Quick Notes: Three Things From Each Sunday Game + 'Top Fives' (Week 8)
*Disclaimer – I watch all the games live Sunday, however many at one time, and these are my initial fantasy reactions/notes. I will then watch each game and detail and file a deeper report on each game, and may change my stance midweek on something I say below…but as a quick reaction to Sunday’s action, here’s my quick take…
Games in random order:
*Pre-editor post (forgive any typos)
-- Yes, Josh Adams (9-61-0. 1-6-0/1) led the Eagles in carries…and, yes, he was in the game in key spots. And, yes, he might be Philly’s best RB now and for the ROS, but ‘no’…you can’t write it in pen that he’s ‘the guy’/a big fantasy scorer because of that. Doug Pederson has rarely/ever leaned on one RB week after week, on purpose. However, the situation is starting to get interesting because Adams is what we call ‘a talent’. Still, not sure you can go here strong in a 12-team redraft, but he’s now in the BYE week fill-in discussion…and ‘upside’ discussion.
-- Jordan Matthews (4-93-0/5) looked terrific in this game. Good enough for fantasy? Maybe…just as a WR3/flex BYE week fill-in long shot at this stage. We haven’t seen a full turn towards JMatt, and Jalen Ramsey taking out Alshon Jeffrey (4-35-0/4) pushed work to Matthews as well.
I just watched a game where Josh Adams and Jordan Matthews led their team to victory. How amazing is that? Hopefully, it happens on U.S. soil too.
-- If you have Carlos Hyde (6-11-0, 0-0-0/2), you’re in a tough spot -- keep him rostered through the BYE week…or drop? Depends if you buy Leonard Fournette returning Week 10. I don’t, not sure, so I’m (as a Hyde owner) stuck thinking about holding him as the main power RB for the Jags the rest of the way. The moment I know for sure Fournette is back…I have no real interest in Hyde.
-- I said, last week, when Norv Turner sees Curtis Samuel (3-28-0/3) running the ball so well (Week 7) -- he will absolutely stop using it the next week. Guess what happened this week? Samuel no carries and a measly 3 targets. Samuel looks fantastic…and he has no real shot to play/get real touches on this team because this is an NFL that talks about ‘best man plays’ but it’s total bullshit (*See: Winston v. Fitzpatrick).
-- Now, 6 games in a row for Cam Newton (21-29 for 219 yards, 2 TDs/0 INT, 10-52-1) with 2 or more TD passes. He’s putting numbers like his MVP season this year.
-- After the head coach talking about getting Hayden Hurst (2-29-1/3) more involved (the kiss of death)…he wasn’t. A late garbage-time TD with Lamar Jackson is all. No real move or effort towards him.
-- Three games in-a-row for Russell Wilson (14-17 for 248 yards, 3 TDs/0 INT) with 3 TD passes in each game. The volume isn’t there, but the TD passes are.
-- Kenny Golladay (1-12-0/1) was as hot a fantasy WR as there was the first weeks of the season, but the last two games…2 and 1 targets in the game. I have absolutely no idea what has happened…besides me getting excited about him and buying him all over just in time for this two-week collapse. I’m still a buyer…dollar cost averaging my way down the rabbit hole.
-- The Seattle-DST has held four of their last 5 opponents to 17 or fewer points, but you can’t get excited about using them ahead – Rivers-Goff-Rodgers-Cam the next 4 weeks.
-- Kudos to the Broncos/Chris Harris…they’ve held Tyreek Hill (3-70-0/4) scoreless and under 75 yards in their two games against them this season. Unless Patrick Peterson mirrors Tyreek, it should be smooth schedule-sailing for him from here on in.
Part of the Hill issue was a groin injury that caused him to miss the end of the game. We’ll see how bad it is, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they held him back for his own good Week 9…which would be a serious FFM bummer. However, he seemed to be moving around fine post-game celebrations.
