2019 Dynasty-Fantasy Preseason Analysis Wk1 Bills 24, Colts 16
I kept pushing this re-watch back on my schedule because it seemed like it would be a pretty boring/low impact fantasy endeavor. In reality, this was one of the most rookie revealing/attention getting games from 2019 preseason Week 1. I’m going to hit on those three rookies to END this report, and we’ll start with my other notes first.
Fantasy Player Notes…
-- No Andrew Luck because of a calf or ankle or whatever lie the Colts are going with this week. No top quarterback should frighten us more on injury concerns than Andrew Luck, but ‘he’s Andrew Luck’…the NFL’s desired face of the league, the one-time all the NFL analysts all got one top QB scouting right a year ahead of his draft. The year before, they were all pushing Mr. Blaine Gabbert in the 2011 NFL Draft. In 2013, E.J. Manuel and Geno Smith really had their motors running.
I know Luck’s got protected media status. If any other QB missed so much time with injury the past few years and then was missing the preseason now, the media would be besides itself about ‘missing time with the offense’ and ‘he’ll be out of sync’, but not so with Luck…he’s not human for the media. He doesn’t get all the nonsense clichés thrown at him.
If Mitchell Trubisky missed the entire preseason with a foot injury the media (and fans) would be begging the Bears to cut him and trade for one of their favorite QBs out there…like DeShone Kizer. The Bears season would assume to be lost, by the media, if Trubisky missed the entire preseason and then started Week 1. The first incomplete he threw game #1 there would be a meltdown about all the precious training camp time he missed. When Luck does the same thing/follows the same pattern and he throws a bad pick game #1 and they’ll chuckle about ‘the rust getting knocked off’.
It shouldn’t matter if Luck is back for Week 1…the media extends the royal family treatment to Jacoby Brissett (2-5 for 21 yards, 0 TD/0 INT) despite him being a mediocre backup in the league – sometimes I think they think he’s the 2nd-best QB in the league behind Luck at #1. Just being the backup to the media’s love player is good enough scouting for the media/analysts. *See also: Miles Sanders at Penn State.
Will Luck be ready Week 1? Who knows with the way the Colts lie about such things? But should we at least worry about the ‘sync’ with receivers early on? If not, why are we having training camps anyway?
-- I shared this on the Video Q&A during the night this game was going on live…Josh Allen’s (6-1 for 66 yards, 0 TD/0 INT) main look in the game, the WR he was most comfortable with last year and in this game…it was CLEARLY Zay Jones (2-31-0/5).
Why do people love Josh Allen for fantasy and ignore his #1 WR? All Zay did last year was to lead the team in every receiving stat including his solid 7 TDs in 2018…and Allen wasn’t the starter all season either.
Somehow John Brown is the top ADP WR from the Bills right now. Seriously?
-- Is there a ‘speedy’ player in the league who does less with his speed on-field than Nyheim Hines (6-1-0). Six carries for 1 yard and every carry as dull as the one prior in this game. An anemic 3.7 yards per carry and 6.7 yards per catch for Hines last season.
-- Colts’ 2nd-year WR Deon Cain (2-15-0/4) has been talked about as this marvel of training camps the past two years. We got to see him working here…and ‘yawn’.
Young Colts’ WR prospect’s Daurice Fountain (5-63-0/7) and Krishawn Hogan (2-36-0/5) had better performances in this game, but nothing that really gripped me.
-- I noted a week+ ago that 2nd-year LB Matt Adams (4 tackles) might be a starter at OLB this year, and he started this game. However, the Colts possess something way better, a current backup, and we’ll get to that in a moment.
-- Nice debut for England’s rugby player, rookie UDFA RB Christian Wade (1-65-1, 0-0-0/1). Came in late, took a simple handoff and was gone right through the middle and just raced past would-be tacklers. It looked sweet. I’m sure the Bills will protect him as their International player roster spot.
-- Rookie DT Ed Oliver did not register a stat, but he took on all-world guard Quentin Nelson…and Oliver won most of the head-to-heads. Either Nelson is a bit overrated (I think the media adores thinking they know an offensive lineman scouting sound byte with him a little too much) and/or Ed Oliver is getting ready to be Aaron Donald 2.0.
-- OK, three rookies from this game that I just moved up the Dynasty Rookie Draft boards (reflected on the next update THU 8/15 or FRI 8/16…
1) I saw rookie Bills’ UDFA rookie QB Tyree Jackson’s (2-10 for 45 yards, 0 TD/0 INT) stat line last Thursday and my heart sunk. I downgraded him some based on the numbers here and the 1-2 throws I saw among watching several games at a time.
I’m glad I re-watched this – I thought Jackson looked very good for his rookie debut. Sure, 2 of 10 passing, but about six of those incompletions hit receivers in the hands for tough or easy catches they didn’t make. The reality was WAY better than the box score. We’re back on the long shot Josh Allen hostile takeover alert.
Not for nothing, when Tyree entered the game, the Buffalo faithful cheered nicely…that’s going to help sentiment for a change upon Josh Allen failure. Tyree played college ball at Buffalo, Now, here is to be the ‘fave’ of the faithful fans in Buffalo…and they know their football in Buffalo.
2) Zowie-Wowie…Colts’ rookie OLB E.J. Speed (6 tackles) is a ‘player’. He may start Week 1 at this pace. An exceptional linebacker talent with a concerning off-field storyline. Matt Adams isn’t close to Speed as a talent.
3) The most pleasant surprise…Bills RB Devin Singletary (9-27-0, 3-21-0/3).
I loved his tape.
I hated his pre-draft measurables and analytics.
I couldn’t tell if he could catch the ball well in pre-draft scouting because he never saw passes in college.
I love his landing spot on a Buffalo Bills’ roster led by aging, expensive LeSean McCoy. The path to playing time is there.
In this game, I saw the elusive Singletary I scouted…and how he isn’t better than David Montgomery in ‘forced missed tackles’…there should be a congressional hearing – not only not ahead of Montgomery, but not even among the top 15 per touch on PFF’s all-time list. Washington State rookie James Williams is on there three times, though.
I expected to see a solid runner of the ball. What I was surprised to see was his receiving ability. Very smooth.
My Bills source believes Singletary is not just a ‘promising rookie’…no, it’s more like Sean McDermott is head over heels and is ready to move on from McCoy because of Singletary. It’s that serious. How serious am I taking it? Hmmm. Check the next Dynasty Rookie Draft rankings update and Draft Guide update as well THU and/or FRI.
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-- The debut season of our Dynasty Offseason/Best Ball is now available – Dynasty rankings for various scoring positions in downloadable/editable spreadsheet format for your use. Offseason strategy reports posting weekly…trade for/away, sleepers, deep sleepers, draft strategies, mock drafts, etc. And you would have been privy to my contacts and reports on Tyreek Hill’s situation from when it began – and you would have prospered from it.
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