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Random Notes for Week 17 (FRI 12/28/18)…
*Opening note: The last week was crazy with the title chase…and then this week with holidays – I owe some people emails, ones I set aside if not urgent sit-start/title help issues. If you are awaiting a response – I didn’t forget, I just had the open email forum for title week and was overwhelmed (which I’m proud I was). I’ll get back to everyone ASAP this week.
*Next Week 17 projections will post Saturday night (then again Sunday noonET-ish) – no projection update Friday.
-- Todd Gurley odds for Sunday…
60% = Inactive
30% = Active, limited role (out when they can get him out)
10% = Active, normal week
The Rams should be able to beat the 49ers without Gurley…again, Gurley’s impact to an NFL team is wildly overrated – but I’m not sure the Rams believe that. However, watching C.J. Anderson be as effective as Gurley last week gives them some cover to get Gurley rested/healed for the playoffs.
-- I believe Dirk Koetter is going to play backup QB Ryan Griffin for 2 or 3 or 4 quarters over Jameis Winston. Based on people I talk to and just the situation (Winston hurt guarantees his big salary number/contract for 2019)…get ready for the backup QB, and that throws off the fantasy projections to some degree – and none of it good for the WRs, and is awful for Cam Brate). Griffin is nothing that special…a safe #3 QB type.
-- Davante Adams this week? I think the odds are falling below 50%. I get that he can set team records for yards, etc., with a big game…but, honestly, in this day and age – who cares? Certainly not Adams, not enough to risk his health.
-- Weather check for Sunday…
The CLE-BAL game has shifted from ‘in the 20s’ to ‘in the 40s’ for temps.
The two games showing in the 20s for temps now: MIA at BUF, DET at GB…and GB showing above average winds (15mph+) but nothing too radical at this point.
-- Travis Kelce has 10 TDs this season…he will make a $750,000 bonus if he hits 12 or more TDs for the season. I’m thinking Kelce will see a few red zone/end zone shots this week…
-- James Conner odds to start this week (as of now)…60%.
-- Leonard Fournette likely out, Carlos Hyde questionable…David Williams becomes a sleeper play for Week 17 out of the Jags backfield. I think the Jags want to take down the Texans, so I’m not sure they’ll rush into Williams right away…more when/if the game gets out of hand. T.J. Yeldon could be the play.