-- If I was Denver, I’d just give the ball to Phillip Lindsay (18-95-1, 3-17-0/3) every play…he’s never not getting 5-10 yards a play it seems. Of course, Denver is holding on about every play, and got called for it several times this game…but there’s enough times they don’t to let Lindsay go wild. Until further notice, Lindsay is an RB1.5-2.0 and Royce Freeman (inactive) doesn’t exist.
I played this all wrong. I never thought Lindsay would last as a ‘main guy’ this long. Eventually, I’ll be right…but not yet.
-- Sammy Watkins (8-107-2/9) had 1 TD all season, in this explosive offense, until two TDs here…likely more a blip, but you never know with so much offense available for him/all the Chiefs. He’s not my cup of tea, but he’s a legit WR3/flex because you never know when this spike week could happen.
-- I don’t want to say I told you so on Jameis Winston (18-35 for 276 yards, 1 TD/4 INTs), but I think there was only one football analyst you know that said to get Winston (or avoid) to trade him hot after one good game this season – because he was ripe to fail and meltdown because he’s (a) a terrible QB, and (b) has never faced people/fans hating him and he would blow up under the pressure. Ta-da!
Everything changes with Ryan Fitzpatrick (11-15 for 194 yards, 2 TDs/0 INT) – for betting, for fantasy, for his weapons, for opposing DSTs. We’ll get into all this in a Monday or Tuesday (ahead of normal waivers) recap of this game. Let’s see if he’s REALLY starting now.
-- C.J. Uzomah (0-0-0/4) with a goose egg. I have no idea why. He was open for a TD and Dalton misfired, and then the game just kept progressing and…nothing. I thought this was some TE1 hope, but throw another log on the fantasy TD crisis fire.
-- I hinted Peyton Barber (19-85-1) was starting to ‘happen’, to a degree, the past few weeks. If Fitzpatrick is going to QB, then stock going up even more., HE IS THE GUY for the Bucs at RB. Ron Jones isn’t even in the discussion.
-- Wet field. Windy conditions. Not Chicago’s best game and unfavorable weather conditions – and Mitchell Trubisky (16-29 for 220 yards, 2 TDs/0 INT, 6-51-0) still puts up numbers. He’s pretty much a top 5 QB1 every week now. He’s so good and his running ability is sublime…he’s a smart runner too. He’s not taking stupid hits.
-- The Jets run game is bad. They should have Elijah McGuire (DNP) back off I.R. this week. I suspect McGuire will be pushed into a split with Isaiah Crowell (13-25-0, 1-13-0/1) but I’m not sure it matters with this weak offense.
-- The weather kept Chicago conservative…thus Trey Burton (3-18-0/4) and Taylor Gabriel (4-52-0/60) didn’t have their best fantasy week but no change in my projections ahead on them. I’d like to get Burton cheap if possible if I have TE woes.
-- The Redskins have shifted into a Gruden (any Gruden) dream scenario – a 1970s run team. As soon as they get a lead they try to run with Adrian Peterson (26-149-1, 1-7-1/1) and throw safe passes with Alex Smith (20-32 for 178 yards, 1 TD/0 INT). The problem is Jordan Reed (7-38-0/12) and Chris Thompson (3-13-0, 2-9-0/3) suffer in games such as this – an early lead and try to sit on it.
-- Evan Engram (5-25-1/9) saved a bad fantasy day with a late TD. He dropped a critical pass later in the game. Couldn’t make a tough catch soon after. But…they did keep going to him and they eventually got it together in garbage-ish time. When it mattered…Engram was not a target – that’s why we need a better-than-Engram play or a nice 2nd TE just in case this is a perpetual 2018 mess.
-- Eli Manning (30-47 for 316 yards, 1 TD/2 INTs) was sacked 7 times, over half of them his fault. He’s so shot/done it’s not even funny. It’s not his arm talent that’s done – it’s his awareness. He’s looking for the sacker as he drops back. He’s terrible. We’ve moved an inch closer to Kyle Lauletta…and that will be rough early going too.
