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2019 ‘Best’ NFL Free Agent Period Tournament (NFC and AFC Finals)

Date:
March 27, 2019 6:07 PM
March 31, 2019 10:53 PM

Looking strictly at the offseason moves through mid-March…the signings, lost players, trades, etc. Pitting two teams against each other and trying to evaluate which team got better through all their moves.

We’re going to go division-by-division, head-to-head tournament style, to get eight winners and then pit those finalists against each other until we get to the top AFC and NFC representatives and declare a ‘best of 2019’. We’re into the division finals…

AFC Finals…

***Jags v. Raiders***

Jacksonville

Key adds: LB Jake Ryan, WR Chris Conley, OT Cedric Ogbuehi, QB Nick Foles

Key losses: SAF Tashaun Gipson, RB Carlos Hyde, DT Malik Jackson, WR Donte Moncrief, TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins

Oakland

Key adds: WR Antonio Brown, LB Vontaze Burfict, WR J.J. Nelson, WR Tyrell Williams, SAF LaMarcus Joyner, LT Trenton Brown

Key losses: #66, #141 picks in the draft, TE Jared Cook

Analysis: I could look at the Jaguars add/loss and try to cancel out each add with a somewhat equivalent loss, except Nick Foles…basically the Jaguars offseason is all about the power of Nick Foles.

You cannot easily checkmate the Raiders’ adds with losses and just stare at Antonio Brown. The Raiders added Antonio the Great but also a starting left tackle, which is massive, and Tyrell Williams is a nice get.

Let’s say the Tyrell and Joyner adds are canceled by the draft picks sent and the loss of Jared Cook – and thus we just look at the Raiders 1Q of the offseason as the gain of Antonio and Trenton Brown. Brown and Brown vs. adding Nick Foles – which is more key?

Winner: What team got exponentially better just looking at those three players (The two Browns vs. Foles)…you have to say the Nick Foles add is the winner vs. Brown+Brown. Antonio is a Hall of Fame performer, but you’re not led to the Super Bowl by WRs…you’re led by franchise QBs.

Both were bad teams in 2018. Today, after all the +/-, which team would you take for $1 million dollars if you’re right…to win the 2019 season Super Bowl…Jacksonville or Oakland? Exactly…that’s another reason why the Foles move trumps the Raiders’ moves.

Jacksonville moves on top the Finals of our little tournament.

==================

Looking strictly at the offseason moves through mid-March…the signings, lost players, trades, etc. Pitting two teams against each other and trying to evaluate which team got better through all their moves.

We’re going to go division-by-division, head-to-head tournament style, to get eight winners and then pit those finalists against each other until we get to the top AFC and NFC representatives and declare a ‘best of 2019’. We’re into the division finals…

NFC Finals…

***49ers vs. Packers***

San Francisco

Key adds: LB David Mayo, WR Jordan Matthews, CB Jason Verrett, RB Tevin Coleman, LB Dee Ford, LB Kwon Alexander

Key losses: WR Pierre Garcon

Green Bay

Key adds: OG Billy Turner, OLB Preston Smith, SAF Adrian Amos, OLB Za’Darius Smith

Key losses: CB Breshaud Breeland, WR Randall Cobb, OLB Clay Matthews, LB Jake Ryan

Analysis: This is tough because these two teams are arguably #1-2 overall for which teams in the NFL had the best 1Q moves of the offseason. I also wouldn’t be shocked if both of these teams are in the real NFL 2019 season playoffs and/or win their division.

The 49ers added three instant, higher-end starters in Ford, Alexander, and Coleman…however, that could five sweet starters if Jordan Matthews takes the old Garcon role and if Jason Verrett is healthy, he alone could be the steal of 2019. The 49ers basically lost nothing and gained 3-5 high-level starters.

The Packers lost some talent, but they added three instant defensive starters…not just starters but Pro Bowl and ‘sleeper’ Pro Bowl upside players. The Packers’ defense is radically improved, but so is the 49ers’ defense.

Winner: Without worrying about cost, I am going to do a quick draft of their ‘add’ players to see the pecking order of talent. Here’s who I would draft if I were an NFL GM, not worrying about positional need or cost…

1) Dee Ford

2) Adrian Amos

3) Kwon Alexander

4) Za’Darius Smith

5) Preston Smith

6) Jordan Matthews

7) Billy Turner

8) Jason Verrett

I could have gone a lot of ways at #2-4, so this didn’t help me as much as I thought. I’d say given the 49ers got the best player/producer (Dee Ford), and the 2nd-round pick they gave up for him was in 2020 (not 2019)…and that the 49ers also got a WR who I think is radically undervalued – Jordan Matthews, I still think he is a Pro Bowl talent…and the 49ers also got the best player in this comparison if he was 100% healthy, Jason Verrett…and considering the 49ers lost nothing with all these adds – the win is for the 49ers.

The 49ers vs. Jacksonville Finals for the whole free agent/offseason tournament posts tomorrow. 49ers vs. Jags – possibly the next Super Bowl. Not the craziest talk I’ve ever heard.


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About R.C. Fischer

R.C. Fischer is a fantasy football player analyst for Fantasy Football Metrics and College Football Metrics. 

Email rc4metrics@gmail.com

Learn more about RC and the Fantasy Football Metrics system >>