Blazing Five YTD:
35-23-2 (60.3%) = Savage (3-2)
31-27-2 (53.4%) = Rabbitt (4-0-1)
31-28-1 (52.5%) = Colin (3-2)
30-28-2 (51.7%) = Katz (2-3)
29-30 (49.2%) = RC (2-3)
27-32-1 (45.8%) = Skol (3-2)
After losing my can’t-miss ATL and DET bets last week and sinking below .500 for the B5, I fired The Computer model that I’ve been using this season and am trying some new scientific theories for picking games. I would’ve had BUF + pts as a top B5 pick but we cannot use the THU games in the B5. I need a nice 4-1/5-0 week to get my record up the top guys this year. One week can turn the tide. OK, tide…I’m ready to turn you/
SF at BAL (-6.0)
I’m riding this train ‘til it crashes. The Ravens are 5-0 vs. the spread their last 5 games and I’ve been on it as a bettor for almost all five. Make it six here.
GB at NYG (-6.0)
Green Bay coming off a humiliating loss and in a must-win game to keep ahead in the division, and facing one of the three worst teams in the league. Rodgers is in line for a big game here, and the Packers are a sack/turnover defense…and that matches the Giants’ issues.
MIN at SEA (-3.0)
All three Vikings losses this season are on the road (3-3). They are a good team made great with their home field. They are mortal outdoors…on the road outdoors they are 1-3. I think Seattle was lucky-good early this season, but now they are becoming good-good.
LAR at ARI (+3.0)
The Rams are so bad, that I’ll take about any home team getting points against them. And Arizona has been pretty good covering most of this season. Arizona can win this outright. The public loves the Rams for some reason, still. It’s not 2018 anymore. Why aren’t the Rams getting publicly humiliated like the Bears are for their one-year fall from grace?
OAK at KC (-10.0)
The smart bet for a season+ is to take anything opposing KC because the public is dazzled by Mahomes. The lines are always too high, or the Chiefs lose a lot lately. The weather could make the Chiefs passing attack a bit sluggish if the high winds projection keeps up.
NYG +6...GB takes a bad defense on the road in potentially bad weather against a team that wants to run...what could go wrong?
CAR -10...Yes the Redskins won last week but statistically they were worse than their season average in yardage differential and first down differential...CAR is currently on the outside of the playoffs looking in...need a big win to impress the committee.
KC -10...I think this is a KC kill spot. I think the Chiefs take control of the division for good (with authority) against a terrible defense and an injured offense.
CIN +3...Andy Dalton in the lineup tells us the Bengals want to win a game this year...yes the Jets have looked good lately but they are not “road favorite good” in my opinion.
MIN +3...SEA just keeps piling up wins but still don’t seem impressive to me. Vikes D matched up with SEA very well last year so I’m betting on a repeat.