-- What happened to David Njoku (0-0-0/1)? I have no idea. Baker Mayfield was running for his life every play it seemed. Will have to re-watch to see if Njoku stayed in to block or what happened. The combination of Mayfield-Njoku has been fine so no organic reason why it would halt. It hurt for FF though.
-- Jaylen Samuels (4-17-0) FINALLY got touches in a game, but it was just him at the very end running the clock out. He looked good, but nothing to fear for James Conner…yet.
-- Browns want to get Duke Johnson (2-0-0, 2-16-0/3) involved more, really? 2 catches and 2 carries? How is Hue Jackson not fired a hundred times over by now? Todd Haley probably gets the axe soon. If not, Hue might get it after Week 10 for the Week 11 BYE.
-- Are you happy I made you keep Marlon Mack (25-132-2, 2-17-0/4) for weeks on end, now? Or are you mad you gave up too soon? This isn’t ending anytime soon. Not a ‘sell high’…a ‘hold and use’.
-- Jack Doyle (6-70-1/7) back and right into being a trusted option for Luck. Eric Ebron (3-37-1/3) had just 3 targets.
-- Andrew Luck’s (22-31 for 239 yards, 3 TDs/0 INTs) TD passes in games the last five games: 4-3-4-4-3. He’s on fire. JAX-TEN-MIA-JAX the next 4 games up for him might slow that down.
-- Doug Martin (13-72-0) has a decent game but had a critical fumble late that kinda lost the game for the Raiders. Still, one of the better running performances of the year for OAK with a banged-up O-Line.
-- New O-C, a slight change in the offense…but still a pretty piss-poor offensive plan. Better than Mike McCoy, but still a ton of runs up the middle and no interest in force-feeding or getting innovative in the passing game with David Johnson (16-59-0, 4-41-0/4). DJ is nothing but an RB2 in 2018. Not a ‘buy low’ for 2018 anymore either…based off this one game, I don’t see anything really changing much. There’s hope the O-C needed another week (ARI on BYE now) to get everything turnt.
-- Matt Breida 16 carries…Alfred Morris 6 carries…Raheem Mostert 2 carries – that tells you how interested the 49ers are in a Mostert push.
-- Kendrick Bourne (7-71-0/10)…great targeting, and he’s had a relationship with C.J. Beathard working 2nd-team. Possible WR3 emerging – because Bourne is a real talent and should already be starting. He probably will after Pierre Garcon gets traded the next 48 hours.
-- Jimmy Graham (1-21-0/4)…are you kidding me? One catch? I mean…I at least thought he’d be halfway decent working with Aaron Rodgers this season – when you can’t thrive with Aaron Rodgers, forget it. More fantasy TE hell here.
-- I get excited about Geronimo Allison (1-14-0/1) and he dies. I’ve had that effect on many players in-season…Chris Thompson, Kenny Golladay, and now Allison as notable ‘sudden loves’ who nose dived right after. I’m still into Golladay. I’m ‘out’ on Allison…GB went with a Allison-Cobb-Scantling mix here as the #2-3 WRs. Allison played just 50% of the snaps.
-- Josh Reynolds (3-42-2/5) finally showed up…again, when not as a ‘surprise’ sleeper of the week for us. When I was done with this story…2 TDs in response. He’s a solid player but he disappears next week, as (if) Cooper Kupp looks set to return. Kupp may recuperate one more week.
-- This was the Drew Brees (18-23 for 120 yards, 1 TD/1 INT) I was concerned about, and why he’s been a ‘sell high’ for a few weeks. This happened last year – the Saints get up, run the ball, and Brees numbers aren’t as hot as they used to be. Now, you have to deal with Taysom Hill taking red zone work…and all over work too.
-- Like I said…Tre’Quan Smith (3-18-0/4)…a lesser Ted Ginn – and you have all the worries with Brees’s output issues (above). Hey, Cam Meredith…I’m not sure he even exists anymore.
-- Supposedly, Dalvin Cook could be back Week 11…after their BYE week. I’d question that, and question how effective if he does. I gave up on Murray too soon in many cases. He has a path to RB1-dom if Cook doesn’t return. RB3, if Cook is back.
