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Handicapping Week 17 with The Computer (and Survivor Pool Pick)...

Date:
December 27, 2019

Handicapping Week 17 with The Computer (and Survivor Pool Pick)...

 

All Games ATS YTD:

122-112-6 (52.1%) = Skol (10-5-1)

119-115-6 (50.9%) = Rabbitt (6-9-1)

116-118-6 (49.6%) = Katz (6-9-1)

114-120-6 (48.7%) = Savage (8-8)

114-120-6 (48.7%) = RC (5-11)

 

The always difficult to predict Week 17 games. All I need is to go 11-5 to get to a terrible .500 ATS on all games this year. Actually, I have a lot at handicapping stake this week and you’ll see what that is below (and many of you are riding the same train)…

Good Luck to us all Week 17!! Let’s end on a high note. 

 

TEN at HOU (+3.5)

Stars: ***

Obviously, Tennessee needs this game and Houston not so much. Plus, Tannehill has contract incentives at stake.

 

ARI at LAR (-4.5)

Stars: ***

When the Rams have meaningless games, they sit everyone they can. Arizona can close out on a 3-game win streak and Brett Hundley is decent. I need this to cash in on all my real 5.5 ‘over’ win total bets with the Cardinals. The Rams will barely be there and Arizona will try, I think…I hope.

*SURVIVOR POOL PICK* Let’s go out swinging. I won a few Survivor Pool this season and most with my Denver pick last week as others failed. A couple more to try to close out. I have never gone 17-0 in a season on Survivor Pool. I have so much at stake in this game with Arizona winning…that why not put my full confidence in the Cards? I don’t believe in jinxes…I joke about them, but when I really sense the jinx urge, I fight right into it.

Over 15 games, I might be like 3-12 picking Arizona games ATS with my warped view of Arizona…so, I’m due to end it on a fairy tale ending note.

 

CHI at MIN (-1.0)

Stars: ***

Bears will try to win to finish 8-8 and Minnesota not so much.



SF at SEA (+3.5)

Stars: ***

Russell Wilson +points at home in a big game? Yes, please.

 

LAC at KC (-9.0)

Stars: ***

This game matters more until KC sees the Pats blowing away Miami. I'm not sure if KC cares a ton about #3 or #4 seed here if they lose (and HOU wins). I worry the KC backups will be in too much, but I assume the Chiefs get up big fast and coast from there. 

 

NO at CAR (+13.0)

Stars: **

I don't like to lay this many points, but the Panthers are embarrassing themselves to the finish and the Saints have a must-win for seeding.

 

CLE at CIN (+2.5)

Stars: **

The Browns are great in games that don't matter, so I'll assume they play their best game of the season here..



IND at JAX (+3.5)

Stars: **

In a game of ‘who cares’, I'll take the points with a team likely to roll starters the longest.

 

GB at DET (+13.0)

Stars: *

Green Bay has everything to play for, and the Lions are terrible.

 

PHI at NYG (+4.0)

Stars: *

The Eagles finish off the deal and win the NFC East. 

 

PIT at BAL (+2.0)

Stars: *

Has to be the Steelers but the Ravens' backups may be better than the Steelers starts top-to-bottom.


ATL v TB (-1.0)

Stars: *

Trying to figure out motivations -- I like the way Atlanta is playing and thy try to further save Dan Quinn here.


WAS at DAL (-11.0)

Stars: *

Washington is plucky and better with Case Keenum...and Dallas likes to fail in big spots. I’ll take the points just because.

 

OAK at DEN (-3.5)

Stars: *

Oakland still has a lot to play for, but I don't think they're good enough to win games they should...but +3.5 with the motivations, I'll take the Raiders and the points.  Denver has not been that consistent/good. 


NYJ at BUF (-1.5)

Stars: *

Somewhat meaningful to the Jets, apparently, not at all meaningful to the Bills.


MIA at NE (-15.5)

Stars: *

Do you think Brian Flores will do his old boss a favor? Yep.


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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>