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Handicapping Week 2: All Picks ATS (Featuring The Computer)

Date:
September 13, 2018

Handicapping Week 2: All Picks ATS (Featuring The Computer)

As of Thursday morning…

As the injury reports lock in our projections can/will change. Any major shifters will be updated by kickoff, but to get this out for office pools, etc., here’s where we’re at now (in order of point spread differential of our Computer vs. Vegas):

*8-7-1 against the spread last week, I'll take it in a Week 1.

PHI (-3.0) at TB

The Computer says: PHI by 12.1 (9.1 line differential)

The Bucs are down two starting CBs. Jason Pierre-Paul is potentially out. This game screams Eagles crushing victory (like the Saints were so obvious last week…). The Bucs Week 1 destruction of the Saints has the line down, as it should, but then the Foles worldwide disrespect is the key here. Best bet of the week.

MIA at NYJ (3.0)

The Computer says: MIA by 3.0 (6.0 line differential)

This line went from MIA -1.5 to +3.0 in one 24-hour Sam Darnold period after MNF. Oh, my goodness, take advantage of the hype!!

HOU (-2.0) at TEN

The Computer says: HOU by 7.4 (5.4 line differential)

Marcus Mariota dinged up. Taylor Lewan likely out, giving TEN two top OLs out. The Texans played well last week losing to the Pats. Love this play this week.

OAK at DEN (-6.0)

The Computer says: DEN by 1.0 (5.0 line differential)

This game was rated much higher 24 hours ago, until news hit the Oakland might be without two starting DLs…run stoppers (Ellis out and Hall likely out), and that’s not good playing in the Denver air and against a suddenly stout Denver running game – not good to be down DLs to rotate. Still like all the points though.

DET at SF (-6.0)

The Computer says: SF by 2.3 (3.7 line differential)

The Computer likes a team embarrassed the week prior bouncing back, and the 49ers didn’t look so hot last week themselves. Lions stay close and cover.

CAR at ATL (-5.5)

The Computer says: ATL by 2.0 (3.5 line differential)

Despite the Carolina O-Line woes, The Computer thinks the Panthers will make a run at it and, at least, cover. The Falcons down two key defenders to injury/ being down Devonta actually helps Atlanta in our models.

IND at WAS (-6.0)

The Computer says: WAS by 9.4 (3.4 line differential)

This one could sneak into the blazing five depending upon the Colts injury report on the O-Line.

CLE at NO (-9.0)

The Computer says: NO by 11.6 (2.6 line differential)

The Saints bounce back here, at home, coming off an embarrassment.

BAL at CIN (P)

The Computer says: CIN by 1.8 (1.8 line differential)

The Computer is not in love with this game but leans the TNF home team.

MIN at GB (P)

The Computer says: MIN by 2.7 (1.8 line differential)

At this stage, you have play MIN with Rodgers in question? If this goes DeShone Kizer, then MIN is the best bet of the week.

SEA at CHI (3.5)

The Computer says: CHI by 5.0 (1.5 line differential)

The Computer likes the bears at home MNF, but fears Russell Wilson keeping things close.

ARI at LAR (-13.0)

The Computer says: LAR by 11.9 (1.1 line differential)

I don’t know how the Cardinals can hang with the Rams after what Washington did to them, but The Computer thinks they stay within the point spread.

NYG at DAL (3.0)

The Computer says: DAL by 3.6 (0.6 line differential)

I like betting against the Giants if I think Eli is getting sacked 3+ more times and hit 8+ more times…good chance of that here with the DAL front line.

NE (-1.0) at JAC

The Computer says: NE by 1.5 (0.5 line differential)

No Fournette, maybe? No starting center for JAC could be the killer for them.

LAC (-7.5) at BUF

The Computer says: LAC by 7.2 (0.3 line differential)

No Joey Bosa really changes this whole LAC squad. Josh Allen is an x-factor, the unknown for LAC. He might be able to keep it close at home.

KC at PIT (-4.0)

The Computer says: PIT by 3.8 (0.2 line differential)

If Joe Haden is out, this flips to Chiefs to cover for sure.

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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

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