2019 Dynasty-Fantasy Preseason Analysis Wk2 Bills 27, Panthers 14
The Bills went with their starters and the panthers, not so much…and it showed. The Bills pushed past the Panthers easily…it was 24-3 at one point before the half. It wasn’t much of a game.
We got a few player notes to cover, so let’s do it…
-- Curtis Samuel (1-13-0/3) has been one of the hottest mover-uppers in ADP in all of fantasy the past week. All the glowing camp reports have taken their ‘toll’, per se. With all that momentum, Samuel had a quiet night here. He was working with Josh Allen, and it was a mess. No worries on Samuel.
However, the Samuel ADP rise is over and he’s fading back some from this game. Why? Because there was never any real conviction on Samuel from the positive Roto/camp notes. It gave him a bump and then a boring Week 2 preseason game stole that momentum…because it wasn’t real to begin with…people don’t really believe…not like me/us. THEY want D.J. Moore (1-8-0/3) and THEY’ve been beating that in everyone’s heads for a year+. Now, for a week they’re all pro-Samuel. It doesn’t work like that. There was no conviction, so the ADP spike has stalled on mild news.
I’m still with Samuel as the Panthers #1 WR, just like I said late last season…back when you needed/wanted to know that info. Welcome to the party highly funded ESPN and Yahoo, etc., I’m a year ahead of you…again.
You know what it’s time for? What I was a year ago on Curtis Samuel in the football/fantasy community of ‘experts’: https://youtu.be/SVM_Mg2XFLI?t=85
-- Let’s talk obscure Bills’ WR prospects…
Yes, Duke Williams (3-38-1/4) does look great. He’s making that team and will be a #4-5 WR…and it puts another bullet in Robert Foster’s decline back to obscurity.
Williams was kicked off of the Auburn Tigers in 2015 for a bar fight, but before that he was a fairly dominant SEC WR. He had weak measurables at his 2016 Pro Day and was a UDFA signee for the Rams…who cut him before the season started. Williams promptly went to the CFL and led the league in receiving yards his 2nd CFL season (2018). Buffalo signed him this summer.
Williams looked dominant in this game. He had my attention back in his Auburn days but the measurables and attitude didn’t lineup and I had to forget him after the Rams dumped him. He’s back and looks great.
2019 UDFA rookie WR David Sills (0-0-0/1) doesn’t look great. He looks tentative and not NFL ready at all. He’s going to get cut for sure. Some folks’ poor man’s Jordy Nelson story is over.
I really like Vic Bolden (2-20-0/4), have for a while, but he never seems to stick anywhere. He’s a weapon with the ball, as a WR or return man. He will be hard-pressed to crack the top 5 WR rotation here if he even makes the team.
-- Bills’ TE news…Rookie Tommy Sweeney (2-47-0/2) was the starting TE with the starters playing. Tyler Kroft and Dawson Knox are hurt, and Sweeney made a couple nice plays to make a case for making the team.
-- The Sweeney plays were solid, but they were made by Josh Allen’s (9-11 for 102 yards, 0 TD/0 INT) excellent touch passes to him. When Allen is on…it’s beautiful. He’s just not on enough…and his ‘off’’ will kill you over time.
This preseason…Josh Allen looks good enough to take the Bills to the playoffs behind defense and a run game.
But I am starting to run from/worry about thinking Tyree Jackson (4-10 for 68 yards, 0 TD/1 INT, 8-27-0) is going to make a miracle push on an Allen falter. Jackson is just not ready. Raw tools…but he’ll probably never develop them in the NFL. That type of stuff just doesn’t happen with UDFAs. Jackson is pigeonholed. Only a rash of injuries could force the story to happen. Jackson needs time…but he’ll be forgotten in time.
I’m a fan. I love his tools, but he’s a real long shot.
-- LeSean McCoy (4-6-1, 2-11-0/3) started this game (with the starters), as you would expect. However, Devin Singletary (2-6-0, 3-25-0-/3) was in after a few plays spelling McCoy…working with the 1st-team a little like a rotation/duo of sorts.
I’m telling you…the love for Singletary by McDermott is something to watch with McCoy potentially being dealt preseason or in-season.
-- Rugby player rookie RB Christian Wade (2-4-0, 1-48-0/2) had another big play in a preseason game. He’s raw as well, but he cannot make this team. They’ll protect him with their International roster spot exemption.
-- The Bills have several good RBs…the Panthers have very little after Christian McCaffrey (DNP).
Rookie drafted RB Jordan Scarlett (8-35-0, 1-14-0/2) looks like lesser Chris Ivory.
UDFA RB Reggie Bonnafon (3-15-0, 4-32-0/5) is a very poor man’s Brandon Wilds…6’1”/212, 4.5+ speed with sub-7.0 three-cone, benching 20 reps with a 38” vertical. Bonnafon seems to have some tools but nothing electric on display here.
-- The Panthers best player of the preseason, so far…kicker Joey Slye (2/2 FGs…including a 54-yarder).
Slye might be a shock Graham Gano replacement, but more likely he will be traded to Chicago or claimed by them during roster cutdowns.
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-- The debut season of our Dynasty Offseason/Best Ball is now available – Dynasty rankings for various scoring positions in downloadable/editable spreadsheet format for your use. Offseason strategy reports posting weekly…trade for/away, sleepers, deep sleepers, draft strategies, mock drafts, etc. And you would have been privy to my contacts and reports on Tyreek Hill’s situation from when it began – and you would have prospered from it.
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