figure this out and shut him down soon, but the NFL never ceases to surprise me with their stupidity so use him while he's hot I guess.


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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>