2021 Dynasty/Fantasy Preseason Wk1 Game Analysis: Broncos 33, Vikings 6 (Subscriber Extra Notes)…
I wanted to go a little deeper with this Denver QB thing. Actually, that’s misleading – I wanted to discuss Drew Lock. His performance in this game was the best I’ve ever seen him look…the best QB performance of Week 1 of the preseason (that I’ve seen so far).
If Trey Lance had done what Drew Lock did here, there would be rioting in the streets demanding Lance start for the next 10 years guaranteed.
But it’s boring old, erratic Drew Lock…so, who cares? I was stunned. I’ve seen Lock make good throws, but that’s usually one out of every 5-10 throws. In this game, Lock was…I don’t want to say this to give the wrong impression – but this was a version of the turn Josh Allen made last year, what Lock looked like in this game. All the passes were the right throws, mostly on the money or close, with his big arm and quick release…and almost everything was thrown down the field. This was no checkdown party – this was Drew Lock taking this game by storm.
We have to take a step back and make sure, for Fantasy, that we’re not about to miss the next QB breakout. We’re all gaga with the possibilities on the rookies – but Lock just looked better than any of them by a mile. Lock looked so good in this game that even if the coaching staff was wanting to go with Teddy for the season – I think they have to change their minds.
Going with Lock could be the following type of gamble for the season, and it’s a tough gamble to pick a side on…
Do you go with Drew Lock who flashes ‘B’ and ‘D’ performances, moments with an ‘A’ upside…or do you just take the steady ‘C’ of Teddy Bridgewater?
I think the Broncos management was ready to give it to Teddy/the ‘C’ a few months ago…to avoid the maddening ‘D’ moments of Lock. NFL coaches are very risk averse, and Vic Fangio strikes me as the leader of the old guard – he’d rather go three-and-out every drive than see an interception at any point in the game. I’m just speculating on Fangio’s internal monologue – but we’re about to find out the truth when he has to choose Lock or Teddy.
I think it might be Lock now…let him sink or swim, and you have steady Teddy to come in if it doesn’t work. Lock’s last stand.
Now, with all this Lock enthusiasm…let me drop a bucket of cold water all over it. The Vikings played with 2nd-3rd teamers to face Lock, and they provided no pressure nor coverage nor ability to tackle nor desire to be there. Lock had his 1st-team O-Line, mostly 1st-team weapons and he had all day to throw…that’s a huge difference.
But what you want in that advantageous circumstance – is for your QB to then put the weaker opponent over their knee and spank them with impunity…and that’s just what Lock did. I think if he has another good game Week 2 of the preseason – you have to honor his fight and Denver has to hope they might have caught Lock maturing into a real NFL QB…one with a top 10 arm, and really good feet.
Lock worked a lot this offseason with Peyton Manning, perhaps the mix of Peyton, some age/maturity, the threat of Teddy – it all led to a fight or flight for Lock…and it looks like he’s a fighter.
Kudos to Lock.
I bring all this up for many reasons, but mostly – you can get Lock sitting on waivers in some deeper roster/Dynasty leagues off waivers right now…or as a throw-in on a deal. I’m not worried about Lock just being an NFL starter, and thus he’ll give me some starting QB numbers in Fantasy – hell, go get Jared Goff if you just want a live body starter. No, I’m putting Lock on the table for you to consider – because if he hits, if this is a turn…we have to remember Lock is really gifted. Big laser beam arm, and good wheels along with it (three rushing TDs his last 10 games, 18+ rushing yards per game his last 8 games). There might be a lottery ticket payoff looming here…or it busts, or Teddy named starter, and it costs you near nothing, and you move on.