Top 5 ‘Buy Low’
1) Tarik Cohen, CHI –The masses, by and large, don’t trust anything Bears. They have certainly been smitten by Cohen of late, but most of the masses, in their heart of hearts, think the jig will be up soon…that he’s a glorified Austin Ekeler or Duke Johnson.
Only one catch in Week 8, but it was for a 70-yard TD. Jordan Howard took 22 carries and had a TD…furthering the narrative (for THEM) that this is Howard’s offense – it was rain, wind, and sit on the sad Jets as the reason for this game flow. When the Bears need to hit then gas pedal it’s with Cohen.
He’s not just a game flow guy…he’s the center of their offense. Maybe the most unique RB in fantasy right now…a virtual WR playing RB, but he can run the ball…and return punts, and he’s Tyreek Hill-ish.
People value him as an RB1.5 but lean towards to RB2.0 in their hearts. If you ask for him direct…price doubles…be smart. You need to weasel in to see if you can sell your something hot for the moment/excess thing to land an RB who can/will be a top 10 PPR RB1, past his BYE, while you can.
2) Robert Woods, LAR – ALWAYS undervalued. Had another ‘OK’ game this week but hasn’t caught a TD pass in 4 weeks. He’s more a WR1.5, but trades as a WR2-2.25 mixed into a multi-player deal. No one is clutching Woods as ‘not available’. He’s someone the masses want to ‘sell high’ top you. When Cooper Kupp returns, Woods can go higher…news of a Kupp return hurts Woods, the masses think.
3) O.J. Howard, TB – Maybe the hardest one on the list to get…because all fantasy TEs outside of Kelce-Ertz are dying. OJH just had a TD to make things worse (to acquire him). The return of Ryan Fitzpatrick helps drive the possibility that OJH can be a top 5 TE…not just a random TE useful for the moment.
In dynasty, I think we’ve killed off Jameis Winston dead, so the future is looking brighter – and you can see that in my latest Dynasty Stash rankings on him vs. other top TEs.
He hasn’t fully hit a hysterical point, so he’s get-able, but you’ll have to be slick about it.
4) Brandin Cooks, LAR – If you play in a league with long play bonuses – the Rams schedule is begging for shootouts and when Cooper Kupp comes back it opens everything up for Cooks-Woods (and Kupp).
5) Kenny Golladay, DET – Since I started buying him as a WR2 a few weeks ago, his output has crashed…and thus his trade value has too. He’s a WR3 today and heading to people’s benches. Get-able at a reasonable price mixed into a multi-player deal. Asking for him straight up scares people potentially. Let them suggest it if you want to try to do a 1-for-1. Use the old “I’m looking for WR depth for BYE weeks” routine.
6) James Conner, PIT – Is he even available anymore? Great Week 8, so not hardly…until ESPN reports Le’Veon Bell is coming back Week 9, or 10, or whatever they make up to get you to click. When the trade deadline comes and goes Tuesday, and Bell is still a Steeler – there will be renewed Conner panic on Bell HAVING to return to the Steelers…and just 2 weeks away.
I don’t think Bell plays a down as a Steeler this year.
7) Jordan Reed, WAS – Total bottom fishing here, try to get thrown into a deal if a TE needed to speculate on…
The target levels/share are great for Reed, but it’s not a great offense for fantasy production. I’ll just say this…it’s possible Reed-Smith is trying to ‘happen’, trying to come into its own (new working together 2018). Remember Kelce-Smith last year(s)? Reed is better than any receiver on this sad sack Washington WR depth chart.
Top 5 ‘Sell High’
1) Christian McCaffrey, CAR – Two TD game this week…very rare for him to get one TD in a game with the way the Carolina offense rolls (and one TD was a total fluke). I don’t like his trend of carries, targets, or TD opportunities this season. He touches the ball like an RB1 but doesn’t give you RB1 output because he rarely scores TDs…but now you got this RB1/2-TD game to play with – can you use CMC as part of a BIG trade to unlock a deal that will get you the extra push to the title?
