Can I Beat The Stock Market With Weekly Football Betting (2019)? *Week 1
A new segment for 2019. I am going to start out with a fictitious $6,000 bankroll and bet it all on football all season and see how I do.
I will bet $100 per week on games…whether that’s all on one or $10 on a bunch or I just do nothing. That will be $1,700 of my $6K budget – I will not go over $100 betting games each week. Discipline! *I’ll charge myself a 10% ‘vig’/fee on each bet just to keep it simple.
A $1,300 slice of my bankroll, I am putting on NFL over/under win totals for the season. I do a lot better in this area, and it is a big part of what I do each year. I’ll use September 2019 pre-Sunday values to play them.
The biggest slice, because it’s the best return I usually have – player prop bets on their season. I will spend $2,000 of my $6K on those.
The S&P 500 is at 2,979 today. We’ll see where it is at by end of Week 17 of the NFL season compared to my football wager returns.
Every week we’ll tally up our winnings/losing and see how we are faring when I place/report out my next week’s game bets.
Player Prop Bets (all 10% vig to bet)
$1,100 (to win $1K + original bet, same for all of them) on Baker Mayfield OVER 31.5 TD passes this season.
$1,100 (to win $1K) on Allen Robinson OVER 900 receiving yards this season (I did this way before THU night game…I took a lot of stock in ARob for months on this line)
$770 (to win $700) on Kyler Murray OVER 21.5 passing TDs this season.
My NFL win total bets (Bovada)…
$600 (to win $990) on Denver OVER 8.0 wins this season (Bovada is giving three diff. win totals to bet with varying odds, so I’m taking this highest one on the board/greatest potential return).
$440 (to win $400) on the Jets UNDER 7.5 wins this season.
$200 (to win $320) on Arizona OVER 6.0 wins this season.
$60 (to win $50) on Jacksonville OVER 8.0 wins this season. *Love the Jags but hate the numbers this has become since Luck went out.
Week 1 Bets (all 10% vig)…
$80 on Denver (even) over Oakland (placed/wrote before AB went nuts this week)
$20 on Buffalo (+3.0) over the Jets
Good luck on all your betting this season!!