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2018 Handicapping Chat Week 5: WAS at NO (-6)

Date:
October 8, 2018 6:36 PM
October 8, 2018 6:33 PM

Savage: Washington very quietly leads the NFL in defense, allowing only 278 yds/game and 14.7 pts per game. The Saints defense, terrible through 3 weeks, finally showed up in week 4 and made a lot of us look stupid. So the question tonight is, which defense will be able to get a few stops? I thought this line was about right, I went with New Orleans on a gut feeling that they'll be able to turn this into a shootout and Alex Smith won't be able to keep up. Anyone feel strongly about this, especially with the number down to 6?


Rabbitt: I don't believe that Washington is "real". Adrian Peterson leading your running game is all I need to know. I feel like Ingram being inserted back in to help pound the rock is really going to help as well. Saints are one of the best teams in the NFL... I'm not sure what Washington is.


Katz: Redskins are coming off a bye with a bit of an extended rest playing on Monday night. Like Savage said, the Redskins have been pretty damn good against the pass. They're healthy and in prime time, all they have to do is keep this within a touchdown. I think they can handle that.


RC: I'm on the other side of Rabbitt...I think Adrian Peterson is more real/useful on a team with an underrated O-Line + a top 10 defensive unit (great CBs). They are the quintessential NFL team...built for the run game, game managing QB, and good defense. You have to think the Saints are going to pierce that defense and the Redskins can't play catchup, which is logical. But the Saints have played two solid defenses...CLE and NYG and were stymied by both. NYG had the Saints number most of that game but couldn't put any offensive pressure on. The Redskins are better than NYG.

The Saints two claim to fames on defense are: held Tyrod Taylor and Eli Manning/2018 down...not impressive. The Saints should probably be 2-2/1-3. The Redskins have sat on all offenses, good and bad, this season. The Redskins offense is weaker but the Saints have one of the worst defenses in football.

I think Washington can pull an upset here, but I'm more for getting the +6.0 and covering with the Saints at home with Brees.

In their last 11 games, the Saints are 6-5...but 5-1 at home in that span. Washington is 1-4 in their last 5 road games.

I'm 'picking' Washington but not 'betting' Washington because of 'Saints' and 'at home New Orleans' scaring me too much.


Skol:  The Redskins pick was the last game I eliminated from my B5...Washington had the Saints beat last year and blew it.  This feels like a game where Brees sets the record and then the Saints realize there is another team in the building that didn’t come to celebrate his wonderful career.  Home field is scary here, but the Skins are a team (and coach) that went in last year and played well.  Redskins +6 is the way I would go.  Night games have not been kind to me the past two weeks but I think my real life bets will be +3.5 and money line (+175) in the first half.  



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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

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