I don’t think CMC has to be sold, but I think this is a golden opportunity to catch people napping on his lower production most games this year. He’s a very solid RB1.5 for fantasy…but can you sell him as a strong RB1 for something shocking?
2) Leonard Fournette, JAX – Sell the rumor he’ll be back Week 10. I don’t know that he will be, these are the same people (ESPN) always wrong about Le’Veon (they’re just guessing and selling it for click-bait), and even if he is – what’s he going to do in this offense? He’ll look like David Johnson/2018 at best + have Hyde-Yeldon looming. In redraft, if you’re going to sell – this may be your best/last chance.
In dynasty, you sell him like a top six, 1st-round draft pick to a team rebuilding…if you want to sell in dynasty.
3) Doug Martin, OAK – Not a bad game/touches in his debut…maybe, you can sell it to BYE week desperate people for something in a deal? If you grabbed as a flyer and have no need.
4) Larry Fitzgerald, ARI – Big game Week 8…new O-C, all very exciting – except it wasn’t. Offense still looks weak. I like Fitz but if this big week gets me into something else I want/need, I’ll use it.
5) Drew Brees, NO – (same message from last week/s) If you want to get super cute, if you have Brees and can sell him into a bigger QB deal you might want to consider it.
Brees is awesome for the NFL, but if your team is sinking/has a major fantasy hole – just remember that Brees was a QB2 last year when Ingram/Kamara went off. They established a run game, ran more clock, etc. That could happen some again PLUS Sean Payton is in love with Taysom Hill running the Tim Tebow offense near the goal line…taking more FF-goodies away from Brees. Just a thought.
Top 5 ‘Waivers to Trust’
1) Courtland Sutton, DEN – I’m surprised how lowly Sutton is owned in redrafts, but it’s logical as he’s a random #3 WR for Denver. David Moore has more heat. As I’ve been saying since Week 1 – if Demaryius Thomas gets traded then it’s game on with Sutton. He’s not just good…he’s ‘Hall of Fame’ good. You’ll see.
Top grab if DT (or ES) traded…BUT not in the top 5 (redraft) here if no Denver WR trade by Tuesday.
2) Jack Doyle, IND – In the era of TE despair… Be careful not to lose your minds because something at TE was working for a few weeks and then did nothing Sunday. That’s how it goes with TEs. Unless you have Kelce-Ertz, you’re in a toilet bowl with everyone else swirling around randomly. Doyle is as capable of 5-55-1 next week as he is of 3-27-0.
You need to work two TEs to have one right now, Doyle is a name consider for your duo but he’s not the end all…but he might be…but probably not.
If you have Kelce, you don’t really need a 2nd TE until Week 12. If you have Ertz – just carry Goedert in the hole and never have to worry about TE again.
3) Keke Coutee, HOU – I’m not sure the Will Fuller injury helps as much as people think. I believe Coutee needed Fuller (+Hopkins) to take heat away for him to roam. However, I’m impressed/shocked with how smitten Bill O’Brien was with getting him the ball better than most teams get their ‘weapon’ player the ball. I’ll chase that.
4) Peyton Barber, TB – The main RB on a team whose offense is about to (maybe) take a step forward. Works if stuck with awful Winston too.
5) Chris Godwin, TB – Much better weapon with Fitz, in my book, and possibly another bump if DeSean Jackson is punted by the trade deadline (as he should be).
6) Ryan Fitzpatrick, TB – Week 12 hosting SF…for those with Mahomes AND Goff AND, thus, Week 12 issues. Do you consider sitting on him for three weeks? You might if your QB options in your league are depleted/deeper rosters. I’m mostly sure the Jameis Winston era ended Week 8…but, if I know the NFL, they’ll give him another shot later…but more like Weeks 14-15+.
