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H-Group Blazing Five Picks Week 16...

Date:
December 23, 2017

Katz: 

DET -5.0. Best Bet. The Bengals have given up and this is a must win game for the Lions if they want any prayer of making the playoffs. 

LAC -6.5. This one will be a rout. The Chargers also need this game to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Jets are starting Bryce Petty. 

MIA +10.5. The Chiefs are probably going to win this game, but the Dolphins will put up a fight. Plus, we can bank on the Chiefs trying to sit on the first lead they get, thus allowing the Dolphins to keep this game close. 

DAL -5.0. Homer pick? Maybe. Dak with Zeke back against a Seattle team that is far, far worse than most people realize? Yes please. 

BUF +12.0. I wasn’t sure where to go with here, so when in doubt, bet against the washed up QB that has fewer touchdowns in the last three weeks than TJ Yates (who had to play Jacksonville one of those weeks…and also only played two games)

 

Savage: 

Chargers (best bet)

Saints

Bengals

Raiders

Broncos

 

**THE COMPUTER**

TB at CAR -10.0 (point spread discrepancy 5.8) *BEST BET (least amount of variance for the system among these five plays, so taking 'safe')

The Computer says: Panthers by 15.8

Tampa is dealing with so many injuries right now…this is one of my favorite plays of the week.

 

ATL at NO -5.5 (point spread discrepancy 6.5)

The Computer says: Falcons by 1.0

I don’t get what The Computer is doing here. Atlanta off a sloppy MNF performance goes to New Orleans.

Consider…the Saints are lucky to be 3-2 in their last 5 games, and not 1-4. Five weeks ago, they lucked out vs. WAS in OT. They got beat by the Rams. They beat Carolina. They lost to Atlanta. Last week, they really struggled with the Jets for about 53 minutes.

 

PIT at HOU +9.0 (point spread discrepancy 6.1)

The Computer says: Steelers by 15.1

The Computer is convinced the Steelers bounce back with a vengeance against a bad Texans team.

‍ 

BUF at NE -12.0 (point spread discrepancy 5.6)

The Computer says: Patriots by 6.4

The Computer is smitten with the Bills giving the Patriots a hard time, and possibly having one of those near upsets that Brady always fins a way to pull out in the end. Lot’s of drama this week with the Patriots.

LAR at TEN +6.5 (point spread discrepancy 4.7)

The Computer says: Rams by 11.2

The Computer loves this more and more with every injury report update.

 

 

RC: CAR, LAR (best bet), LAC, CHI, MIA

 

COLIN: SEA, LAR, JAX, NO, BUF

 

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>