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An open discussion/chat of games this week...
Savage: I really liked last week's slate of games. This week... not so much.
Coming out of week 9, there were two teams I was looking to fade: the Redskins and the 49ers. The Redskins because they essentially lost their entire O-line to injury (again). The 49ers because of the Nick Mullens hype. Then I look at the week 10 schedule. The Redskins are playing the one team you might not need an O-line for, the Bucs. The 49ers are playing the one team nearly as pathetic as the Raiders, the Giants. And just like that, I go from wanting to fade them to wondering if Redskins +3 and 49ers -3 are decent bets.
What opportunities are you guys seeing?
Katz: I am really high on Jacksonville coming out of the bye. They still have a good defense and should be getting Fournette back, however much that actually helps. Maybe I'm still clinging too much to the idea that the Jaguars are even a fraction of the team that almost went to the super bowl last year, but I feel like the general perception of them is that they're the Jaguars of old - the laughingstock of the league. I think they surprise a bit this week.
Savage: Those of us with Colts AFC South futures tickets absolutely need them to win the rest of their home games, but I agree this is a good spot for the Jags. This is the fork in the road for them - if there's any 2017 magic left we should see it here. Worth noting that the Colts are also off a bye, but they went into the break riding high off 2 straight wins. If it weren't for the fact that they have a lot of banged up players, you could say the time off hurts them.
One bet I'm starting to warm up to is Lions +6.5. It didn't look like they were quitting last week, from what I saw. They were only down 11 mid-way through the 4th quarter and it seemed like Stafford was on the verge of getting them back in the game, and then that lateral/fumble 6 happened. If that game ended 17-13 instead of 24-9, I think this line would be more like 4.5. And most of the sacks the Lions allowed weren't the O-line's fault. Stafford looked like he didn't know where he wanted to throw the ball. It makes sense that he'd be out of sync in his first game without Golden Tate. They should operate better with another week of practice.
RC: I feel like there is free money happening with the Jets vs. Matt Barkley...it looks like mot of us do.
The Lions would scare me...no Darrius Slay and no T.J. Lang...is essentially them without their best players. If the Bears dont go wipe the Lions out with all the advantages -- they are not a playoff threat. I'm not betting it the Lions have a weird way of getting the backdoor cover late in these scenarios.
The Cleveland-Atlanta game...I feel like the Browns could be a great bet but the inactives will tell the story. They could be at full strength at #1-2 CB or down both and open to getting popped even by Matt Ryan in the cold.
Rabbitt: All aboard the Jets train this week. I get an upgrade at QB. They get Matt Barkley. Count me in. Quincy Enunwa should go off pretty well too.