Top 5 ‘Waivers to Distrust’
1) Josh Reynolds, LAR – I’m a fan, but he’s an insignificant part of the offense with Kupp back in the lineup – and I think Kupp is returning Week 9 possibly (critical game with NO), Week 10 at the latest. He’s been a ghost for weeks with Kupp out…until Sunday.
2) Chris Herndon, NYJ – I’m not a fan. 3 TDs the last two games…1 TD this week, on ONE target.
3) D.J. Moore, CAR – Cam does not make WRs great (again) for fantasy…and ‘sleepy’ D.J. Moore is not my favorite guy to bet on.
4) David Moore, SEA – I like David Moore better than D.J. Moore right now, but I still don’t see any effort to push David by Seattle. He’s still getting low targets…just so happens to be on a TD roll. I like him but he’s not ready to be a star(ter) yet.
5) DeVante Parker, MIA – You can never trust DeVante Parker. I get that he’s in a sweet spot with all the Miami injuries at WR, BUT nothing but shutdown corners to face ahead if he does get back rolling. You can’t trust Parker…or Osweiler…or Tannehill…or their schedule ahead.
If you want to claim to trade, I guess…but I’m not sure there’s the market for Parker there once was.
Top 5 ‘Deep Sleeper Plays on the Radar Screen’
1) Rishard Higgins, CLE – MCL sprains are tricky. Higgins has been out Weeks 6-7-8 and he might be back Week 9. When he returns in Week 8 or 9…he might be a steady WR2 for Mayfield who needs receivers to throw to who can catch.
2) Spencer Ware, KC/Malcolm Brown, LAR – For obvious reasons, but let me say – I think it’s low odds the Rams go with Brown full throttle if Gurley gets hurt next week, etc. They would have to go get an experienced hand to make their way to the Super Bowl. Brown is a very shaky play on this ‘what if Gurley injured’ theory.
Spencer Ware…now, that’s something. Ware would step right in and meet/exceed Hunt’s production. You want to gamble on these guys? Go with Ware for the more likely payday or Week 16 productive start if they rest anyone.
3) Kendrick Bourne, SF – A very talented WR with experience on the 2nd team with Beathard. Now, starting with Garcon hurt…and likely Garcon gone via trade in a few days.
4) Pierre Garcon, SF – Surely to be traded. Let me tempt you with rumors I’m hearing on Garcon. How would you like Garcon on Indy?
But what if to Washington? Not good.
If he goes to Indy, I’m interested.
5) Demarcus Robinson, KC – If Tyreek Hill is out Week 9 (unlikely), Robinson may rise up…not Chris Conley, like your first reaction might be.
6) Josh Adams, PHI – On a BYE week and Doug Pederson is an RBBC guy, so not good outlook to sit on for two weeks…but Pederson may have never had a guy like Josh Adams!!!!
7) Equanimous St. Brown, GB – Playing more and more of a role/making plays, and I thought he started looking like the trusted rookie this week in just a few snaps dealt to him. Valdes-Scantling got more playing time and the late TD…but ESB was playing early and had a really nice play or two. I can see the star potential is trying to shine through. Cobb-Allison-Scantling are all ‘OK’…ESB can be special. But this may be a 2019 story. It isn’t a Week 9 one…maybe a Weeks 11-12-13+ one.
Top 5 ‘Just Quit On Them’ Players:
1) Corey Clement, PHI – Has looked terrible, to my eye, all season…has the numbers to back up that claim – AND, here comes Josh Adams!!!
2) Martavis Bryant, OAK – I thought the Raiders were going to push Martavis again? They said so in the press, so what could go wrong? There’s NOTHING here.
3) Mike Gesicki, MIA – He may literally be the worst athlete I’ve ever seen…and had A++ measurables at the NFL Combine. He is the poster child for anyone who wants to hate analytics.
4) Ronald Jones, TB – I told you, Peyton Barber is ‘the guy’ here. You couldn’t get a sneaky week of him with value to trade…he sucks.
5) Jameis Winston, TB – I think, I finally rest my four+ year case.
