Handicapping Group Records YTD:
7-3 = Colin
6-4 = Savage
6-4 = Rabbitt
6-4 = RC
5-5 = Skol
4-6 = Katz
There goes Colin off to a hot start…you have to respect him. He is the Blazing Five master we’re trying to defeat.
I went 3-2 last week…my losses – PIT + NO…the two games where the long-time star QBs bit the dust early. ARRRGGGHHH!!!! So close to a huge week.
CAR at ARI (+2.0)
The Computer says: ARI by 8.8…Spread Differential 6.8
I bet this hard at ARI +2.5. Now, it’s -2.5. It’s still nice. The Panthers are about to fold and go away…goodbye Norv, once again. Sweet job.
DEN at GB (-7.5)
The Computer says: GB by 0.6…Spread Differential 6.9
I think Denver may beat Green Bay here. Denver hasn’t been horrible and should’ve beaten Chicago last week. The Packers are lucky to not be 0-2. If Bryce Callahan is back for the Broncos, then I love this bet. Denver may not win but +7.5 is nice here.
CIN at BUF (-6.0)
The Computer says: BUF by 0.7…Spread Differential 5.3
I think the love for Buffalo is way too much/too fast right now…they beat the 2nd and 3rd worst teams in the league, and beat the Jets barely. The Bengals aren’t great, but they almost beat Seattle at Seattle opening week…they are getting punished for losing big to SF last week…but the 49ers are really good. I think Cincy wins this or it’s very close.
LAR (-3.0) at CLE
The Computer says: LAR by 8.3…Spread Differential 5.3
I think the Rams might destroy Cleveland by 30+ points here and send the Browns into a tailspin. The Browns do not look ready to ang with the 2nd best team in football. How bad are the Browns…you saw Tennessee against the Jags on TNF Week 3? That Titans team squashed the Browns on offense and defense Week 1. The Browns have yet to play a good quarter of football this season.
CHI (-4.0) at WAS
The Computer says: CHI by 8.4…Spread Differential 4.4
This could be a bit of a coming out party for the Bears’ offense and then the Redskins won’t be able to score 10 points this game. If the Bears score 14+ they cover. I don’t care that is on MNF…the home crowd doesn’t care about the Redskins in 2019.
DEN +7.5...DEN 0-2 and desperate for a win and GB coming off 2 division games with the Eagles up next this Thursday. Maybe the Broncos season win total goes up in flames and they are just a good ATS team this year?
BAL...Obviously Mahomes scares me here...it’s a bet on the Ravens playing bend but don’t break like last year and the KC offense starting off weak in the Red Zone so far this year. If the weather is bad I really like the Ravens rushing game against KC D over KC passing offense against the Ravens D. If the weather is bad, the KC RB injuries are even more impactful.
CIN +6...Playing against the Bills who I think are a bit overvalued and going against a favorite that has a bigger game next week than this week. BUF hasn’t played anyone who can threaten their defense downfield so here to hoping Dalton can have some success there.
ARI -2...I really liked ARI as a home dog and would prefer that we had the points with Cam in here...CAR can get a little pass rush but the secondary is not great...I want to cheer Kyler in for his first win.
NO +4...my personal SEA fade continues. Teddy B looked pretty bad but I’m betting that with the week on the West Coast Sean Payton can dream up enough offense with some T.Hill to get a win or at least a cover.
Bills -6 - The Bills should be able to take advantage of Cincinnati's bad run defense and bad offensive line. There's some concern that they may be looking ahead to their week 4 matchup against the Patriots, but this is their first home game and I trust Sean McDermott to keep the team focused.
Redskins +4 - The Bears and their 9.5 points per game have no business being this big of a road favorite. Washington has been competitive in both games so far, and I think we'll see the same thing on Monday night.
Browns +3 - This is a big of a gut call on my part, but I think we see the Browns bring their A-game in primetime. The Rams have sort of sleep walked to a 2-0 start, facing a banged up Cam Newton in week 1 and Teddy Bridgewater in Week 2, so I think they're due to drop a game in Cleveland.
Saints +4 - I think the Seahawks are quietly a below average team. I expect the Saints to play a lot better than they did in week 2 with time to prepare for life without Drew Brees. If the Saints don't cover here, I'll likely double down betting against Seattle next week.
Cardinals -2 - I would have liked this game a lot more with Cam playing and the Cardinals getting points, but I still think we see the Cardinals win by a touchdown or more.