Top 5 DSTs Off Waivers (maybe) to Consider:
1) 2) Jags-DST – If anyone dumps out this defense out of frustration, and you’re looking ahead to the playoffs…@TEN-WAS-@MIA Weeks 14-16, if they are still in the race.
2) Chiefs-DST – They have three Pro Bowl level defenders about to return, and their defense has been getting better every week. Tyreek Hill returning punts is a nice bonus. The offense whacking opponents allows the KC D to tee off on sacks and INTs. With the exception of Weeks 11-12 (LAR-BYE), I can get behind using them in the sea of despair DSTs have become.
@CLE-ARI Weeks 9-10 is useful.
@OAK-BAL-LAC-@SEA is OK Weeks 13-16.
If you have MYreek and Rams’ guys…be careful as you need a DST in their place Week 12. You need a lot of players Week 12…
3) Steelers-DST – BAL-CAR…next 2 games -- not great, but usable. Then JAC-DEN-LAC-OAK Weeks 11-14 looks better and better. The good games are on the road…one of them (OAK) before the NE week is a distraction concern later on.
Weeks 15-16 NE-NO is no good.
4) Redskins-DST – Turning out to be a legit option ahead because suddenly this team is looking strong for the NFC East title race. Weeks 9-13 are a mixed bag…ATL-@TB-HOU-@DAL-@PHI. If Quinton Dunbar returns…take seriously. If not, this is a Weeks 14-16 play only.
Weeks 14-16 is the hot sauce: NYG-@JAX-@TEN.
5) Patriots-DST – Beautiful every other week after Week 9 v. GB, which is a no-go. Weeks 11-12, BYE-NYJ. Weeks 13-14, MIN-MIA. Weeks 15-16, PIT, BUF. One to pair with like an Indy after Week 9.
Problem is – they aren’t that good, and you have to live with GB-BYE the next two weeks. I don’t know that they’re worth holding. However…what else is there available at DST anymore?
6) Chargers-DST – Ahead: @SEA-@OAK-DEN-ARI. Schedule remains kinda favorable and Bosa expected to return after the BYE (maybe). I worry that the Chargers defense is a touch overrated and facing Seattle is not easy (at Seattle) and, now, the ARI game may not be the cupcake we thought. It’s a better play than most but not perfect.
No Bosa…then I don’t know how much I like this.
7) Colts-DST – The stats are decent, but the performance is erratic. They’ve gone from exciting/emerging to a question mark after they didn’t cash in on Oakland Week 8. The schedule remains great, but they’ve become just another dart throw. I will say this – their next three games – all at home. They’ve been better at him.
Upcoming: BYE, JAC, TEN, MIA, @JAC, @HOU, DAL, NYG. Might could use them from Week 9…or not?
8) Texans-DST -- DEN-BYE-WAS-TEN-CLE-IND-NYJ through Week 15. The defense is nothing that special but the schedule is not bad.
9) Jets-DST – I’m done disrespecting the Jets nice defensive run this season. #5 in the league in INTs. Weeks 9-14…MIA-BUF-BYE-NE-TEN-BUF – 4 of 6 very usable games (two BUF games in there). A DST to pair with another to get through Weeks 11-12 BYE-NE.
10) Cowboys-DST – With Sean Lee back, they’re a top 3 NFL defense threat. BYE-TEN-PHI-ATL-WAS ahead is not super-favorable but no elite QBs/offenses to face. Week 9 hosting TEN may be the play of Week 9.
PHI-@IND-TB Weeks 14-16 isn’t worst but it’s not that good.
11) Broncos-DST – Playoffs option…Weeks 14-16 = at SF, CLE, at OAK. Not bad.
12) Seahawks-DST – For down the road…SF Week 13, and at SF Week 15. Match them up with another for Weeks 14 and 16 for the playoff run. DEN, NE, WAS, KC, IND are options
13) Titans-DST – NYJ, JAX, @NYG Weeks 13-15 is a nice stretch during the FF playoffs
Don’t like for schedule or other reasons on these DSTs making noise/news/lists: BUF, CLE, NO